FLUT Flutter Entertainment plc

MIXED Impact: 6/10 8-K
Horizon weeks Filed May 6, 2026 Processed 1mo ago SEC 0001193125-26-208993
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
FLUT ▼ -0.49% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -0.49% · α vs SPY -3.63% · entry $101.20 → $100.70
Next anchor: T+60d in 7w
Last close $104.95 (close Jun 8) · +3.71% from $101.20 entry
Entry anchored
May 6, 03:59 PM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
0.00%
call 0.00% · α -0.83%
$101.20
settled 5w ago
T+5d
-6.12%
call -6.12% · α -7.62%
$95.01
settled 28d ago
T+20d
-0.49%
call -0.49% · α -3.63%
$100.70
settled 6d ago
T+60d
call — · α —
in 7w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Flutter's Q1 2026 revenue grew 17% YoY to $4.304B, with GAAP EPS of $1.23 beating the $0.87 consensus by 41%. However, net income fell 38% YoY and full-year 2026 guidance was lowered: adjusted EBITDA midpoint reduced from $2.97B to $2.865B, reflecting unfavorable sports results and increased investment in prediction markets. The stock will likely be pulled between the massive EPS beat and the guidance cut, with the latter likely dominating sentiment.

Key Financial Metrics

Guidance
$17.655B-$18.955B (midpoint $18.305B)
lowered
Free Cash Flow
$153.0M

Actionable Insight

The significant EPS beat vs Street consensus ($1.23 vs $0.87) is overshadowed by the guidance cut for 2026 adjusted EBITDA from $2.97bn to $2.865bn. Traders should focus on the sustainability of US sportsbook recovery and the impact of prediction market investment on near-term profitability.

Key Facts

  • Q1 2026 revenue $4.304B, +17% YoY (benefiting from M&A)
  • GAAP diluted EPS $1.23 vs $0.87 consensus (41.4% beat)
  • Net income $209M, -38% YoY; adjusted EBITDA $631M, +2% YoY
  • US segment adjusted EBITDA fell 26% to $119M due to sportsbook investment
  • Full-year 2026 guidance lowered: Group revenue now $18.305B (prev. $18.4B), adjusted EBITDA $2.865B (prev. $2.97B)
  • Share repurchase paused for deleveraging; $190M returned in Q1
  • Management changes: Dan Taylor appointed President, Amy Howe left
  • Review of London Stock Exchange listing commenced

Financial Impact

Q1 EPS beat consensus by $0.36, but full-year guidance cut by $105M in adjusted EBITDA midpoint

epsrevenueadjustedEbitdanetIncome

Risk Factors

  • Full-year guidance cut signals slowing profitability momentum
  • US sportsbook recovery may take longer than expected; handle growth still negative
  • High leverage (3.7x) and paused buybacks limit shareholder return
  • Potential LSE delisting adds regulatory uncertainty

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc.
Analyst Consensus
81% bullish (32 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-208993
Document: d46069d8k.htm0001193125-26-208993
Document: 0001193125-26-208993-index-headers.html0001193125-26-208993
Document: 0001193125-26-208993-index.html0001193125-26-208993
Document: 0001193125-26-208993.txt0001193125-26-208993
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001193125-26-208993
36 reports for FLUT
Performance horizon
64% Hit rate 9 of 14 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +14.30%May 16, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for FLUT — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 5, 2026
4d ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$100.54 awaiting T+1awaiting T+1$104.95 (+4.39%)
Jun 2, 2026
7d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$101.99 $100.70▼ −1.26%▼ −0.57%$104.95 (+2.90%)
Jun 1, 2026
8d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$104.31 $101.99▼ −2.22%▼ −2.37%$104.95 (+0.61%)
May 29, 2026
11d ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$104.31 $101.99▼ −2.22%▼ −2.37%$104.95 (+0.61%)
May 29, 2026
11d ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$96.98 $104.31▲ +7.56%▲ +7.28%$104.95 (+8.22%)
May 29, 2026
11d ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$96.98 $104.31▲ +7.56%▲ +7.28%$104.95 (+8.22%)
May 29, 2026
11d ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$96.98 $104.31▲ +7.56%▲ +7.28%$104.95 (+8.22%)
May 29, 2026
11d ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$96.98 $104.31▲ +7.56%▲ +7.28%$104.95 (+8.22%)
May 28, 2026
12d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$95.58 $96.98▲ +1.46%▲ +1.23%$104.95 (+9.80%)
May 28, 2026
12d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$95.58 $96.98▲ +1.46%▲ +1.23%$104.95 (+9.80%)
Showing 10 of 36

US Market Status

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