CSTL Castle Biosciences, Inc.

BULLISH Impact: 7/10 PRESS-RELEASE
Horizon months Filed Mar 9, 2026 Processed 3mo ago Wire GlobeNewswire
Press release: fda
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
CSTL ▼ -27.05% at T+60d
LONG call ✗ call lost -27.05% · α vs SPY -39.04% · entry $27.02 → $19.71
Last close $20.70 (close Jun 12) · -23.39% from $27.02 entry
Entry anchored
Mar 6, 03:59 PM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
-1.55%
call -1.55% · α -1.37%
$26.60
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
-4.40%
call -4.40% · α -3.05%
$25.83
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
-8.11%
call -8.11% · α -5.30%
$24.83
settled 2mo ago
T+60d
-27.05%
call -27.05% · α -39.04%
$19.71
settled 12d ago

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Executive Summary

Castle Biosciences announced new prospective, multicenter study data showing that its DecisionDx-Melanoma test, via the i31-SLNB algorithm, accurately identifies melanoma patients with less than 5% predicted risk of sentinel lymph node (SLN) positivity—aligning with NCCN guidelines to forgo SLNB. Patients with low-risk results had only 2.6% actual SLN positivity and 97.8% three-year recurrence-free survival, supporting clinical utility and potential to reduce unnecessary surgeries.

Actionable Insight

Traders should monitor test adoption trends and potential inclusion in broader clinical guidelines; this level of prospective validation may drive increased payer coverage and physician uptake, supporting revenue growth.

Key Facts

  • New data from a prospective, multicenter study of 912 patients shows DecisionDx-Melanoma’s i31-SLNB test accurately stratifies SLN positivity risk.
  • Patients with <5% predicted risk had 2.6% actual SLN positivity; in T1b–T2a subgroup, it was just 1.4%.
  • High-risk patients (>10% predicted) had 21.4% actual SLN positivity (13.2x higher than low-risk).
  • Low-risk patients showed 97.8% three-year recurrence-free survival.
  • Study supports test’s ability to reduce unnecessary SLNBs while maintaining strong outcomes.
  • Data presented at SSO 2026 and accepted for publication in Future Oncology.

Financial Impact

Potential for increased test adoption and revenue growth as clinical validation strengthens; no direct financial figures provided.

revenuemarket penetrationutilization rate

Risk Factors

  • Forward-looking statements: actual adoption may not match expectations.
  • Reimbursement challenges or payer resistance could limit commercial impact.
  • Future studies could contradict current findings.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3251673
11 reports for CSTL
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 5 of 5 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +24.87%Mar 5, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for CSTL — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 11, 2026
3d ago
Institutional Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$20.89 awaiting T+1awaiting T+1$20.70 (+0.91%)
Jun 1, 2026
13d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$19.71 $20.39▲ +3.45%▲ +4.17%$20.70 (+5.02%)
May 7, 2026
5w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$19.83 $19.04▼ −3.98%▼ −4.22%$20.70 (+4.39%)
Apr 8, 2026
9w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$25.19 $23.43▼ −6.99%▼ −7.56%$20.70 (−17.82%)
Mar 13, 2026
13w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$25.56 $25.83▲ +1.06%▲ +0.03%$20.70 (−19.01%)
Mar 12, 2026
13w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$25.32 $25.56▼ −0.95%▼ −1.55%$20.70 (+18.25%)
Mar 12, 2026
13w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$25.32 $25.56▼ −0.95%▼ −1.55%$20.70 (+18.25%)
Mar 9, 2026
13w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$27.02 $26.60▼ −1.55%▼ −1.37%$20.70 (−23.39%)
Mar 5, 2026
14w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$27.91 $27.12▲ +2.83%▲ +1.52%$20.70 (+25.83%)
Mar 5, 2026
14w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$27.91 $27.12▲ +2.83%▲ +1.52%$20.70 (+25.83%)
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