BRBR BELLRING BRANDS, INC.

BEARISH Impact: 8/10 8-K
Horizon immediate Filed May 5, 2026 Processed 1mo ago SEC 0001628280-26-030115
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
BRBR ▼ -14.96% at T+20d
SHORT call ✓ call won +14.96% · α vs SPY +19.91% · entry $10.63 → $9.04
Next anchor: T+60d in 6w
Last close $8.81 (close Jun 12) · +17.12% from $10.63 entry (call sign-flipped)
Entry anchored
May 4, 03:59 PM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
+4.42%
call -4.42% · α -3.04%
$11.10
settled 6w ago
T+5d
-11.57%
call +11.57% · α +13.56%
$9.40
settled 5w ago
T+20d
-14.96%
call +14.96% · α +19.91%
$9.04
settled 12d ago
T+60d
call — · α —
in 6w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

BellRing Brands reported Q2 FY2026 results significantly below expectations, with GAAP diluted EPS of $0.29 (vs. $0.45 YoY) and net sales of $598.7M (+1.8% YoY). The company slashed its full-year FY2026 guidance: net sales outlook lowered to $2.325-$2.365B (from $2.41-$2.46B, now 0-2% growth) and Adjusted EBITDA outlook cut to $315-$335M (from $425-$440M), reflecting sustained promotional pressure, input cost inflation, tariffs, and a $11.3M inventory-related quality charge. Operating profit fell 31% YoY to $66.0M, and adjusted gross margin collapsed to 22.7% from 34.5% a year ago.

Key Financial Metrics

Guidance
$2.325B-$2.365B
lowered
Free Cash Flow
-$20.3M
Gross Margin
27%

Actionable Insight

The magnitude of the guidance cut (~$100M at the EBITDA midpoint) and the collapse in adjusted gross margins (down 1,180 bps YoY) signal structural margin compression from promotional intensity and input cost inflation. The $11.3M inventory charge adds to quality/supply chain concerns. With the CEO search ongoing and operating cash flow turning negative, watch for potential covenant stress given $1.185B in long-term debt against a shrinking EBITDA base. The stock is likely to gap down significantly.

Key Facts

  • Q2 GAAP diluted EPS $0.29 vs $0.45 YoY (down 36%)
  • Q2 net sales $598.7M, +1.8% YoY, below $608.8M consensus
  • Adjusted diluted EPS $0.14 vs $0.53 YoY (down 74%)
  • Adjusted EBITDA $53.8M vs $118.6M YoY (down 55%)
  • FY2026 net sales guidance cut to $2.325-$2.365B (0-2% growth, previously 4-6%)
  • FY2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance slashed to $315-$335M (from $425-$440M)
  • Gross margin fell to 27.0% from 32.3% YoY; adjusted gross margin 22.7% vs 34.5%
  • $11.3M pre-tax inventory-related charge for substandard third-party ingredient
  • Operating cash flow negative $14.3M YTD vs positive $51.2M a year ago
  • CEO search ongoing; $516.9M remaining under buyback authorization

Financial Impact

FY2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance cut by ~$100M (from $425-440M to $315-335M), representing a ~24% reduction at midpoint

revenueepsgross_marginebitdaguidance

Risk Factors

  • Sustained promotional environment further compressing margins
  • Additional input cost inflation from tariffs and protein/freight costs
  • Potential for further guidance reductions if consumer price sensitivity persists
  • CEO transition uncertainty and potential for strategic disruption
  • Debt service risk if EBITDA continues to decline (net debt/EBITDA leverage rising)

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Food and Kindred Products
Analyst Consensus
77% bullish (22 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 7 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001628280-26-030115
Document: brbr-20260505.htm0001628280-26-030115
Document: brbr2q26supplementalpres.htm0001628280-26-030115
Document: 0001628280-26-030115-index-headers.html0001628280-26-030115
Document: 0001628280-26-030115-index.html0001628280-26-030115
Document: 0001628280-26-030115.txt0001628280-26-030115
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001628280-26-030115
2 reports for BRBR
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

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Reports for BRBR — sortable, filterable
Type Now
May 5, 2026
5w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$10.63 $9.04▲ +14.96%▲ +19.91%$8.81 (+17.12%)
May 5, 2026
5w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$10.63 $9.04▲ +14.96%▲ +19.91%$8.81 (+17.12%)
Showing 2 of 2

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