CCJ CAMECO CORP

BULLISH Impact: 7/10 6-K
Horizon weeks Filed May 5, 2026 Processed 1mo ago SEC 0001193125-26-205080
Notable filing: 6-K
Latest settled — T+20d
CCJ ▲ +5.29% at T+20d
LONG call ✓ call won +5.29% · α vs SPY +0.33% · entry $114.46 → $120.51
Next anchor: T+60d in 6w
Last close $100.96 (close Jun 12) · -11.79% from $114.46 entry
Entry anchored
May 4, 03:59 PM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
+8.13%
call +8.13% · α +6.74%
$123.76
settled 6w ago
T+5d
+4.96%
call +4.96% · α +2.98%
$120.14
settled 5w ago
T+20d
+5.29%
call +5.29% · α +0.33%
$120.51
settled 12d ago
T+60d
call — · α —
in 6w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Cameco reported Q1 2026 results with net earnings of $131M (up 87% YoY), adjusted net earnings of $203M (up >100%), and adjusted EBITDA of $509M (up 44%). Revenue grew 7% to $845M driven by higher uranium sales volumes and improved realized prices, partially offset by lower fuel services revenue. The company maintained its 2026 guidance across all segments and highlighted a strong balance sheet with $1.1B cash and $1.0B undrawn credit facility. The uranium segment saw earnings before taxes rise 58% to $358M, while fuel services earnings fell 35% to $44M. Westinghouse contributed $122M in adjusted EBITDA (up 33%).

Actionable Insight

Cameco's strong Q1 beat across revenue, earnings, and EBITDA with maintained guidance signals operational momentum in a rising uranium price environment. The extended Key Lake mill shutdown in Q3 may create a near-term production gap, but the company's inventory position and product loan facilities provide buffer. Watch for continued long-term contracting momentum and Westinghouse's ability to convert AP1000 interest into revenue. The $1.1B cash position and undrawn revolver provide financial flexibility for strategic moves or capital returns.

Key Facts

  • Q1 2026 net earnings attributable to equity holders: $131M vs $70M in Q1 2025 (+87%)
  • Adjusted net earnings: $203M vs $70M in Q1 2025 (+190%)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $509M vs $353M in Q1 2025 (+44%)
  • Revenue: $845M vs $789M in Q1 2025 (+7%)
  • Uranium segment earnings before taxes: $358M vs $227M in Q1 2025 (+58%)
  • Uranium sales volume: 7.8M lbs vs 6.9M lbs in Q1 2025 (+13%)
  • Uranium average realized price: US$66.21/lb vs US$62.55/lb in Q1 2025 (+6%)
  • Fuel services earnings before taxes: $44M vs $68M in Q1 2025 (-35%)
  • Fuel services average realized price: $48.53/kgU vs $56.64/kgU in Q1 2025 (-14%)
  • Westinghouse adjusted EBITDA (Cameco share): $122M vs $92M in Q1 2025 (+33%)
  • Cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments: $1.1B at March 31, 2026
  • Total debt: $1.0B with $1.0B undrawn revolving credit facility
  • 2026 guidance unchanged: uranium production 19.5-21.5M lbs, fuel services 13-14M kgU, Westinghouse adjusted EBITDA US$370M-US$430M
  • Uranium inventory: 9.1M lbs at average cost of $50.24/lb
  • JV Inkai dividend received post-quarter: US$124M net of withholdings
  • Average uranium spot price at quarter end: US$84.25/lb, long-term price: US$91.50/lb

Financial Impact

Q1 2026 net earnings increased $61M YoY to $131M; adjusted EBITDA increased $156M to $509M. Revenue grew $56M to $845M. Uranium segment gross profit increased $56M to $259M. Fuel services gross profit decreased $23M to $45M.

revenuenet earningsadjusted EBITDAgross profitsales volumeaverage realized pricecash flow from operations

Risk Factors

  • Extended Key Lake mill maintenance shutdown in Q3 could reduce operational capacity and expected production levels
  • Fuel services segment showing declining average realized prices (-14% YoY) and margins (-29% YoY)
  • Westinghouse reported a net loss of $46M (Cameco share) despite improved adjusted EBITDA
  • Ongoing CRA transfer pricing dispute with $559M in cash and letters of credit held as security
  • Geopolitical risks including transportation disruptions for JV Inkai production from Kazakhstan
  • Potential US tariffs on Canadian uranium products could impact financial results
  • Cash flow from operations was negative $22M in Q1 vs positive $110M in Q1 2025 due to higher working capital and tax payments

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Miscellaneous Metal Ores
Analyst Consensus
85% bullish (20 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 9 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
6-K Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-205080
Document: d103546dex993.htm0001193125-26-205080
Document: d103546dex991.htm0001193125-26-205080
Document: d103546dex994.htm0001193125-26-205080
Document: d103546dex995.htm0001193125-26-205080
Document: d103546d6k.htm0001193125-26-205080
Document: 0001193125-26-205080-index-headers.html0001193125-26-205080
Document: 0001193125-26-205080-index.html0001193125-26-205080
Document: 0001193125-26-205080.txt0001193125-26-205080
8 reports for CCJ
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for CCJ — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 1, 2026
13d ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$120.51 $114.56▼ −4.94%▼ −4.24%$100.96 (−16.22%)
May 28, 2026
17d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$110.63 $112.70▲ +1.87%▲ +1.63%$100.96 (−8.74%)
May 11, 2026
4w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$120.14 $116.93▲ +2.67%▲ +2.54%$100.96 (+15.96%)
May 8, 2026
5w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$116.75 $120.14▲ +2.90%▲ +2.67%$100.96 (−13.52%)
May 5, 2026
5w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$114.46 $123.76▲ +8.13%▲ +6.74%$100.96 (−11.79%)
Apr 2, 2026
10w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$112.57 $110.48▼ −1.86%▼ −2.33%$100.96 (−10.31%)
Apr 2, 2026
10w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$112.57 $110.48▼ −1.86%▼ −2.33%$100.96 (−10.31%)
Apr 2, 2026
10w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$112.57 $110.48▼ −1.86%▼ −2.33%$100.96 (−10.31%)
Showing 8 of 8

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