ASTL Algoma Steel Group Inc.

NEUTRAL Impact: 3/10 Institutional Cluster
Horizon weeks Processed 3d 21h ago
Institutional cluster: 3 buyers, 2 sellers (mixed)

Executive Summary

A mixed institutional cluster in ASTL for Q3 2025 shows three passive buyers (Morgan Stanley, Schwab, BofA) adding $526K net to $7.4M in holdings, while two passive sellers (Fidelity, Wells Fargo) cut $19.4M, led by Fidelity trimming 44% of its position. The cluster is dominated by mega-passive managers, suggesting index rebalancing or risk management rather than a shared active thesis, and the net selling pressure is nearly 37x larger than the buying.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
distributing
Buy Value
$7.4M
Sell Value
$27.3M
Net Flow
-$18.9M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: -$18.9M

▲ Buyers (3)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Morgan Stanley DOUBLED +218.9% $4.6M $1.8M
Schwab ADD +30.3% $1.8M -$889.2K
BofA ADD +38.5% $967.0K -$386.0K

▼ Sellers (2)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
Fidelity TRIM -44% -$19.4M
Wells Fargo NEAR_EXIT -93.6% -$63.5K

Actionable Insight

The cluster is dominated by passive rebalancing with a strong sell bias from Fidelity, but the 45-day reporting lag means positions may have already been adjusted. Monitor next 13F for continued selling or a reversal; the weak analyst consensus and small market cap suggest limited institutional conviction. No active catalyst is evident from this cluster alone.

Key Facts

  • 3 passive buyers added $526K net to $7.4M in holdings; Morgan Stanley doubled its position (+218.9% shares, +$1.8M value).
  • 2 passive sellers cut $19.4M; Fidelity trimmed 44% of its stake ($19.4M reduction), Wells Fargo nearly exited (-93.6% shares).
  • Net institutional flow is heavily negative: $19.4M sold vs $526K bought, a 37:1 ratio.
  • All five institutions are mega-passive managers (Morgan Stanley, Schwab, BofA, Fidelity, Wells Fargo), not active hedge funds or activists.
  • Analyst consensus is 0% bullish (3 Hold, 1 Sell, 2 Strong Sell) with a $481M market cap.

Financial Impact

3 passive buyers accumulated $526K in new positions while 2 passive sellers reduced holdings by $19.4M, for a net institutional outflow of ~$18.9M.

institutional ownershipfloat

Risk Factors

  • 13F data is 45+ days stale; positions may have been unwound or reversed since quarter-end.
  • All participants are passive managers, reducing signal quality for active investment theses.
  • Net selling pressure is large relative to market cap (~3.9% of float implied by Fidelity's trim alone), which could weigh on the stock if sustained.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling Mills (Coke Ovens)
Analyst Consensus
0% bullish (6 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-ASTL-2025-Q3
7 reports for ASTL
Performance horizon
75% Hit rate 3 of 4 directional calls best @ T+5▲ +14.97%Apr 7, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for ASTL — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 11, 2026
3d ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$4.57 awaiting T+5awaiting T+5
Jun 4, 2026
10d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$5.40 awaiting T+5awaiting T+5
May 12, 2026
4w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$5.00 $5.18▼ −3.60%▼ −4.76%
Apr 30, 2026
6w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$4.82 $5.14▲ +6.64%▲ +4.29%
Apr 7, 2026
9w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$4.41 $5.07▲ +14.97%▲ +9.64%
Mar 11, 2026
13w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$3.69 $3.64▲ +1.35%▲ +0.38%
Feb 28, 2026
15w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$4.72 $4.34▼ −8.05%▼ −6.84%
Showing 7 of 7

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