AIRO AIRO Group Holdings, Inc.

BEARISH Impact: 6/10 8-K
Horizon weeks Filed May 14, 2026 Processed 1mo ago SEC 0001493152-26-022859
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Latest settled — T+5d
AIRO ▼ -5.37% at T+5d
SHORT call ✓ call won +5.37% · α vs SPY +4.65% · entry $6.62 → $6.26
Next anchor: T+20d due yesterday
Currently $8.03 · -21.39% from $6.62 entry (call sign-flipped)
Entry anchored
May 13, 03:59 PM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
-3.70%
call +3.70% · α +2.48%
$6.37
settled 29d ago
T+5d
-5.37%
call +5.37% · α +4.65%
$6.26
settled 23d ago
T+20d
call — · α —
due yesterday
T+60d
call — · α —
in 8w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

AIRO reported Q1 2026 revenue of $8.9M, down 24.6% YoY, with gross margin halving to 26.6%. Net loss widened to $(15.5)M from $(2.0)M, driven by product mix shift to lower-margin upgrades and continued investment. Management reiterated full-year 2026 revenue growth guidance of 15-25% and introduced negative Adjusted EBITDA guidance, but the significant quarterly miss and cash burn are concerning.

Key Financial Metrics

Guidance
15% to 25% YoY growth (implicit FY2026 revenue ~$104.5M-$113.6M)
maintained
Gross Margin
26.59%

Actionable Insight

The sharp revenue drop and widening losses cast doubt on the company's ability to achieve its 15-25% growth guidance. Traders should monitor Q2 2026 results for signs of backlog conversion and margin recovery. Cash burn rate suggests potential need for additional capital within 12 months if losses persist.

Key Facts

  • Revenue declined 24.6% YoY to $8.9M (Q1 2025: $11.8M)
  • Gross margin fell to 26.6% from 58.8% a year ago
  • Operating loss expanded to $(17.2)M from $(3.1)M
  • Net loss per share worsened to $(0.49) from $(0.12)
  • Cash balance dropped to $54.2M from $74.4M in three months (burn ~$20M)
  • Drone backlog exceeded $150M as of April 30, 2026
  • Reiterated FY2026 revenue growth guidance of 15-25%
  • Introduced FY2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance of negative mid- to high-teens $M

Financial Impact

Revenue decline of $2.9M YoY and net loss increase of $13.5M YoY

revenuegross marginoperating lossnet loss

Risk Factors

  • Revenue seasonality could persist, making full-year guidance challenging
  • Cash burn of ~$20M in a quarter leaves limited runway ($54.2M cash)
  • Margin compression from product mix shift to lower-margin upgrades
  • NATO funding delays or production bottlenecks could slow backlog conversion

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Aircraft
Analyst Consensus
78% bullish (9 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001493152-26-022859
Document: form8-k.htm0001493152-26-022859
Document: 0001493152-26-022859-index-headers.html0001493152-26-022859
Document: 0001493152-26-022859-index.html0001493152-26-022859
Document: 0001493152-26-022859.txt0001493152-26-022859
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001493152-26-022859
4 reports for AIRO
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for AIRO — sortable, filterable
Type Now
May 14, 2026
4w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$6.62 $6.26▲ +5.37%▲ +4.65%$8.03 (−21.39%)
Apr 21, 2026
7w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$8.40 $7.96▼ −5.24%▼ −6.32%$8.03 (−4.40%)
Mar 31, 2026
10w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$7.61 $8.82▲ +15.98%▲ +12.03%$8.03 (+5.59%)
Mar 12, 2026
13w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$10.17 $9.96▼ −2.06%▼ −1.09%$8.03 (−21.04%)
Showing 4 of 4

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (48h 48m)

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