FRFFF FAIRFAX FINANCIAL HOLDINGS LTD/ CAN

BULLISH Impact: 6/10 6-K
Horizon weeks Filed Jun 8, 2026 Processed 8d 17h ago SEC 0001104659-26-071204
Notable filing: 6-K
Latest settled — T+5d ⚠ clustered
FRFFF ▼ -1.09% at T+5d
LONG call ✗ call lost -1.09% · α vs SPY -3.20% · entry $18.18 → $17.98
Next anchor: T+20d in 20d
Currently $17.98 · -1.09% from $18.18 entry
Entry anchored
Jun 8, 2026
via day open
T+1d
0.00%
call 0.00% · α +0.29%
$18.18
settled 8d ago
T+5d
-1.09%
call -1.09% · α -3.20%
$17.98
settled yesterday
T+20d
call — · α —
in 20d
T+60d
call — · α —
in 3mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Fairfax Financial converted $150M principal of Orla Mining convertible notes into 26.6M common shares at C$7.90/share, increasing its stake from ~9.2% to ~15.7% (non-diluted) of Orla. Fairfax also holds 17.5M warrants exercisable at C$11.50, bringing its fully diluted position to ~19.5%. This is a material increase in Fairfax's ownership and signals strong conviction in Orla's prospects.

Actionable Insight

Fairfax's aggressive accumulation (now ~19.5% fully diluted) suggests potential strategic moves — watch for an early warning report on SEDAR+ and possible board discussions. Orla's stock may see upward pressure from Fairfax's increased ownership and the removal of convertible note overhang.

Key Facts

  • Fairfax converted $150M principal of Orla convertible notes into 26,582,275 common shares at C$7.90/share.
  • Conversion shares represent ~7.1% of Orla's outstanding common shares.
  • Fairfax now holds 58,399,504 common shares and 17,544,302 warrants (C$11.50 exercise price).
  • Total ownership: ~15.7% non-diluted, ~19.5% partially diluted (assuming warrant exercise).
  • Prior to conversion, Fairfax owned 31,817,229 common shares, $150M notes, and 17,544,302 warrants (~9.2% non-diluted, ~19.5% partially diluted).
  • Fairfax states it holds the securities for investment purposes and may discuss strategic transactions with Orla's management/board.

Financial Impact

Fairfax deployed $150M in note conversion, increasing its Orla stake by ~7.1% of outstanding shares. No cash outlay beyond the existing note position.

ownership percentagedilutionstake value

Risk Factors

  • Orla's share price could decline if Fairfax reduces its position or if mining operations disappoint.
  • Warrant overhang (17.5M shares at C$11.50) may cap upside if exercised.
  • Regulatory or shareholder pushback if Fairfax seeks board representation or a control transaction.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
OTC
Sector
Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance
Analyst Consensus
67% bullish (12 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
6-K Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-071204
Document: tm2617110d1_ex99-1.htm0001104659-26-071204
Document: 0001104659-26-071204-index-headers.html0001104659-26-071204
Document: 0001104659-26-071204-index.html0001104659-26-071204
Document: 0001104659-26-071204.txt0001104659-26-071204
7 reports for FRFFF
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for FRFFF — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 8, 2026
8d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$18.18 $17.98▼ −1.09%▼ −2.89%$17.98 (−1.09%)
Jun 8, 2026
8d ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$18.18 $17.98▼ −1.09%▼ −3.20%$17.98 (−1.09%)
Jun 5, 2026
11d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$18.18 $17.98▼ −1.09%▼ −3.20%$17.98 (−1.09%)
Jun 1, 2026
15d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$18.50 $18.18▼ −1.74%▲ +1.23%$17.98 (−2.81%)
May 29, 2026
18d ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$18.50 $18.50· 0.00%▲ +2.75%$17.98 (−2.81%)
Apr 29, 2026
6w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$18.40 $18.94▲ +2.93%▲ +1.21%$17.98 (−2.28%)
Apr 6, 2026
10w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$18.73 $18.73· 0.00%▼ −4.13%$17.98 (−3.99%)
Showing 7 of 7

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