ELAN Elanco Animal Health Inc

BULLISH Impact: 5/10 Insider Cluster (2 insiders)
Horizon weeks Filed May 19, 2026 Processed 24d 16h ago
Insider cluster: 2 insiders, $200K total
Latest settled — T+5d ⚠ clustered
ELAN ▲ +15.03% at T+5d
LONG call ✓ call won +15.03% · α vs SPY +13.23% · entry $20.83 → $23.96
Next anchor: T+20d in 4d
Currently $24.17 · +16.05% from $20.83 entry
Entry anchored
May 19, 2026
via day open
T+1d
+2.26%
call +2.26% · α +2.06%
$21.30
settled 24d ago
T+5d
+15.03%
call +15.03% · α +13.23%
$23.96
settled 17d ago
T+20d
call — · α —
in 4d
T+60d
call — · α —
in 2mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

CEO Jeffrey Simmons and executive Rajeev Modi made open-market purchases totaling ~$200K on May 15, 2026, just 9 days after Elanco reported a strong Q1 2026 beat (EPS $0.40 vs $0.34 consensus, revenue +15% YoY) and raised full-year guidance. The purchases are small relative to the $10B market cap (~0.002%), but the CEO's personal cash outlay and the proximity to a bullish earnings catalyst amplify the signal. The cluster is a modestly bullish signal, consistent with management's confidence in the raised outlook.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
buying
Total Value
$199.8K
Insiders
2

Actionable Insight

The CEO's personal purchase following a strong earnings beat and raised guidance is a modestly bullish signal. While the dollar amount is small, it reinforces management's confidence in the raised 2026 outlook. Monitor for any insider sales in the coming weeks; if no selling materializes, the signal strengthens. The stock is up ~18% since the earnings release — the buy at $20 suggests management sees further upside.

Key Facts

  • CEO Jeffrey Simmons purchased 4,971 shares at $20.09 for ~$100K on May 15, 2026.
  • Executive Rajeev Modi purchased 4,911 shares at $20.35 for ~$100K on May 15, 2026.
  • Total open-market purchases: ~$200K, representing ~0.002% of $10B market cap.
  • Purchases occurred 9 days after Q1 2026 earnings beat (EPS $0.40 vs $0.34 consensus, revenue $1.371B vs $1.28B consensus) and raised full-year guidance.
  • No open-market sales in the cluster; all other transactions are non-cash grants/awards.
  • Historical calibration shows score-5/6 reports on this segment have ~29-32% observed probability of up-move at T+20, but the CEO's personal buy after a strong earnings beat is a genuine signal.

Financial Impact

~$200K in open-market purchases by CEO and executive, immaterial relative to $10B market cap

insider ownershipmanagement confidence signal

Risk Factors

  • Purchase size is trivial relative to market cap — may be symbolic rather than conviction-driven.
  • Historical calibration shows only ~29-32% of score-5/6 reports in this segment produce positive T+20 returns, suggesting limited predictive power for small clusters.
  • The stock has already rallied ~18% post-earnings, potentially pricing in the good news.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Pharmaceutical Preparations
Analyst Consensus
91% bullish (23 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 SEC document filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)cluster-ELAN-1779223191563
5 reports for ELAN
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for ELAN — sortable, filterable
Type Now
May 19, 2026
24d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$23.61 $24.58▲ +4.11%▲ +3.64%$24.17 (+2.38%)
May 19, 2026
24d ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$20.83 $23.69▲ +13.74%▲ +12.50%$24.17 (+16.05%)
May 19, 2026
24d ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$20.83 $23.96▲ +15.03%▲ +13.23%$24.17 (+16.05%)
May 6, 2026
5w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$26.14 $21.43▼ −18.01%▼ −19.14%$24.17 (−7.53%)
Apr 8, 2026
9w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$23.60 $23.21▼ −1.65%▼ −5.17%$24.17 (+2.43%)
Showing 5 of 5

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (48h 46m)

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