CRC California Resources Corp

BULLISH Impact: 7/10 8-K
Horizon months Filed May 5, 2026 Processed 1mo ago SEC 0001609253-26-000102
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
CRC ▲ +1.20% at T+20d
LONG call ✓ call won +1.20% · α vs SPY -1.58% · entry $61.46 → $62.20
Next anchor: T+60d in 6w
Last close $58.61 (close Jun 12) · -4.64% from $61.46 entry
Entry anchored
May 5, 2026
via day open
T+1d
-0.55%
call -0.55% · α -0.22%
$61.12
settled 6w ago
T+5d
-2.90%
call -2.90% · α -4.03%
$59.68
settled 5w ago
T+20d
+1.20%
call +1.20% · α -1.58%
$62.20
settled 12d ago
T+60d
call — · α —
in 6w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

CRC reported Q1 2026 adjusted EPS of $0.88, beating consensus of $0.83 (+6%), with revenue of $967M up 6.7% YoY. The company raised 2026E adjusted EBITDAX guidance by 42% to $1.4-$1.5B, driven by higher oil prices, increased Berry merger synergies, and an accelerated drilling program (7 rigs in H2). GAAP net loss of $711M was due to non-cash derivative losses, but operating fundamentals and forward guidance are strong.

Key Financial Metrics

Free Cash Flow
-$32.0M

Actionable Insight

The 42% EBITDAX guidance raise and accelerated drilling signal strong operational momentum. Monitor H2 2026 production ramp to 175 MBoed exit rate and oil price realizations (Brent assumed $90.58/bbl for FY). The stock should re-rate on improved cash flow visibility.

Key Facts

  • Q1 2026 adjusted EPS $0.88 vs consensus $0.83 (beat 6%)
  • Revenue (before derivatives) $967M, up 6.7% YoY from $906M
  • 2026E adjusted EBITDAX guidance raised 42% to $1,400-$1,500M midpoint $1,450M
  • Net production 154 MBoed (81% oil), up from 141 MBoed Q1 2025
  • Free cash flow -$32M (positive $116M before working capital changes)
  • Returned $46M to shareholders ($36M dividends, $10M buybacks)
  • Announced H2 2026 7-rig program targeting ~175 MBoed exit rate
  • Berry merger synergy target raised 12% to $90-$100M

Financial Impact

Adjusted EBITDAX guidance midpoint increased ~$430M to $1.45B (42% raise)

adjusted EBITDAXproductioncapital expendituresfree cash flow

Risk Factors

  • Crude oil price volatility (Brent down from $77.90/bbl in Q1 to $90.58 assumed for FY? Actually Q1 Brent was $77.90, FY assumption $90.58 — if oil drops, guidance may not hold)
  • Execution risk on 7-rig drilling program and permitting in California
  • Non-cash derivative losses may continue to distort GAAP earnings
  • Negative free cash flow in Q1 due to higher capex; liquidity $1,276M

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
Analyst Consensus
88% bullish (17 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001609253-26-000102
Document: crc-20260430.htm0001609253-26-000102
Document: 0001609253-26-000102-index-headers.html0001609253-26-000102
Document: 0001609253-26-000102-index.html0001609253-26-000102
Document: 0001609253-26-000102.txt0001609253-26-000102
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001609253-26-000102
9 reports for CRC
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 3 of 3 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +12.73%Mar 2, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for CRC — sortable, filterable
Type Now
May 5, 2026
5w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$61.46 $62.20▲ +1.20%▼ −1.58%$58.61 (−4.64%)
May 5, 2026
5w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$61.46 $62.20▲ +1.20%▼ −1.58%$58.61 (−4.64%)
Apr 17, 2026
8w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$62.18 $62.50▲ +0.51%▼ −3.69%$58.61 (−5.74%)
Mar 18, 2026
12w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$62.91 $62.74▼ −0.27%▼ −7.89%$58.61 (−6.84%)
Mar 11, 2026
13w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$61.72 $66.55▲ +7.83%▲ +5.86%$58.61 (−5.03%)
Mar 5, 2026
14w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$63.14 $67.72▼ −7.26%▼ −11.05%$58.61 (+7.17%)
Mar 5, 2026
14w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$63.14 $67.72▼ −7.26%▼ −11.05%$58.61 (+7.17%)
Mar 5, 2026
14w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$63.14 $67.72▲ +7.26%▲ +11.05%$58.61 (−7.17%)
Mar 2, 2026
14w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$61.11 $68.89▲ +12.73%▲ +20.67%$58.61 (−4.09%)
Showing 9 of 9

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