CSCO CISCO SYSTEMS, INC.

BEARISH Impact: 1/10 ANALYST-DOWNGRADE
Processed 1mo ago SEC analyst-CSCO-bwggloba-20260423
BWG Global double downgrade: Positive → Mixed
Latest settled — T+20d
CSCO ▲ +29.07% at T+20d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -29.07% · α vs SPY -24.43% · entry $88.60 → $114.35
Next anchor: T+60d in 6w
Last close $124.15 (close Jun 8) · -40.13% from $88.60 entry (call sign-flipped)
Entry anchored
Apr 23, 10:30 AM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
+0.43%
call -0.43% · α +0.36%
$88.98
settled 7w ago
T+5d
+1.10%
call -1.10% · α +0.38%
$89.57
settled 6w ago
T+20d
+29.07%
call -29.07% · α -24.43%
$114.35
settled 20d ago
T+60d
call — · α —
in 6w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

BWG Global downgraded the stock to Mixed from Positive on April 23, 2026, marking a double downgrade with no price target provided. The firm has a weak track record: 43% accuracy (3/7 calls correct), below the 60% threshold for reliable performers. Consensus remains overwhelmingly bullish: 73% Buy or Strong Buy (23 of 32 analysts), with a mean price target of $89.09 — nearly flat to the current $89.80. Momentum shows minimal churn: 1 upgrade and 1 downgrade in the past month. EPS estimates are stable, with slight upward revisions in the last 30 days. Congressional buys signal political confidence, but insider selling totaled over $1.2M in March. Institutional activity is mixed: Norges Bank exited, Dodge & Cox trimmed, but Two Sigma increased position 5.6x. Short ratio is elevated at 58.4%, suggesting strong bearish sentiment. Earnings are due May 12, within 30 days, increasing near-term risk.

Impact Score

Base Score
1/7
LLM Adjustment
-2
Final Score
1/10

Consensus & Targets

Buy / Strong Buy
23 (72%)
Hold
9
Sell / Strong Sell
0
Total Analysts
22
Mean PT
$89.09
Median PT
$90.00
High PT
$100.00
Low PT
$75.00
Current Price
$89.80
Implied Upside
-0.8%

Of 32 covering analysts, 73% rate it Buy or Strong Buy (23 analysts), 28% Hold (9), and 0% Sell or Strong Sell. Consensus direction is strongly bullish, making BWG’s downgrade contrarian but from a low-accuracy firm.

Price target mean is $89.09 (median: $90), range $75–$100. Current price at $89.80 implies -0.8% downside to the mean. BWG did not issue a price target, so its stance cannot be benchmarked against the $89.09 average.

Recent Analyst Activity

DateFirmActionRatingPrice Target
2026-04-23 BWG Global downgrade Mixed
2026-04-16 JP Morgan maintain Overweight $96.00
2026-03-31 Truist Securities initiate Buy $94.00
2026-02-12 UBS maintain Buy $95.00
2026-02-12 Rosenblatt maintain Buy $100.00
2026-01-26 Evercore ISI Group upgrade Outperform $100.00
2025-12-17 Morgan Stanley maintain Overweight $91.00
2025-11-13 Barclays maintain Equal-Weight $76.00
2025-11-13 Citigroup maintain Buy $85.00
2025-11-13 JP Morgan maintain Overweight $90.00

Over the past 30 days, there has been 1 upgrade and 1 downgrade. EPS revisions show minimal movement: +1 revision up and 0 down in the last 7 and 30 days. Estimates are stable, with current FY0 EPS at $4.158 vs. $4.156 one month ago.

Firm Track Record — BWG Global

BWG Global accuracy: 43% on 7 calls | avg return: -7.9%

Industry benchmark: mean 51% ± 11%. Top tier: ≥61% (mean + 1σ). Based on 15 firms with ≥5 scored calls.

FirmAccuracyCallsAvg Returnvs Average
Morgan Stanley 86% 6/7 8.5% top tier
Piper Sandler 78% 7/9 9.6% top tier
Needham 75% 3/4 5.5% top tier
Barclays 71% 5/7 7.1% top tier
Evercore ISI Group 67% 4/6 9.7% top tier
Wells Fargo 67% 4/6 5% top tier
Citigroup 63% 5/8 4.1% top tier
UBS 60% 3/5 5.9% above average
JP Morgan 57% 4/7 4.4% above average
Rosenblatt 57% 4/7 8.2% above average

BWG Global has a 43% accuracy rate (3/7 calls correct), below average. The best-performing firms are Morgan Stanley (86%, 6/7) and Piper Sandler (78%, 7/9). Melius Research and Keybanc are worst at 0% (0/2). BWG ranks in the bottom tier.

Earnings Estimates

Next earnings: May 12, 2026

PeriodEPS Est.EPS RangeRevenueRevisions (7d)
+1q $1.07 $1.06 — $1.10 $15.8B ↑1 ↓0
+1y $4.51 $4.37 — $4.68 $65.0B ↑1 ↓0
0q $1.04 $1.03 — $1.06 $15.6B ↑1 ↓0
0y $4.16 $4.14 — $4.20 $61.6B ↑1 ↓0

Cross-Platform Signals

Insider Trades (90d)
0 buys / 5 sells
Congressional
Ro Khanna (democrat) — buy $15,001 - $50,000
Congressional
Maria Elvira Salazar (republican) — buy $1,001 - $15,000
Congressional
Maria Elvira Salazar (republican) — buy $15,001 - $50,000
Institutional
NORGES BANK — new
Institutional
DODGE & COX — trim (-25.1%)
Institutional
RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC — exit (-100%)
Short Interest
Short: 3,189,760 | Exempt: 12,212 | TRF Vol: 5,460,047 | Short Ratio: 58.4% | Off-exchange volume (dark pool + OTC)

Congressional buys occurred in March (4 buys, $1k–$50k range). Insider activity shows 5 recent sells totaling $1.24M. Institutional changes are divergent: Renaissance Technologies and Norges Bank exited, Dodge & Cox trimmed 25.1%, but Two Sigma increased position by 563.1%. Short interest is high at 58.4% of float, indicating strong bearish positioning.

Actionable Insight

Ignore BWG’s downgrade — low accuracy and no price target undermine credibility. Monitor May 12 earnings closely given high short ratio and institutional exits. Favorable congressional and two-sigma inflows suggest asymmetric upside potential post-earnings.

Documents Analyzed

Report based on filing metadata.

12 reports for CSCO
Performance horizon
80% Hit rate 4 of 5 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +33.58%Apr 29, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for CSCO — sortable, filterable
Type Now
May 31, 2026
9d ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$77.02 $80.63▲ +4.69%▲ +4.29%$124.15 (+61.20%)
May 27, 2026
13d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$118.64 $129.99▲ +9.57%▲ +9.25%$124.15 (+4.65%)
May 23, 2026
17d ago
ANALYST-DOWNGRADE
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$88.60 $91.52▲ +3.29%▲ +1.82%$124.15 (+40.13%)
May 19, 2026
21d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$114.31 $118.64▲ +3.79%▲ +1.99%$124.15 (+8.61%)
May 15, 2026
25d ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$118.21 $120.57▲ +2.00%▲ +1.03%$124.15 (+5.03%)
May 1, 2026
5w ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$77.02 $80.63▲ +4.69%▲ +4.29%$124.15 (+61.20%)
Apr 29, 2026
6w ago
Court Ruling
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$89.59 $94.30▲ +5.26%▲ +2.15%$124.15 (+38.58%)
Apr 23, 2026
6w ago
ANALYST-DOWNGRADE
BEARISH ★ 1/10
$88.60 $89.57▼ −1.10%▲ +0.38%$124.15 (−40.13%)
Apr 13, 2026
8w ago
Court Ruling
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$82.34 $87.70▼ −6.51%▼ −3.22%$124.15 (−50.79%)
Mar 30, 2026
10w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$77.01 $80.65▲ +4.73%▲ +0.43%$124.15 (+61.22%)
Showing 10 of 12

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