CLMT Calumet, Inc. /DE

BEARISH Impact: 6/10 8-K
Horizon weeks Filed May 8, 2026 Processed 1mo ago SEC 0002013745-26-000013
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
CLMT ▲ +9.63% at T+20d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -9.63% · α vs SPY -9.61% · entry $32.08 → $35.17
Next anchor: T+60d in 8w
Last close $35.50 (close Jun 8) · -10.66% from $32.08 entry (call sign-flipped)
Entry anchored
May 7, 03:59 PM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
+0.75%
call -0.75% · α -0.52%
$32.32
settled 4w ago
T+5d
-2.34%
call +2.34% · α +3.80%
$31.33
settled 26d ago
T+20d
+9.63%
call -9.63% · α -9.61%
$35.17
settled yesterday
T+60d
call — · α —
in 8w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Calumet reported Q1 2026 GAAP net loss of $317.0M ($3.64/share), widening from a $162.0M loss a year ago, driven by $147.4M in non-cash RINs expense and $102.7M in unrealized derivative losses. Adjusted EBITDA with Tax Attributes fell to $50.1M from $55.0M, with operational downtime at Shreveport and the Montana Renewables turnaround weighing on results. Management highlighted a transformative EPA SET2 RVO announcement and the commencement of MaxSAF 150 operations as catalysts for improved biofuel margins going forward.

Key Financial Metrics

Free Cash Flow
-$99.4M
Gross Margin
-8.5%

Actionable Insight

The headline GAAP loss and cash burn are alarming, but the market is likely to look through the non-cash RINs/derivative charges and focus on the operational catalysts: MaxSAF 150 startup and the EPA SET2 RVO tailwind for renewable diesel margins. Monitor Q2 2026 results for evidence of margin recovery and cash flow improvement. The Shreveport outage is resolved, removing a near-term headwind.

Key Facts

  • Q1 2026 GAAP net loss of $317.0M vs $162.0M loss in Q1 2025
  • GAAP EPS of -$3.64 vs -$1.87 in prior year period
  • Adjusted EBITDA with Tax Attributes of $50.1M, down from $55.0M in Q1 2025
  • Sales of $1,029.7M, up 3.6% from $993.9M in Q1 2025
  • Operating cash flow was -$86.2M vs -$29.3M in Q1 2025
  • Shreveport plant experienced unplanned outage due to organic chloride contamination, losing ~750,000 barrels of production
  • Montana Renewables completed turnaround and commenced MaxSAF 150 operations in early May 2026
  • EPA's SET2 RVO announcement in March 2026 cited as transformative for biofuel margins
  • Net loss includes $147.4M non-cash RINs expense and $102.7M unrealized derivative losses
  • Total debt increased to $2,332.0M from $2,233.5M at year-end 2025

Financial Impact

GAAP net loss widened by $155.0M year-over-year; Adjusted EBITDA with Tax Attributes declined $4.9M; operating cash flow worsened by $56.9M

net incomeEPSoperating cash flowAdjusted EBITDA

Risk Factors

  • Persistent negative operating cash flow could pressure liquidity despite $138.6M cash on hand
  • RINs obligation ballooned to $316.7M from $169.3M at year-end, a significant near-term liability
  • Renewable diesel margin recovery depends on regulatory implementation of SET2 RVO, which carries execution risk
  • High debt load ($2.3B) with $32.6M current portion; interest expense of $51.1M per quarter is a fixed burden
  • Stockholders' equity turned more negative to -$1,043.2M from -$732.7M, signaling balance sheet strain

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Petroleum Refining
Analyst Consensus
58% bullish (12 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0002013745-26-000013
Document: clmt-20260331x8k.htm0002013745-26-000013
Document: 0002013745-26-000013-index-headers.html0002013745-26-000013
Document: 0002013745-26-000013-index.html0002013745-26-000013
Document: 0002013745-26-000013.txt0002013745-26-000013
8-K Data (Synthetic)0002013745-26-000013
6 reports for CLMT
Performance horizon
Filters
Rows
Reports for CLMT — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 4, 2026
5d ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$37.13 awaiting T+20awaiting T+20$35.50 (−4.39%)
May 8, 2026
4w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$32.08 $35.17▼ −9.63%▼ −9.61%$35.50 (−10.66%)
Apr 20, 2026
7w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$32.53 $32.35▼ −0.55%▼ −5.47%$35.50 (+9.13%)
Apr 1, 2026
9w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$35.06 $32.72▼ −6.67%▼ −16.55%$35.50 (+1.25%)
Mar 12, 2026
12w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$28.74 $33.65▲ +17.08%▲ +15.11%$35.50 (+23.52%)
Feb 27, 2026
14w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$26.96 $32.06▲ +18.92%▲ +26.47%$35.50 (+31.68%)
Showing 6 of 6

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