BRCB Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc.

BULLISH Impact: 4/10 Insider Cluster (3 insiders)
Horizon weeks Filed May 27, 2026 Processed 12d 10h ago
Insider cluster: 3 insiders, $0.1M total
Latest settled — T+5d ⚠ clustered
BRCB ▼ -17.53% at T+5d
LONG call ✗ call lost -17.53% · α vs SPY -17.48% · entry $8.50 → $7.01
Next anchor: T+20d in 15d
Last close $6.19 (close Jun 8) · -27.18% from $8.50 entry
Entry anchored
May 27, 04:00 PM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
-2.12%
call -2.12% · α -2.36%
$8.32
settled 13d ago
T+5d
-17.53%
call -17.53% · α -17.48%
$7.01
settled 7d ago
T+20d
call — · α —
in 15d
T+60d
call — · α —
in 2mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Three BRCB insiders — the Chief Marketing Officer, Chief Operating Officer, and Principal Accounting Officer — made open-market purchases totaling $76K in a cluster between May 20-22, 2026. This insider buying occurred just 8 days after the company amended its Registration Rights Agreement (May 15), which granted certain investors additional demand registration rights post-IPO, suggesting insiders may have been informed of the agreement and saw value at current prices. The cluster is notable for involving multiple C-suite officers, but the total dollar value ($76K) represents only ~0.018% of the $419M market cap, making it a modest signal.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
buying
Total Value
$76.0K
Insiders
3

Actionable Insight

The cluster of C-suite open-market buys following a Registration Rights Agreement amendment suggests insiders see current prices as attractive. However, the dollar amount is small relative to market cap, and BRCB's historical stock performance has been poor. Monitor for any upcoming earnings release or material agreement that could catalyze a move. The cross-filing amplifier supports a modest bullish tilt, but position sizing should reflect the low historical win rate.

Key Facts

  • Three insiders made open-market purchases totaling $76K: CMO (3.1K shares at $6.46), COO (925 shares at $6.86), and PAO (7.1K shares at $6.98)
  • Purchases occurred May 20-22, 2026, within 8 days of an amendment to the Registration Rights Agreement (May 15, 2026) that granted additional demand registration rights to certain investors
  • Total cluster value of $76K is ~0.018% of BRCB's $419M market cap — a modest but not trivial amount for a micro-cap
  • All three trades are open-market buys (code P), not grants or tax-withholding events
  • Historical model performance on BRCB is poor (13% win rate at T+20), but the cross-filing context (insider cluster + agreement) is a statistically significant amplifier per the calibration data

Financial Impact

Insider purchases total $76K, representing 0.018% of market cap — a modest signal of insider confidence

insider ownershipmarket confidence

Risk Factors

  • Historical model performance on BRCB shows a 13% win rate at T+20 — past bullish calls have been wrong
  • The $76K cluster is small relative to market cap and may not reflect a strong conviction signal
  • The Registration Rights Agreement amendment could lead to future secondary offerings, creating overhang

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Retail-Eating & Drinking Places
Analyst Consensus
86% bullish (14 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 SEC document filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)cluster-BRCB-1780008369520
14 reports for BRCB
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate 4 of 6 directional calls best @ T+5▲ +18.06%May 21, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for BRCB — sortable, filterable
Type Now
May 27, 2026
13d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$8.50 $7.01▼ −17.53%▼ −17.48%$6.19 (−27.18%)
May 27, 2026
13d ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$8.50 $7.01▼ −17.53%▼ −17.48%$6.19 (−27.18%)
May 27, 2026
13d ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$8.50 $7.01▼ −17.53%▼ −17.48%$6.19 (−27.18%)
May 23, 2026
18d ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$7.43 $7.32▼ −1.48%▼ −2.69%$6.19 (−16.69%)
May 21, 2026
19d ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$6.81 $8.04▲ +18.06%▲ +16.39%$6.19 (−9.10%)
May 21, 2026
19d ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$6.81 $8.04▲ +18.06%▲ +16.39%$6.19 (−9.10%)
May 16, 2026
24d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$6.91 $7.43▲ +7.53%▲ +5.91%$6.19 (−10.42%)
May 12, 2026
28d ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$7.65 $6.68▼ −12.68%▼ −11.52%$6.19 (−19.08%)
Apr 27, 2026
6w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$12.75 $11.38▼ −10.75%▼ −11.15%$6.19 (−51.45%)
Apr 16, 2026
7w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$14.26 $12.70▼ −10.94%▼ −11.92%$6.19 (−56.59%)
Showing 10 of 14

US Market Status

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