CVNA CARVANA CO.

MIXED Impact: 5/10 Institutional Cluster
Horizon months Processed 1d 3h ago
Institutional cluster: 25 buyers, 21 sellers (mixed)

Executive Summary

A significant but mixed institutional cluster emerged in CVNA during Q3 2024: 25 buyers added $109.2M in new holdings while 21 sellers reduced positions by $173.3M, creating net seller pressure of $64.1M. Sovereign wealth (Norges Bank doubling to $77.5M), active asset managers (Neuberger Berman +$16.5M, Amundi +$15.2M, Capital Fund Management +$21.5M) accumulated heavily, but the largest sellers included multi-manager quant funds (D.E. Shaw trimming $71.7M, Point72 trimming $40.9M) and a passive player (Schwab trimming $14.4M). The cluster is dominated by active managers on both sides, indicating a sharp disagreement on Carvana's near-term outlook after the stock's extreme rally.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
mixed
Buy Value
$109.2M
Sell Value
$173.3M
Net Flow
-$64.1M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: -$64.1M

▲ Buyers (25)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Norges Bank DOUBLED +100.6% $77.5M $48.9M
Capital Fund Management ADD +27.4% $51.2M $21.5M
Neuberger Berman Group DOUBLED +1057.5% $17.6M $16.5M
Amundi DOUBLED +389.4% $17.6M $15.2M

▼ Sellers (21)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
D.E. Shaw TRIM -37.3% $470.4M -$71.7M
Point72 TRIM -72% $65.8M -$40.9M
Canada Pension Plan Investment NEAR_EXIT -75.4% $33.0M -$22.0M
Schwab TRIM -38.1% $88.2M -$14.4M
Citadel TRIM -66.4% $18.6M -$10.2M

Actionable Insight

The divergence between sovereign/fundamental buyers (bullish) and quant sellers (bearish/pair-trade unwinding) creates an uncertain signal. The quant funds' selling may simply be rebalancing after the stock's 81% T+20 rally noted in the last short call—those funds held massive longs. The net $64M outflow is small relative to daily volume, so the cluster's informational value is in the composition: if D.E. Shaw continues to exit its remaining $399M, that would be a stronger bearish signal. Monitor Q4 13Fs to see if the quant selling turned into outright exits.

Key Facts

  • 25 institutional buyers added $109.2M in CVNA; 21 sellers reduced by $173.3M; net negative $64.1M
  • Norges Bank doubled its stake to $77.5M, the single largest buyer
  • Neuberger Berman added +1057.5% shares, from $1.1M to $17.6M
  • Capital Fund Management added $21.5M to reach $51.2M
  • D.E. Shaw trimmed $71.7M from its $470M position, still holding $398.8M
  • Point72 trimmed $40.9M, Citadel trimmed $10.2M, both from multi-manager quant platforms
  • The theme is 'active long vs. quant short-closing'—buyers are mostly fundamental/sovereign, sellers are quant funds likely reducing gains after the stock's massive rally
  • No insider buying detected in prior 30 days; 3 insider sells for $3.1M

Financial Impact

$109.2M of new institutional buying vs $173.3M of selling; net outflow of $64.1M or ~0.12% of float

institutional_ownershipfloatsupply_demand

Risk Factors

  • 13F data has 45-day lag; Q4 2024 filings will reveal if these trades were unwound
  • Multi-manager quant funds (D.E. Shaw, Point72, Citadel) are not directional but pair-trade or book-adjusted; their trimming may reflect sector hedging, not bearishness on CVNA
  • Sovereign wealth buying (Norges) may be tied to index rebalancing or ESG mandates, not fundamental conviction
  • The stock trades at elevated multiples post-2024 rally; institutional disagreement could widen

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Retail-Auto Dealers & Gasoline Stations
Analyst Consensus
69% bullish (32 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-CVNA-2024-Q3
19 reports for CVNA
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 4 of 4 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +81.35%May 1, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for CVNA — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 12, 2026
1d ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 5/10
$67.86 awaiting T+1awaiting T+1
Jun 11, 2026
1d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$67.86 awaiting T+1awaiting T+1
Jun 9, 2026
3d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$69.66 awaiting T+1awaiting T+1
Jun 8, 2026
4d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$69.45 awaiting T+1awaiting T+1
Jun 4, 2026
8d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$65.99 awaiting T+1awaiting T+1
Jun 3, 2026
9d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$66.19 $66.51▲ +0.48%▲ +3.08%
May 6, 2026
5w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$80.00 $77.94▼ −2.58%▼ −3.41%
May 1, 2026
6w ago
144
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$376.50 $388.07▼ −3.07%▼ −2.28%
May 1, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$380.68 $376.50▲ +1.10%▲ +0.76%
May 1, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$77.88 $80.00▼ −2.73%▼ −3.06%
Showing 10 of 19

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (47h 45m)

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