AMZN AMAZON COM INC

BULLISH Impact: 3/10 ANALYST-UPGRADE
Processed 5d 6h ago SEC analyst-AMZN-wellsfar-20250924
13 firms acted on AMZN: DA Davidson, Guggenheim, Rothschild & Co, Mizuho, Wells Fargo, Raymond James, WestPark Capital, Scotiabank, Pivotal Research, Wells Fargo, Cantor Fitzgerald, Cantor Fitzgerald, Wolfe Research
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
AMZN ▲ +3.02% at T+60d
LONG call ✓ call won +3.02% · α vs SPY +0.68% · entry $220.09 → $226.73
Currently $246.03 · +11.79% from $220.09 entry
Entry anchored
Sep 24, 07:18 AM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
-0.90%
call -0.90% · α -0.42%
$218.10
settled 8mo ago
T+5d
+0.23%
call +0.23% · α -0.90%
$220.60
settled 8mo ago
T+20d
-0.97%
call -0.97% · α -2.00%
$217.96
settled 8mo ago
T+60d
+3.02%
call +3.02% · α +0.68%
$226.73
settled 6mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Wells Fargo upgraded AMZN from Equal-Weight to Overweight on September 24, 2025, raising the price target to $280 from $245, implying a 3.5% upside from the current $270.64. The upgrade is part of a 13-firm cluster action on AMZN, signaling broad analyst attention. Wells Fargo has a 55% accuracy rate on 6,036 calls with an average return of 3.6%, placing it near the middle of the peer group. Consensus is overwhelmingly bullish: 72 of 78 analysts rate Buy or Strong Buy, with only 6 Holds and zero Sells. The mean price target is $312.79, median $319.50, high $370, low $207 — Wells Fargo's $280 is below consensus, suggesting a more cautious near-term view. Momentum is neutral with zero upgrades or downgrades in the past 30 days, but EPS revisions are strongly positive: 47 upward revisions in the last 30 days for the current fiscal year versus just 1 downward. Insider selling is notable — five C-suite executives sold a total of ~$5.5M in late May 2026, including EVP David Zapolsky ($2.5M) and CFO Matthew Garman ($1.1M). Congressional buying is modest but consistent — five buys from Democrats between March and April 2026. Institutional activity is mixed: Norges Bank initiated a massive $32.9B position, while Berkshire Hathaway nearly exited (down 77.2%). Short interest is elevated at 24.0% of float. The bottom line: Wells Fargo's upgrade is a modest positive from a mid-tier firm, but the below-consensus PT and insider selling temper enthusiasm — traders should watch for confirmation from higher-accuracy firms.

Impact Score

Base Score
2/7
LLM Adjustment
+1
Final Score
3/10

Consensus & Targets

Buy / Strong Buy
72 (92%)
Hold
6
Sell / Strong Sell
0
Total Analysts
62
Mean PT
$312.79
Median PT
$319.50
High PT
$370.00
Low PT
$207.00
Current Price
$270.64
Implied Upside
+15.6%

Consensus is heavily bullish: 22 Strong Buy, 50 Buy, 6 Hold, 0 Sell, 0 Strong Sell out of 78 analysts. That's 92% Buy/Strong Buy, 8% Hold, 0% Sell. Direction is firmly positive, with no bearish dissent.

Current price: $270.64. Mean target: $312.79 (implied upside 15.6%). Median: $319.50. High: $370 (36.7% upside). Low: $207 (23.5% downside). Wells Fargo's $280 is 10.5% below the mean and 12.4% below the median, making it one of the more conservative targets in the consensus.

Recent Analyst Activity

DateFirmActionRatingPrice Target
2026-05-29 Truist Securities maintain Buy $320.00
2026-05-20 Wells Fargo maintain Overweight $312.00
2026-05-12 TD Cowen reiterate Buy $350.00
2026-05-01 Stifel maintain Buy $319.00
2026-04-30 Telsey Advisory Group maintain Outperform $315.00
2026-04-30 Canaccord Genuity maintain Buy $330.00
2026-04-30 JP Morgan maintain Overweight $330.00
2026-04-30 TD Cowen maintain Buy $350.00
2026-04-30 Bernstein maintain Outperform $315.00
2026-04-30 Citigroup maintain Buy $325.00

Zero upgrades and zero downgrades in the past 30 days, indicating no recent directional shift. EPS revisions are strongly positive: 47 upward revisions in the last 30 days for the current fiscal year (vs 1 down), and 42 upward for next year (vs 5 down). Current quarter EPS estimates rose from $1.77 to $1.82 over 30 days. Estimates are being revised higher across all timeframes.

Firm Track Record — Wells Fargo

Wells Fargo accuracy: 55% on 6036 calls | avg return: 3.6%

Industry benchmark: mean 51% ± 11%. Top tier: ≥61% (mean + 1σ). Based on 15 firms with ≥5 scored calls.

FirmAccuracyCallsAvg Returnvs Average
WestPark Capital 100% 3/3 13.8% top tier
Susquehanna 100% 3/3 15.6% top tier
MoffettNathanson 100% 2/2 3.1% top tier
Goldman Sachs 86% 6/7 10.2% top tier
Evercore ISI Group 86% 6/7 10.4% top tier
Truist Securities 80% 8/10 6.4% top tier
Oppenheimer 75% 6/8 7% top tier
Maxim Group 75% 3/4 6% top tier
Jefferies 75% 3/4 9.7% top tier
Stifel 73% 8/11 7.8% top tier

Wells Fargo has a 55% accuracy rate on 6,036 scored calls with an average return of 3.6%, placing it in the middle of the peer group. Top-tier firms include WestPark Capital (100% on 3 calls, avg return 13.8%), Susquehanna (100% on 3, 15.6%), and Goldman Sachs (86% on 7, 10.2%). Lower-tier firms include Benchmark (67% on 12, 3.8%) and Baird (67% on 6, 3.5%). Wells Fargo's accuracy is below the top-tier average but above the lowest.

Earnings Estimates

Next earnings: Jul 29, 2026

PeriodEPS Est.EPS RangeRevenueRevisions (7d)
0y $8.65 $7.56 — $9.93 $822.8B ↑2 ↓0
0q $1.82 $1.56 — $2.10 $195.8B ↑1 ↓0
+1y $9.86 $7.75 — $11.41 $929.3B ↑2 ↓0
+1q $1.91 $1.45 — $2.22 $204.5B ↑0 ↓0

Cross-Platform Signals

Insider Trades (90d)
0 buys / 5 sells
Congressional
Gilbert Cisneros (democrat) — buy $1,001 - $15,000
Congressional
Gilbert Cisneros (democrat) — buy $1,001 - $15,000
Congressional
Ro Khanna (democrat) — buy $1,001 - $15,000
Institutional
NORGES BANK — new
Institutional
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC — near_exit (-77.2%)
Institutional
Fund 1 Investments, LLC — doubled (167.8%)
Short Interest
Short: 3,273,852 | Exempt: 20,605 | Total: 13,617,799 | Ratio: 24.0%

Insider selling is a bearish contra-signal: five C-suite executives sold ~$5.5M in late May 2026, including EVP David Zapolsky ($2.5M) and CFO Matthew Garman ($1.1M). Congressional buying is modestly bullish — five buys from Democrats totaling $1K-$50K each. Institutional activity is mixed: Norges Bank initiated a massive $32.9B position (bullish), while Berkshire Hathaway nearly exited (down 77.2%). Short interest is elevated at 24.0% of float, suggesting bearish positioning. The insider selling diverges from the bullish analyst signal, reducing conviction.

Actionable Insight

Wells Fargo's upgrade is a modest positive, but the below-consensus PT and insider selling warrant caution. Traders should wait for confirmation from higher-accuracy firms before adding to positions, and monitor the next earnings report on July 29, 2026 for catalyst.

Documents Analyzed

Report based on filing metadata.

34 reports for AMZN
Performance horizon
91% Hit rate 10 of 11 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +27.91%Apr 6, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for AMZN — sortable, filterable
Type Now
May 31, 2026
5d ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 3/10
$220.09 $220.60▲ +0.23%▼ −0.90%$246.03 (+11.79%)
May 29, 2026
7d ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$270.52 $250.02▼ −7.58%▼ −7.28%$246.03 (−9.05%)
May 26, 2026
10d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
awaiting T+5
May 26, 2026
10d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
awaiting T+5
May 26, 2026
10d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
awaiting T+5
May 26, 2026
10d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
awaiting T+5
May 26, 2026
10d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
awaiting T+5
May 26, 2026
10d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
awaiting T+5
May 26, 2026
10d ago
Court Ruling
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$265.30 $261.26▼ −1.52%▼ −2.61%$246.03 (−7.26%)
May 26, 2026
10d ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$265.30 $261.26▼ −1.52%▼ −2.61%$246.03 (−7.26%)
Showing 10 of 34

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (37h 56m)

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