AUB Atlantic Union Bankshares Corp

NEUTRAL Impact: 4/10 8-K
Horizon months Filed May 5, 2026 Processed 1mo ago SEC 0000883948-26-000043
8-K context-dependent: Items 7.01
Latest settled — T+20d
AUB-PA ▼ -1.16% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -1.16% · α vs SPY -6.12% · entry $24.91 → $24.62
Next anchor: T+60d in 6w
Last close $40.30 (close Jun 12) · +61.78% from $24.91 entry
Entry anchored
May 5, 2026
via day open
T+1d
+0.36%
call +0.36% · α -1.02%
$25.00
settled 6w ago
T+5d
+0.04%
call +0.04% · α -1.94%
$24.92
settled 5w ago
T+20d
-1.16%
call -1.16% · α -6.12%
$24.62
settled 12d ago
T+60d
call — · α —
in 6w

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Executive Summary

Atlantic Union Bankshares held its annual shareholder meeting on May 5, 2026, presenting a strategic update and 2026 financial outlook. The presentation highlighted Q1 2026 GAAP net income of $122.2M (up 9.1% QoQ), but adjusted operating earnings available to common shareholders declined 8.8% QoQ to $126.2M, and net interest income fell 5.4% QoQ. The company guided for FY2026 net interest income (FTE) of ~$1.34-$1.35B and ROTCE of 19-20%, assuming no Fed rate cuts.

Actionable Insight

The QoQ decline in adjusted operating earnings and net interest income, combined with a flat-to-slightly-down NIM outlook, suggests near-term headwinds from the interest rate environment. Monitor upcoming quarterly results for NIM trajectory and expense control; the medium-term ROTCE target of 19-20% implies confidence in margin stabilization but requires execution.

Key Facts

  • Q1 2026 GAAP net income of $122.2M, up 9.1% from Q4 2025's $112.0M
  • Adjusted operating earnings available to common shareholders fell 8.8% QoQ to $126.2M from $138.4M
  • Net interest income (GAAP) declined 5.4% QoQ to $312.4M from $330.2M
  • FY2026 outlook: Net interest income (FTE) ~$1.34-$1.35B, NIM (FTE) ~3.90%-4.00%
  • Medium-term targets: ROTCE 19-20%, ROA 1.4-1.5%, efficiency ratio (FTE) 46-48%
  • Tangible book value per share $19.93 as of March 31, 2026, up 1.2% from $19.69 at year-end 2025
  • Common dividend of $0.37 per share in Q1 2026, unchanged QoQ but up 8.8% YoY
  • CET1 ratio of 10.2% at the holding company as of March 31, 2026

Financial Impact

Q1 2026 GAAP net income $122.2M; adjusted operating earnings $126.2M; FY2026 NII (FTE) guided to ~$1.34-1.35B

net interest incomenet incomeadjusted operating earningsnet interest marginROTCE

Risk Factors

  • Net interest income declining QoQ amid stable rate assumptions in guidance
  • Adjusted operating earnings down 8.8% QoQ despite GAAP net income improvement
  • Guidance assumes no Fed rate cuts in 2026 — any cut could pressure NIM further

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
State Commercial Banks

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0000883948-26-000043
Document: aub-20260505x8k.htm0000883948-26-000043
Document: 0000883948-26-000043-index-headers.html0000883948-26-000043
Document: 0000883948-26-000043-index.html0000883948-26-000043
Document: 0000883948-26-000043.txt0000883948-26-000043
4 reports for AUB
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for AUB — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 4, 2026
10d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$24.80 $24.66▼ −0.56%▲ +2.03%$40.30 (+62.50%)
May 5, 2026
5w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$24.91 $25.00▲ +0.36%▼ −1.02%$40.30 (+61.78%)
Apr 21, 2026
7w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$24.71 $24.66▼ −0.20%▼ −1.22%$40.30 (+63.09%)
Mar 25, 2026
11w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$35.33 $35.52▲ +0.54%▲ +2.31%$40.30 (+14.07%)
Showing 4 of 4

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