CRCL Circle Internet Group, Inc.

MIXED Impact: 6/10 8-K
Horizon weeks Filed May 11, 2026 Processed 1mo ago SEC 0001876042-26-000148
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Latest settled — T+5d
CRCL ▼ -15.46% at T+5d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -15.46% · α vs SPY -15.37% · entry $131.76 → $111.39
Next anchor: T+20d due 4d ago
Currently $77.84 · -40.92% from $131.76 entry
Entry anchored
May 11, 06:27 AM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
-6.16%
call -6.16% · α -6.02%
$123.65
settled 5w ago
T+5d
-15.46%
call -15.46% · α -15.37%
$111.39
settled 26d ago
T+20d
call — · α —
due 4d ago
T+60d
call — · α —
in 8w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Circle Internet Group reported Q1 2026 total revenue and reserve income of $694M (+20% YoY) and GAAP net income of $55M (-15% YoY), while Adjusted EBITDA grew 24% to $151M. The company also disclosed a $222M ARC token presale at a $3B fully diluted valuation, with repayment rights if mainnet milestones are not met by May 2028. Revenue growth was driven by higher USDC circulation, but net income declined due to increased stock-based compensation and operating investments.

Key Financial Metrics

Guidance
$150M-$170M (Other Revenue FY2026)
maintained

Actionable Insight

The ARC token presale provides $222M in non-dilutive capital but carries execution risk tied to mainnet milestones. Net income decline despite revenue growth signals margin compression from post-IPO stock compensation. Monitor the May 2028 mainnet deadline and Q2 operating expense trajectory for signs of operating leverage.

Key Facts

  • Total revenue and reserve income of $694M in Q1 2026, up 20% YoY from $579M
  • GAAP net income from continuing operations of $55M, down 15% YoY from $65M
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $151M, up 24% YoY from $122M
  • USDC in circulation of $77.0B at quarter end, up 28% YoY
  • ARC token presale raised $222M at $0.30/token, $3B fully diluted valuation
  • Token purchase agreements include repayment rights if mainnet transition not completed by May 8, 2028
  • Management affirmed prior FY2026 guidance: Other Revenue $150-170M, RLDC Margin 38-40%, Adjusted OpEx $570-585M
  • GAAP diluted EPS of $0.21 vs consensus estimate of $0.18 (beat)
  • Operating expenses of $242M increased 76% YoY, driven by stock-based compensation and payroll taxes

Financial Impact

Q1 revenue $694M (+20% YoY), net income $55M (-15% YoY), ARC token presale $222M gross proceeds

revenuenet incomeadjusted EBITDAUSDC circulationoperating expenses

Risk Factors

  • ARC token presale repayment obligations if mainnet transition fails by May 2028
  • Net income declining 15% YoY despite 20% revenue growth due to stock-based compensation
  • Operating expenses growing 76% YoY outpacing revenue growth
  • Reserve return rate declining 66bps YoY to 3.5%

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Finance Services
Analyst Consensus
55% bullish (33 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001876042-26-000148
Document: crcl-20260511.htm0001876042-26-000148
Document: 0001876042-26-000148-index-headers.html0001876042-26-000148
Document: 0001876042-26-000148-index.html0001876042-26-000148
Document: 0001876042-26-000148.txt0001876042-26-000148
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001876042-26-000148
42 reports for CRCL
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 5 of 5 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +34.26%Feb 25, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for CRCL — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 12, 2026
today
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$78.25 awaiting T+1awaiting T+1$77.84 (+0.52%)
Jun 12, 2026
today
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$78.25 awaiting T+1awaiting T+1$77.84 (−0.52%)
Jun 11, 2026
1d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$82.78 awaiting T+1awaiting T+1$77.84 (−5.97%)
Jun 11, 2026
2d ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$81.00 awaiting T+1awaiting T+1$77.84 (−3.90%)
Jun 10, 2026
2d ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$78.51 awaiting T+1awaiting T+1$77.84 (+0.85%)
Jun 9, 2026
3d ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$81.15 awaiting T+1awaiting T+1$77.84 (+4.08%)
Jun 9, 2026
3d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$81.15 awaiting T+1awaiting T+1$77.84 (−4.08%)
Jun 9, 2026
3d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$81.07 awaiting T+1awaiting T+1$77.84 (−3.98%)
Jun 8, 2026
4d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$82.47 awaiting T+1awaiting T+1$77.84 (−5.61%)
Jun 5, 2026
7d ago
144
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$80.28 awaiting T+1awaiting T+1$77.84 (+3.04%)
Showing 10 of 42

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (49h 43m)

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