AEBI PRESS-RELEASE SEC Filing Analysis

Latest settled — T+20d

AEBI ▲ +4.87% at T+20d

LONG call ✓ call won +4.87% · α vs SPY -2.75% · entry $11.30 → $11.85

Next anchor: T+60d in 2d

Currently $12.34 · +9.20% from $11.30 entry

Entry anchored
Mar 18, 03:59 PM ET
via Databento tick

T+1d

-12.30%

call -12.30% · α -10.56%

$9.91

settled 3mo ago

T+5d

-18.23%

call -18.23% · α -16.02%

$9.24

settled 3mo ago

T+20d

+4.87%

call +4.87% · α -2.75%

$11.85

settled 8w ago

T+60d

—

call — · α —

—

in 2d

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Executive Summary

Aebi Schmidt reported strong Q4 and full-year 2025 results with 6% YoY revenue growth and 31% Adjusted EBITDA growth, driven by a record $1.21B backlog and improving margins. The company raised 2026 guidance to $1.95B–$2.15B in revenue and $175M–$195M in Adjusted EBITDA, signaling confidence in post-merger synergy realization and market recovery, particularly in North America.

Key Financial Metrics

Revenue

$1.9B

+2.0% YoY

Guidance

$1.95b-$2.15b

raised

Actionable Insight

The stock may re-rate on improved 2026 guidance and strong backlog conversion visibility, especially if walk-in-van and municipal demand sustain recovery. Monitor Q1 2026 execution given management's caution on seasonality and geopolitical risks.

Key Facts

Q4 2025 Net Sales: $528M (+6% YoY), Full Year 2025 Net Sales: $1.907B (+2% YoY)
Q4 2025 Adjusted EBITDA: $48.1M (+31% YoY), margin expanded 170 bps to 9.1%
Full Year 2025 Adjusted EBITDA: $156.0M (+13% YoY)
Order Backlog reached $1.212B, up 7% in Q4 and a multi-year high
2026 Guidance: Revenue $1.95B–$2.15B, Adjusted EBITDA $175M–$195M, leverage ≤2.0x by year-end
Net Debt reduced to $437M (leverage 2.8x), down from $469M in Q3

Financial Impact

Revenue growth accelerating into 2026 with $200M midpoint guidance increase; EBITDA expected to grow 12–25% YoY. Record backlog supports sustained top-line expansion and margin improvement.

revenueebitdaleveragenet_debtoperating_margin

Risk Factors

Guidance assumes recovery in walk-in-van orders continues; any reversal could impact revenue ramp
Second-half 2026 performance is critical to hitting guidance, creating execution risk
Synergy realization from Shyft merger remains key to margin expansion

Market Snapshot

Exchange

Nasdaq

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

Document	Accession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)	press-3258866

8 reports for AEBI

T+1T+5T+20T+60

Filters

Reports for AEBI — sortable, filterable
	Type				Now
May 26, 2026 17d ago	Insider Cluster NEUTRAL ★ 3/10	$12.78 $11.90	▼ −6.95%	▼ −7.42%	$12.34 (−3.47%)
May 21, 2026 23d ago	Press Release NEUTRAL ★ 2/10	$11.84 $12.45	▲ +5.23%	▲ +3.38%	$12.34 (+4.26%)
May 19, 2026 24d ago	Insider Cluster NEUTRAL ★ 3/10	$12.26 $12.81	▲ +4.49%	▲ +3.25%	$12.34 (+0.65%)
May 19, 2026 24d ago	Insider Cluster NEUTRAL ★ 3/10	$12.23 $12.88	▲ +5.30%	▲ +3.50%	$12.34 (+0.86%)
May 14, 2026 4w ago	8-K NEUTRAL ★ 5/10	$11.13 $11.84	▲ +6.37%	▲ +7.09%	$12.34 (+10.90%)
Apr 10, 2026 9w ago	8-K NEUTRAL ★ 3/10	$12.21 $11.55	▼ −5.41%	▼ −8.70%	$12.34 (+1.06%)
Apr 10, 2026 9w ago	DEFA14A NEUTRAL ★ 3/10	$12.21 $11.55	▼ −5.41%	▼ −8.70%	$12.34 (+1.06%)
Mar 19, 2026 12w ago	Press Release BULLISH ★ 8/10	$11.30 $9.24	▼ −18.23%	▼ −16.02%	$12.34 (+9.20%)

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (49h 41m)

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