ABR Arbor Realty Trust

BEARISH Impact: 7/10 PRESS-RELEASE
Horizon weeks Filed Feb 27, 2026 Processed 2mo ago Wire GlobeNewswire
Press release: earnings
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
ABR ▼ -3.92% at T+20d
SHORT call ✓ call won +3.92% · α vs SPY -3.63% · entry $7.65 → $7.35
Next anchor: T+60d in 2d
Last close $5.57 (close May 22) · +27.19% from $7.65 entry (call sign-flipped)
Entry anchored
Feb 26, 03:59 PM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
+8.32%
call -8.32% · α -8.27%
$8.29
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
+9.58%
call -9.58% · α -11.57%
$8.38
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
-3.92%
call +3.92% · α -3.63%
$7.35
settled 8w ago
T+60d
call — · α —
in 2d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Arbor Realty Trust (ABR) reported a decline in both GAAP net income and distributable earnings for Q4 and full-year 2025 compared to the prior year, driven by lower gain-on-sale margins, higher impairments, and reduced credit loss provisions. Despite strong loan origination volumes and balance sheet improvements, the core earnings metrics show meaningful year-over-year deterioration, particularly in the Agency and Structured businesses.

Key Financial Metrics

Revenue
$133.8M
-19.5% YoY
Adj. EPS
$0.19
GAAP: $0.07

Actionable Insight

The stock may face downward pressure despite the dividend and buybacks due to sharply declining core earnings. Traders should monitor the sustainability of the $0.30 dividend given the drop in distributable earnings. The high buyback discount to book value suggests management sees value, but fundamentals are weakening.

Key Facts

  • GAAP net income per share fell to $0.07 in Q4 2025 from $0.32 in Q4 2024 (-78% YoY)
  • Full-year GAAP EPS dropped to $0.56 from $1.18 (-52% YoY)
  • Distributable earnings per share declined to $0.19 in Q4 2025 from $0.40 (-52.5% YoY)
  • Full-year distributable EPS fell to $1.07 from $1.74 (-38.5% YoY)
  • Impairment loss on real estate owned totaled $20.5 million in Q4
  • Company repurchased $20M of stock at $7.40/share, ~64% of book value

Financial Impact

Revenue down 19.5% YoY to $132.4M in Q4; full-year net income down 52% to $107.4M

revenueepsnet incomedistributable earningsimpairments

Risk Factors

  • Declining earnings and distributable income may not support current dividend levels long-term
  • Elevated impairments and legacy asset resolutions indicate ongoing balance sheet stress
  • Lower gain-on-sale margins in Agency business (1.36% vs 1.15% prior quarter) signal pricing pressure

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3246505
4 reports for ABR
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

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Reports for ABR — sortable, filterable
Type Now
May 8, 2026
15d ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$7.21 $5.84▲ +19.00%▲ +20.47%$5.57 (+22.75%)
Mar 30, 2026
7w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$7.71 $7.51▼ −2.59%▼ −6.54%$5.57 (−27.76%)
Mar 23, 2026
8w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$7.37 $7.71▲ +4.61%▲ +5.04%$5.57 (−24.42%)
Feb 27, 2026
12w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$7.65 $8.38▼ −9.58%▼ −11.57%$5.57 (+27.19%)
Showing 4 of 4

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Tue (34h 50m)

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