ASTE ASTEC INDUSTRIES INC

BEARISH Impact: 7/10 8-K
Horizon immediate Filed May 6, 2026 Processed 1mo ago SEC 0000792987-26-000025
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
ASTE ▼ -4.42% at T+20d
SHORT call ✓ call won +4.42% · α vs SPY +7.20% · entry $53.60 → $51.23
Next anchor: T+60d in 7w
Last close $51.36 (close Jun 8) · +4.18% from $53.60 entry (call sign-flipped)
Entry anchored
May 6, 2026
via day open
T+1d
-1.12%
call +1.12% · α +0.79%
$53.00
settled 5w ago
T+5d
-6.60%
call +6.60% · α +7.74%
$50.06
settled 28d ago
T+20d
-4.42%
call +4.42% · α +7.20%
$51.23
settled 6d ago
T+60d
call — · α —
in 7w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Astec reported Q1 2026 GAAP diluted EPS of $0.06, a 90.3% decline from $0.62 in Q1 2025, and net income fell 90.9% to $1.3M. Revenue grew 20.3% to $396.3M, driven by a 70.6% surge in Materials Solutions, but Infrastructure Solutions was flat and profitability collapsed due to mix, tariffs, and ConExpo costs. Management maintained full-year 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance of $170M-$190M, but the severe earnings miss and margin compression overshadow the top-line growth.

Key Financial Metrics

Free Cash Flow
$32.6M
Gross Margin
25%

Actionable Insight

The 90% EPS miss versus consensus ($0.06 actual vs $0.88 expected) is a severe negative surprise that will likely drive significant selling pressure. Watch for the conference call for color on whether tariff and mix headwinds persist into Q2. The maintained EBITDA guidance provides a floor, but the magnitude of the Q1 miss undermines credibility.

Key Facts

  • GAAP diluted EPS of $0.06, down 90.3% YoY from $0.62
  • Net income attributable to controlling interest of $1.3M, down 90.9% YoY from $14.3M
  • Revenue of $396.3M, up 20.3% YoY, driven by Materials Solutions (+70.6%)
  • Infrastructure Solutions revenue flat at $237.0M (+0.4%)
  • GAAP operating income fell 56.1% to $9.0M; operating margin contracted 390 bps to 2.3%
  • Adjusted EPS (non-GAAP) of $0.54, down 40.7% YoY from $0.91
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $30.3M, down 13.9% YoY; adjusted EBITDA margin contracted 310 bps to 7.6%
  • Backlog grew 36.4% to $549.2M, signaling future demand
  • Operating cash flow of $40.7M, up from $20.5M; free cash flow of $32.6M, up from $16.6M
  • Leverage at 2.3x, within target range of 1.5x-2.5x
  • Full-year 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance maintained at $170M-$190M

Financial Impact

GAAP EPS collapsed 90% YoY to $0.06, far below the $0.88 Street consensus; net income fell to $1.3M from $14.3M. Revenue growth was entirely inorganic and from the lower-margin Materials segment.

epsnet incomeoperating marginebitda margin

Risk Factors

  • Tariff and freight cost headwinds may persist, further compressing margins
  • Infrastructure Solutions organic weakness could continue if mix issues are not resolved
  • High leverage (2.3x) limits financial flexibility if earnings deteriorate further
  • Maintained guidance may prove unachievable if Q1 trends continue

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Construction Machinery & Equip
Analyst Consensus
88% bullish (8 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0000792987-26-000025
Document: aste-20260506.htm0000792987-26-000025
Document: 0000792987-26-000025-index-headers.html0000792987-26-000025
Document: 0000792987-26-000025-index.html0000792987-26-000025
Document: 0000792987-26-000025.txt0000792987-26-000025
8-K Data (Synthetic)0000792987-26-000025
4 reports for ASTE
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for ASTE — sortable, filterable
Type Now
May 6, 2026
4w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$53.60 $51.23▲ +4.42%▲ +7.20%$51.36 (+4.18%)
Apr 15, 2026
7w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$57.83 $49.05▼ −15.18%▼ −21.00%$51.36 (−11.19%)
Mar 13, 2026
12w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$52.65 $61.63▲ +17.06%▲ +13.28%$51.36 (−2.45%)
Feb 25, 2026
14w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$61.17 $54.87▼ −10.30%▼ −5.07%$51.36 (−16.04%)
Showing 4 of 4

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