CRCT Cricut, Inc.
Executive Summary
Four institutional investors accumulated CRCT in Q4 2025, adding $1.7M in net new money, led by a D.E. Shaw nearly-double, while Two Sigma trimmed $1.2M. The buying is dominated by passive/index funds (Wells Fargo, Morgan Stanley, Invesco), suggesting the cluster may reflect routine rebalancing rather than a fundamental activist thesis. D.E. Shaw's near-double is the only active-manager signal, but the overall $9.1M aggregate position across four funds is small relative to CRCT's $930M market cap — the cluster lacks the conviction scale to override the stock's negative sentiment backdrop (0% analyst bullishness, insider selling).
Key Financial Metrics
Institutional Positions
Net institutional flow: $1.7M
▲ Buyers (4)
| Institution | Action | Change | Position Value | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.E. Shaw | NEAR_DOUBLE | +94% | $3.4M | $1.2M |
| Morgan Stanley | ADD | +40.7% | $4.8M | $467.0K |
| Invesco | ADD | +29.7% | $658.0K | $14.0K |
| Wells Fargo | ADD | +52.5% | $268.0K | $45.0K |
▼ Sellers (1)
| Institution | Action | Change | Prev Value | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Two Sigma | TRIM | -36.6% | $2.5M | -$1.2M |
Actionable Insight
The cluster is too small in dollar scale and too passive in composition to drive a re-rating. Watch the next 13F cycle for further D.E. Shaw accumulation (quant funds can front-run catalysts) and whether insider selling continues. The negative analyst consensus (0% bullish) and prior insider sales suggest the path of least resistance remains down — treat this cluster as noise absent a fundamental catalyst.
Key Facts
- Four institutions accumulated $1.7M net in Q4 2025, lifting aggregate holdings to $9.1M
- D.E. Shaw (quant) nearly doubled its stake from $2.2M to $3.4M — the largest active-manager allocation
- Morgan Stanley (mega-passive) added the most shares (+282K) but the dollar gain is modest at $467K
- Two Sigma (quant) trimmed 36.6% of its position, selling $1.2M worth
- Three of four buyers are mega-passive funds (Wells Fargo, Morgan Stanley, Invesco), diluting the signal's conviction
Financial Impact
Aggregate institutional buying of $1.7M net; total disclosed long positions across 5 funds = $9.1M, representing ~0.98% of CRCT's $930M market cap
Risk Factors
- Negative analyst sentiment: 0% of analysts rated Strong Buy or Buy, 6 of 8 rate Sell/Strong Sell
- Insider selling in the prior 30 days: 5 transactions totaling $854K, indicating management lack of conviction
- Historical T+20 performance on prior CRCT reports shows -10.02% average P&L, suggesting bearish drift
- Passive-heavy buying may reverse on next index rebalance
Market Snapshot
Documents Analyzed
This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.
| Document | Accession Number |
|---|---|
| INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic) | inst-cluster-CRCT-2025-Q4 |
Filters
| Type | Now | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Jun 12, 2026
1d ago
|
Institutional Cluster
| $4.47 awaiting T+1 | awaiting T+1 | — | — |
|
Jun 11, 2026
1d ago
|
Institutional Cluster
| $4.38 awaiting T+1 | awaiting T+1 | — | — |
|
Jun 11, 2026
1d ago
|
Institutional Cluster
| $4.43 awaiting T+1 | awaiting T+1 | — | — |
|
Jun 3, 2026
9d ago
|
Insider Cluster
| $4.13 $4.14 | ▲ +0.24% | ▲ +2.82% | — |
|
Jun 3, 2026
9d ago
|
Insider Cluster
| $4.13 $4.14 | ▲ +0.24% | ▲ +2.84% | — |
|
Jun 1, 2026
11d ago
|
Insider Cluster
| $4.15 $4.11 | ▼ −0.96% | ▼ −0.24% | — |
|
May 21, 2026
22d ago
|
Insider Cluster
| $3.98 $4.04 | ▲ +1.51% | ▲ +0.92% | — |
|
Apr 21, 2026
7w ago
|
DEFA14A
| $4.64 $4.57 | ▼ −1.51% | ▼ −1.11% | — |
|
Apr 14, 2026
8w ago
|
Press Release
| $4.30 $4.35 | ▲ +1.16% | ▲ +0.91% | — |
|
Mar 3, 2026
14w ago
|
Press Release
| $4.52 $4.14 | ▼ −8.41% | ▼ −7.83% | — |
US Market Status
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