AIIR AIR Holdings Ltd

BULLISH Impact: 7/10 425
Horizon days Filed May 6, 2026 Processed 1mo ago SEC 0001193125-26-208758
Rule 425 M&A communications
Latest settled — T+20d
AIIR ▼ -33.84% at T+20d
LONG call ✗ call lost -33.84% · α vs SPY -37.02% · entry $10.43 → $6.90
Next anchor: T+60d in 7w
Last close $6.78 (close Jun 8) · -35.00% from $10.43 entry
Entry anchored
May 6, 2026
via day open
T+1d
0.00%
call 0.00% · α +0.33%
$10.43
settled 5w ago
T+5d
+14.86%
call +14.86% · α +13.69%
$11.98
settled 28d ago
T+20d
-33.84%
call -33.84% · α -37.02%
$6.90
settled 6d ago
T+60d
call — · α —
in 7w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

AIR Holdings Ltd published a podcast transcript promoting its $1.7 billion SPAC merger with Cantor Equity Partners III, highlighting strong 2025 financials ($400M consolidated revenue, $139M adjusted EBITDA, $116M operating cash flow) and the company's profitable, cash-generative core business. The deal, which does not include a PIPE, is on track for a shareholder vote on May 12, 2026, for the Nasdaq listing under ticker AIIR.

Key Financial Metrics

Deal Value
$1.7B

Actionable Insight

The deal appears on track for the May 12 shareholder vote. Monitor for any redemptions or last-minute opposition. A successful vote would result in a Nasdaq listing, providing liquidity and potential re-rating for this profitable niche consumer company.

Key Facts

  • SPAC merger valued at $1.7 billion with Cantor Equity Partners III
  • FY2025 consolidated revenue of $400M and adjusted EBITDA of $139M
  • Operating cash flow of $116M in 2025
  • No PIPE financing – company is profitable and cash-generative
  • Shareholder vote scheduled for May 12, 2026
  • Nasdaq listing expected under ticker AIIR

Financial Impact

Transaction value $1.7 billion; company generated $400M revenue and $139M adjusted EBITDA in 2025

revenueebitdacash flowenterprise value

Risk Factors

  • Risk of shareholder vote failure or high redemptions
  • Regulatory approvals required for the business combination
  • Execution risk in scaling new product categories (OOKA, nicotine adjacencies)
  • Category concentration in hookah/shisha, which faces regulatory scrutiny

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
425 Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-208758
Document: 0001193125-26-208758-index-headers.html0001193125-26-208758
Document: 0001193125-26-208758-index.html0001193125-26-208758
Document: 0001193125-26-208758.txt0001193125-26-208758
7 reports for AIIR
Performance horizon
50% Hit rate 2 of 4 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +17.23%Apr 14, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for AIIR — sortable, filterable
Type Now
May 18, 2026
22d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$9.50 $7.11▼ −25.16%▼ −27.40%$6.78 (−28.63%)
May 15, 2026
25d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$10.44 $8.34▼ −20.11%▼ −21.73%$6.78 (−35.06%)
May 6, 2026
4w ago
425
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$10.43 $11.98▲ +14.86%▲ +13.69%$6.78 (−35.00%)
Apr 23, 2026
6w ago
425
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$10.45 $10.42▼ −0.29%▼ −1.76%$6.78 (−35.12%)
Apr 22, 2026
6w ago
425
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$10.45 $10.42▼ −0.29%▼ −1.76%$6.78 (−35.12%)
Apr 14, 2026
8w ago
425
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$10.33 $10.34▲ +0.10%▼ −1.30%$6.78 (−34.37%)
Apr 7, 2026
9w ago
425
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$10.33 $10.33· 0.00%▼ −3.52%$6.78 (−34.37%)
Showing 7 of 7

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