DTM DT Midstream, Inc.

NEUTRAL Impact: 4/10 8-K
Horizon weeks Filed Apr 30, 2026 Processed 1mo ago SEC 0001140361-26-017997
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Latest settled — T+20d
DTM ▼ -5.41% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -5.41% · α vs SPY -10.64% · entry $147.99 → $139.98
Next anchor: T+60d in 7w
Last close $141.38 (close Jun 8) · -4.47% from $147.99 entry
Entry anchored
Apr 30, 2026
via day open
T+1d
-0.36%
call -0.36% · α -0.58%
$147.46
settled 6w ago
T+5d
-2.61%
call -2.61% · α -4.34%
$144.13
settled 5w ago
T+20d
-5.41%
call -5.41% · α -10.64%
$139.98
settled 12d ago
T+60d
call — · α —
in 7w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

DT Midstream reported Q1 2026 net income of $130M ($1.27 diluted EPS) and Adjusted EBITDA of $308M, up from $293M in Q4 2025. The company reaffirmed its 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance of $1.155-$1.225B and 2027 early outlook of $1.225-$1.295B, while advancing new pipeline projects (Vector 2028, Millennium R2R) and completing a power plant lateral. Results are in line with the trajectory set in the prior record year, with no material surprise vs consensus.

Actionable Insight

Results confirm DTM is on track to meet its 2026 guidance of $1.155-$1.225B Adjusted EBITDA, representing ~6% growth from 2025. The $3.4B project backlog (75% pipeline) and successful open seasons for Midwestern/Vector expansions signal sustained organic growth into 2028-2030. Monitor binding open season conversions and FERC filings for G3 Guardian expansion as catalysts. The stock's 45% analyst bullish rating and $14.2B market cap suggest limited upside surprise from in-line execution — watch for guidance raises or new FID announcements for material moves.

Key Facts

  • Q1 2026 net income of $130M ($1.27 diluted EPS), up from $111M ($1.08) in Q4 2025 and $108M ($1.06) in Q1 2025
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $308M, up from $293M in Q4 2025 and $280M in Q1 2025
  • Reaffirmed 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance of $1.155-$1.225B and 2027 early outlook of $1.225-$1.295B
  • Approved investment in Vector 2028 Pipeline expansion ($80-$100M) and Millennium R2R project
  • Recontracted ~30% of Midwestern Pipeline capacity with 5-25 year term extensions
  • Quarterly dividend maintained at $0.88/share, payable July 15, 2026
  • Distributable Cash Flow of $274M, up from $162M in Q4 2025
  • Haynesville throughput up 25% YoY to 1.42 Bcf/d; Northeast throughput up 10% YoY

Financial Impact

Q1 2026 net income $130M, Adjusted EBITDA $308M, DCF $274M — all showing sequential and year-over-year growth. No consensus estimates provided for Q1 2026 to calculate surprise.

net incomeadjusted EBITDAdistributable cash flowdividend

Risk Factors

  • Execution risk on $3.4B project backlog — delays or cost overruns could pressure returns
  • Regulatory risk from FERC rate case filings (Guardian 2H 2026, Midwestern 2H 2027)
  • Customer concentration — reliance on Expand Energy and other producers for Haynesville volumes
  • Interest rate sensitivity — $14B market cap with 2.9x on-balance sheet leverage
  • Geopolitical risk from LNG export demand shifts and tariff impacts on natural gas flows

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Natural Gas Transmission
Analyst Consensus
45% bullish (20 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 7 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001140361-26-017997
Document: ef20071895_ex99-2.htm0001140361-26-017997
Document: ef20071895_8k.htm0001140361-26-017997
Document: 0001140361-26-017997-index-headers.html0001140361-26-017997
Document: 0001140361-26-017997-index.html0001140361-26-017997
Document: 0001140361-26-017997.txt0001140361-26-017997
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001140361-26-017997
4 reports for DTM
Performance horizon
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Reports for DTM — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Apr 30, 2026
5w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$147.99 $139.98▼ −5.41%▼ −10.64%$141.38 (−4.47%)
Apr 16, 2026
7w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$131.76 $145.99▲ +10.80%▲ +4.98%$141.38 (+7.30%)
Mar 26, 2026
10w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$137.13 $134.65▼ −1.81%▼ −12.47%$141.38 (+3.10%)
Feb 25, 2026
15w ago
Insider Cluster
MIXED ★ 5/10
$136.40 $136.15▼ −0.18%▲ +5.05%$141.38 (+3.65%)
Showing 4 of 4

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