AGPU Axe Compute Inc.

BEARISH Impact: 7/10 424B5
Horizon weeks Filed May 15, 2026 Processed 25d 9h ago SEC 0001171843-26-003488
Notable filing: 424B5
Latest settled — T+5d ⚠ clustered
AGPU ▲ +47.86% at T+5d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -47.86% · α vs SPY -46.24% · entry $4.68 → $6.92
Next anchor: T+20d in 5d
Last close $7.32 (close Jun 8) · -56.41% from $4.68 entry (call sign-flipped)
Entry anchored
May 15, 2026
via day open
T+1d
+1.71%
call -1.71% · α -2.36%
$4.76
settled 23d ago
T+5d
+47.86%
call -47.86% · α -46.24%
$6.92
settled 19d ago
T+20d
call — · α —
in 5d
T+60d
call — · α —
in 2mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Axe Compute Inc. (AGPU) filed a 424B5 prospectus supplement to increase its ATM offering capacity from prior amounts to an aggregate of up to $100 million of common stock through H.C. Wainwright. The company's public float exceeded $75 million, removing prior sales limitations. As of May 14, 2026, the company held approximately 6.209 billion Aethir tokens (ATH) valued at ~$42.1 million. The stock closed at $5.60 on May 14, 2026, and the filing signals ongoing dilution risk.

Actionable Insight

The massive increase in ATM capacity ($100M vs ~$31M market cap) signals aggressive capital raising, likely to fund Aethir token operations or general corporate needs. Expect continued dilution pressure. Monitor ATM sales pace via subsequent 8-K filings and ATH token price volatility, which directly impacts the company's asset base.

Key Facts

  • ATM offering increased to up to $100 million aggregate of common stock, including shares previously sold.
  • Since entering the Sales Agreement, 1,334,907 shares sold for ~$17.0 million.
  • Public float ~$90.0 million based on 10,282,258 non-affiliate shares at $8.75 (April 22, 2026 high).
  • Company holds ~6.209 billion Aethir tokens (ATH) valued at ~$42.1 million at $0.0068/ATH.
  • Stock price $5.60 on May 14, 2026, down from the $8.75 reference price used for float calculation.
  • Cross-filing context includes an S-3/A shelf registration from November 2025 for resale of up to 5,970,181 shares by selling stockholders.

Financial Impact

Up to $100 million in potential dilution from ATM sales; $17 million already raised via 1.33 million shares. Aethir token holdings valued at ~$42.1 million provide a non-cash asset buffer.

dilutionshare countcash

Risk Factors

  • Massive dilution: up to $100M ATM capacity dwarfs the $31M market cap, potentially doubling or tripling share count.
  • Aethir token (ATH) price volatility: $42.1M holding at $0.0068/ATH is subject to crypto market swings, creating balance sheet risk.
  • Stock price decline from $8.75 reference to $5.60 suggests selling pressure may already be underway.
  • Cross-filing S-3/A adds up to 5.97M additional shares for resale by selling stockholders, compounding dilution.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Orthopedic, Prosthetic & Surgical Appliances & Supplies
Analyst Consensus
0% bullish (6 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
424B5 Filing (Primary)0001171843-26-003488
Document: 0001171843-26-003488-index-headers.html0001171843-26-003488
Document: 0001171843-26-003488-index.html0001171843-26-003488
Document: 0001171843-26-003488.txt0001171843-26-003488
10 reports for AGPU
Performance horizon
60% Hit rate 3 of 5 directional calls best @ T+5▲ +47.86%May 15, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for AGPU — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 9, 2026
today
S-3
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$6.92 awaiting T+5awaiting T+5$7.32 (−5.86%)
May 27, 2026
13d ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$6.53 $8.76▲ +34.15%▲ +32.94%$7.32 (+12.10%)
May 15, 2026
25d ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$4.68 $6.92▲ +47.86%▲ +46.24%$7.32 (+56.41%)
May 15, 2026
25d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$4.68 $6.92▼ −47.86%▼ −46.24%$7.32 (−56.41%)
May 15, 2026
25d ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$4.68 $6.92▼ −47.86%▼ −46.24%$7.32 (−56.41%)
May 11, 2026
29d ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$6.66 $4.68▲ +29.73%▲ +29.64%$7.32 (−9.91%)
Apr 22, 2026
6w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$8.75 $5.90▼ −32.57%▼ −32.63%$7.32 (−16.34%)
Apr 16, 2026
7w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$3.52 $6.64▲ +88.64%▲ +88.08%$7.32 (+107.95%)
Mar 31, 2026
10w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$3.56 $4.84▲ +35.96%▲ +32.19%$7.32 (+105.62%)
Mar 27, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$1.55 $4.25▲ +174.19%▲ +170.33%$7.32 (+372.26%)
Showing 10 of 10

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