BFC Bank First Corp

BULLISH Impact: 5/10 Institutional Cluster
Horizon weeks Processed 9d 17h ago
Institutional cluster: 5 buyers, 0 sellers (bullish)
Latest settled — T+5d
BFC ▼ -1.81% at T+5d
LONG call ✗ call lost -1.81% · α vs SPY -2.24% · entry $143.99 → $141.39
Next anchor: T+20d in 19d
Entry anchored
Jun 11, 09:53 AM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
+0.81%
call +0.81% · α +0.27%
$145.16
settled 9d ago
T+5d
-1.81%
call -1.81% · α -2.24%
$141.39
settled 3d ago
T+20d
call — · α —
in 19d
T+60d
call — · α —
in 3mo

Executive Summary

Five major institutional investors — four mega-passive asset managers (State Street, UBS, Morgan Stanley, BofA) and one quant fund (Two Sigma) — nearly all doubled or more than doubled their BFC positions in Q3 2025, a rare cluster of unanimous accumulation. Total net buying value reached $34.2M (to $68.9M held), a 99% increase quarter-over-quarter, suggesting a shared view that Bank First remains undervalued relative to its regional-bank peer group despite its outsized exposure to the lower-Growth Wisconsin/Michigan market.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
accumulating
Buy Value
$68.9M
Sell Value
$0.00
Net Flow
$34.2M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $34.2M

▲ Buyers (5)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
State Street ADD +71.1% $51.4M $22.2M
UBS ADD +211.8% $4.0M $2.8M
Morgan Stanley ADD +177.8% $6.7M $4.4M
Two Sigma ADD +210% $3.0M $2.1M
BofA ADD +272% $3.7M $2.8M

Actionable Insight

The unanimous accumulation by both passive and active funds confirms a broad-based institutional re-rating; watch for follow-on disclosures from active value investors in Q4 2025. Given the $34.2M net inflow (roughly 2% of float in a single quarter) and a heavily passive-dominated buyer set, the stock could face selling pressure if macro rotation reverses regional-bank flows. No insider sales cluster against this filing, so the signal is clean.

Key Facts

  • 5 institutions bought, 0 sold
  • Total net buying: +$34.2M (current holdings $68.9M)
  • 4 of 5 are mega-passive managers (State Street, UBS, Morgan Stanley, BofA)
  • Two Sigma (quant) doubled its stake (+210% shares)
  • Aggregate holdings rose from ~294K shares to ~566K shares (+93%)

Financial Impact

5 institutional buyers added $34.2M in new BFC positions during Q3 2025. With BFC's ~$1.6B market cap, the cluster represents ~2% of float accumulation in one quarter.

ownership concentrationinstitutional demandfloat absorption

Risk Factors

  • Cluster is dominated by passive/rebalancing funds, which reduces conviction signal relative to activist or event-driven buyers
  • 13F disclosure lag (45 days); positions may have been partially or fully unwound since quarter-end
  • BFC's outsized exposure to Wisconsin/Michigan agricultural and lower-Growth commercial real estate may dampen ROE recovery vs larger regional peers

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
National Commercial Banks
Analyst Consensus
67% bullish (6 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-BFC-2025-Q3
5 reports for BFC
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for BFC — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 11, 2026
9d ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$143.99 $141.39▼ −1.81%▼ −2.24%
May 19, 2026
4w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$143.05 $140.83▼ −1.55%▼ −3.35%
Apr 24, 2026
8w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$144.19 $145.31▲ +0.78%▼ −0.13%
Apr 22, 2026
8w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$141.83 $144.81▲ +2.10%▲ +0.62%
Apr 16, 2026
9w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$140.87 $144.19▲ +2.36%▲ +1.80%
Showing 5 of 5

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (29h 35m)

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