DBX DROPBOX, INC.

NEUTRAL Impact: 4/10 Insider Cluster (3 insiders)
Horizon days Filed May 19, 2026 Processed 24d 13h ago
Insider cluster: 3 insiders, $1.2M total
Latest settled — T+5d ⚠ clustered
DBX ▼ -4.87% at T+5d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -4.87% · α vs SPY -6.67% · entry $27.53 → $26.19
Next anchor: T+20d in 4d
Currently $27.09 · -1.59% from $27.53 entry
Entry anchored
May 19, 2026
via day open
T+1d
-1.34%
call -1.34% · α -1.54%
$27.16
settled 24d ago
T+5d
-4.87%
call -4.87% · α -6.67%
$26.19
settled 17d ago
T+20d
call — · α —
in 4d
T+60d
call — · α —
in 2mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

A cluster of insider selling at Dropbox, including CEO Andrew Houston's $974K open-market sale, follows the Q1 2026 earnings report that showed revenue growth slowing to +0.8% YoY and a 24% decline in GAAP net income. While the total $1.19M in open-market sales is only ~0.02% of market cap and likely routine post-earnings diversification, the CEO's sale is notable for its size and timing. The cluster is amplified by cross-filing context (earnings + insider trades), but the proportionality check and weak historical predictive power of insider sales keep the overall impact modest.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
selling
Total Value
$1.2M
Insiders
3

Actionable Insight

The CEO's $974K sale is the most notable element, but at 0.02% of market cap it is not material enough to drive a bearish thesis alone. Monitor for any additional insider selling in the next 30 days, especially if the stock rallies above $28. The Q1 earnings trend (slowing revenue, declining net income) is a more significant concern than this cluster.

Key Facts

  • CEO Andrew Houston sold 37,498 shares for $974K on May 14, 2026, the largest open-market sale in the cluster.
  • Total open-market sales in the cluster: $1.19M, representing ~0.02% of Dropbox's $6.5B market cap.
  • The cluster occurred 12 days after Q1 2026 earnings (May 7), which reported +0.8% YoY revenue growth but a 24% decline in GAAP net income.
  • Non-cash tax-withholding transactions (5 insiders, $1.92M notional) are routine post-vesting events and carry no economic signal.
  • Historical performance on DBX reports shows a 20% win rate at T+20, suggesting the stock has been difficult to call directionally.

Financial Impact

Open-market insider sales total $1.19M, or ~0.02% of market cap — trivial relative to company size.

insider ownershipdilution

Risk Factors

  • CEO sale could be interpreted negatively by the market despite its small relative size.
  • Continued insider selling in coming weeks would amplify the bearish signal.
  • The 24% net income decline and paying user drop (18.09M) are fundamental headwinds not addressed by this cluster.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Services-Prepackaged Software
Analyst Consensus
6% bullish (16 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 SEC document filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)cluster-DBX-1779228158147
17 reports for DBX
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 3 of 3 directional calls best @ T+5▲ +4.87%May 19, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for DBX — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 3, 2026
9d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$27.18 $27.38▲ +0.75%▲ +3.35%$27.09 (−0.31%)
Jun 1, 2026
11d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$28.92 $28.16▼ −2.63%▼ −2.77%$27.09 (−6.32%)
May 26, 2026
17d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$26.46 $25.97▼ −1.85%▼ −1.87%$27.09 (+2.38%)
May 20, 2026
23d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$27.16 $27.51▲ +1.29%▲ +0.84%$27.09 (−0.25%)
May 20, 2026
23d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$27.16 $27.51▲ +1.29%▲ +0.84%$27.09 (−0.25%)
May 20, 2026
23d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$25.97 $26.19▲ +0.84%▲ +0.29%$27.09 (+4.32%)
May 20, 2026
23d ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$27.16 $27.51▼ −1.29%▼ −0.84%$27.09 (+0.25%)
May 20, 2026
23d ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$27.16 $27.51▼ −1.29%▼ −0.84%$27.09 (+0.25%)
May 19, 2026
24d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$27.53 $27.16▼ −1.34%▼ −1.54%$27.09 (−1.59%)
May 19, 2026
24d ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$27.53 $27.16▲ +1.34%▲ +1.54%$27.09 (+1.59%)
Showing 10 of 17

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (49h 43m)

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