BRCB Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc.

BULLISH Impact: 6/10 PRESS-RELEASE
Horizon days Filed May 12, 2026 Processed 1mo ago Wire GlobeNewswire
Press release: earnings
Latest settled — T+5d
BRCB ▼ -12.68% at T+5d
LONG call ✗ call lost -12.68% · α vs SPY -11.52% · entry $7.65 → $6.68
Next anchor: T+20d due 3d ago
Currently $7.37 · -3.66% from $7.65 entry
Entry anchored
May 12, 03:59 PM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
0.00%
call 0.00% · α +0.00%
$7.65
settled 4w ago
T+5d
-12.68%
call -12.68% · α -11.52%
$6.68
settled 25d ago
T+20d
call — · α —
due 3d ago
T+60d
call — · α —
in 8w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Black Rock Coffee Bar reported Q1 2026 EPS of $0.04, beating the $0.02 consensus by 100%, and revenue of $55.5M, slightly below the $56.6M estimate. Revenue grew 23.7% YoY, same-store sales rose 5.2%, and net income swung to $1.8M from a -$0.9M loss a year ago. The company reaffirmed full-year 2026 guidance, which tempers the bullish surprise from the quarter.

Key Financial Metrics

Guidance
$255M-$257M
maintained

Actionable Insight

The EPS beat and strong revenue growth are positive, but the revenue miss vs consensus and deceleration in same-store sales growth (5.2% vs 9.2%) warrant caution. With FY2026 guidance reaffirmed, the stock may rally on the earnings beat but could face resistance if macro headwinds pressure consumer spending. Monitor upcoming monthly sales data and Q2 2026 results for same-store sales trajectory.

Key Facts

  • EPS of $0.04 beat consensus of $0.02 by 100% (71.7% per filing context).
  • Revenue of $55.5M grew 23.7% YoY but missed the $56.6M consensus by ~1.9%.
  • Same-store sales grew 5.2% YoY, down from 9.2% in the prior year period.
  • Net income of $1.8M vs. a net loss of $(0.9)M in Q1 2025.
  • Adjusted EBITDA grew 23.5% to $7.4M; margin held flat at 13.4%.
  • Company reaffirmed FY2026 guidance: revenue $255M-$257M, adjusted EBITDA $33.5M-$34.5M, 36 new store openings.
  • Opened 9 new stores in Q1, ending period with 190 total locations.
  • Cash and equivalents of $20.0M; $25M revolver undrawn; total debt $27.4M.

Financial Impact

EPS beat of $0.02 vs consensus; revenue miss of ~$1.1M vs consensus; net income swing of +$2.7M YoY

epsrevenuenet incomesame-store sales growthadjusted ebitda

Risk Factors

  • Revenue missed consensus by ~1.9%, which may cap upside despite the EPS beat.
  • Same-store sales growth decelerated from 9.2% to 5.2% YoY, signaling potential demand softening.
  • SG&A expenses grew faster than revenue (34.3% vs 23.7%), pressuring operating margins.
  • Reaffirmed guidance provides no upside catalyst; any future miss could amplify downside.
  • Historical calibration shows prior bullish calls on BRCB have underperformed at T+20 (avg -8.30% P&L, 0% win rate).

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Retail-Eating & Drinking Places
Analyst Consensus
86% bullish (14 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3293407
15 reports for BRCB
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate 4 of 6 directional calls best @ T+5▲ +18.06%May 21, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for BRCB — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 11, 2026
2d ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$6.20 awaiting T+5awaiting T+5$7.37 (+18.87%)
May 27, 2026
16d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$8.50 $7.01▼ −17.53%▼ −17.48%$7.37 (−13.29%)
May 27, 2026
16d ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$8.50 $7.01▼ −17.53%▼ −17.48%$7.37 (−13.29%)
May 27, 2026
16d ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$8.50 $7.01▼ −17.53%▼ −17.48%$7.37 (−13.29%)
May 23, 2026
21d ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$7.43 $7.32▼ −1.48%▼ −2.69%$7.37 (−0.81%)
May 21, 2026
22d ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$6.81 $8.04▲ +18.06%▲ +16.39%$7.37 (+8.22%)
May 21, 2026
22d ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$6.81 $8.04▲ +18.06%▲ +16.39%$7.37 (+8.22%)
May 16, 2026
28d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$6.91 $7.43▲ +7.53%▲ +5.91%$7.37 (+6.66%)
May 12, 2026
4w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$7.65 $6.68▼ −12.68%▼ −11.52%$7.37 (−3.66%)
Apr 27, 2026
6w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$12.75 $11.38▼ −10.75%▼ −11.15%$7.37 (−42.20%)
Showing 10 of 15

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (48h 56m)

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