APG APi Group Corp

NEUTRAL Impact: 3/10 Insider Cluster (2 insiders)
Horizon weeks Filed May 4, 2026 Processed 1mo ago
Insider cluster: 2 insiders, $14.1M total
Latest settled — T+20d
APG ▼ -9.13% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -9.13% · α vs SPY -14.78% · entry $44.67 → $40.59
Next anchor: T+60d in 6w
Currently $42.34 · -5.22% from $44.67 entry
Entry anchored
May 1, 03:59 PM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
+2.06%
call +2.06% · α +1.26%
$45.59
settled 6w ago
T+5d
-1.23%
call -1.23% · α -4.17%
$44.12
settled 5w ago
T+20d
-9.13%
call -9.13% · α -14.78%
$40.59
settled 12d ago
T+60d
call — · α —
in 6w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Two APG directors sold a combined $14.06M in open-market sales over two days, immediately following the company's record Q1 earnings beat and raised guidance. While the dollar amount is modest relative to APG's $19.8B market cap (0.07%), the timing—right after a bullish earnings release—raises questions about insider conviction at current levels. Historical calibration on this ticker shows past bullish calls have underperformed, with a T+20 win rate of only 25%.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
selling
Total Value
$14.1M
Insiders
2

Actionable Insight

The selling is modest relative to market cap and involves only directors, not C-suite executives—reducing its signal value. However, the cluster's proximity to a strong earnings beat is unusual; typically insiders hold after good news. Monitor for any Form 4 filings from CEO/CFO in the coming weeks; if C-suite joins the selling, the signal escalates. For now, treat as routine portfolio diversification with no actionable trade trigger.

Key Facts

  • Two directors (Ashken and Lillie) sold $14.06M in open-market sales on May 4-5, 2026
  • Sales occurred 6 days after APG reported record Q1 2026: revenue +15.3% YoY, adjusted EBITDA +21.8%, raised full-year guidance
  • Total insider sales represent ~0.07% of APG's $19.8B market cap—trivial relative to company size
  • No insider buying in the cluster; all transactions were open-market sales
  • Prior 30-day insider activity showed $18.4M in sales, consistent with ongoing director-level selling

Financial Impact

$14.06M in insider sales, representing 0.07% of market cap

insider ownership

Risk Factors

  • Insider selling after strong earnings could indicate management sees limited near-term upside at current valuation
  • Historical calibration shows APG bullish calls have underperformed; the stock may be fully priced
  • No insider buying to offset the selling—unidirectional selling pattern

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Services-To Dwellings & Other Buildings
Analyst Consensus
94% bullish (16 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 SEC document filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)cluster-APG-1778107616497
8 reports for APG
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for APG — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 11, 2026
2d ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$41.38 awaiting T+20awaiting T+20$42.34 (+2.33%)
Jun 9, 2026
3d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$42.51 awaiting T+20awaiting T+20$42.34 (−0.39%)
May 4, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$44.67 $40.59▼ −9.13%▼ −14.78%$42.34 (−5.22%)
Apr 30, 2026
6w ago
S-3ASR
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$45.72 $41.58▼ −9.06%▼ −14.02%$42.34 (−7.39%)
Apr 30, 2026
6w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$45.72 $41.00▼ −10.32%▼ −15.55%$42.34 (−7.39%)
Apr 3, 2026
10w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$42.21 $44.67▲ +5.83%▼ −3.15%$42.34 (+0.31%)
Feb 26, 2026
15w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$45.13 $40.77▼ −9.66%▼ −3.26%$42.34 (−6.18%)
Feb 25, 2026
15w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$44.76 $42.16▼ −5.81%▼ −0.57%$42.34 (−5.41%)
Showing 8 of 8

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (49h 46m)

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