FWRG First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.

MIXED Impact: 5/10 8-K
Horizon weeks Filed May 5, 2026 Processed 1mo ago SEC 0001789940-26-000059
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
FWRG ▼ -14.29% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -14.29% · α vs SPY -19.24% · entry $12.18 → $10.44
Next anchor: T+60d in 7w
Last close $10.34 (close Jun 8) · -15.11% from $12.18 entry
Entry anchored
May 5, 2026
via day open
T+1d
-0.08%
call -0.08% · α -1.47%
$12.17
settled 5w ago
T+5d
-6.81%
call -6.81% · α -8.80%
$11.35
settled 29d ago
T+20d
-14.29%
call -14.29% · α -19.24%
$10.44
settled 7d ago
T+60d
call — · α —
in 7w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

First Watch reported Q1 2026 total revenue of $331.0M (+17.3% YoY) and a GAAP net loss of -$0.04/share, wider than the -$0.01 loss a year ago. The company raised the low end of its full-year Adjusted EBITDA guidance to $133M-$140M (from $132M-$140M) and reaffirmed its top-line outlook. Same-restaurant sales grew 2.8% but traffic declined 2.0%, and GAAP operating margin compressed to 0.3% — the net loss widened despite revenue growth, making this a mixed result.

Key Financial Metrics

Guidance
12%-14% growth (reiterated)
raised

Actionable Insight

The revenue beat and raised EBITDA guidance provide a modest positive catalyst, but the widening GAAP net loss and negative traffic (-2.0%) are concerning. Monitor the Q2 2026 earnings for traffic inflection and margin trajectory — the stock may trade range-bound until same-restaurant traffic turns positive.

Key Facts

  • Total revenues increased 17.3% YoY to $331.0M from $282.2M
  • GAAP net loss widened to -$2.7M (-$0.04/diluted share) from -$0.8M (-$0.01) in Q1 2025
  • Adjusted EBITDA rose 22.2% to $27.8M from $22.8M; margin expanded to 8.4% from 8.1%
  • Same-restaurant sales grew 2.8% but traffic declined 2.0%
  • Restaurant-level operating profit margin improved to 18.5% from 16.5%
  • Raised FY2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance low end to $133M (from $132M), range now $133M-$140M
  • Reaffirmed FY2026 same-restaurant sales growth of 1%-3% and total revenue growth of 12%-14%
  • Opened 16 net new system-wide restaurants in Q1, ending with 648 total units

Financial Impact

Revenue beat consensus of $329.3M by ~0.5%; GAAP EPS of -$0.04 missed the Street consensus of -$0.02 by 100% (wider loss). Adjusted EBITDA guidance raise of ~$1M at the low end is modest.

revenueepsadjusted-ebitdasame-restaurant-salestraffic

Risk Factors

  • Same-restaurant traffic has been negative for three consecutive quarters (Q1 2026 -2.0%, Q4 2025 -1.9%, Q1 2025 -0.7%)
  • GAAP net loss is widening despite revenue growth, driven by elevated G&A (+32% YoY) and interest expense
  • Consumer spending sensitivity in the daytime dining segment could pressure traffic further

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Retail-Eating Places
Analyst Consensus
89% bullish (18 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 7 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001789940-26-000059
Exhibit: exh992q12026irsitedeckfi.htm0001789940-26-000059
Document: fwrg-20260505.htm0001789940-26-000059
Document: 0001789940-26-000059-index-headers.html0001789940-26-000059
Document: 0001789940-26-000059-index.html0001789940-26-000059
Document: 0001789940-26-000059.txt0001789940-26-000059
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001789940-26-000059
7 reports for FWRG
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for FWRG — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 8, 2026
1d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$10.35 awaiting T+20awaiting T+20$10.34 (−0.05%)
Jun 8, 2026
1d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$10.35 awaiting T+20awaiting T+20$10.34 (−0.05%)
May 5, 2026
5w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$12.18 $10.44▼ −14.29%▼ −19.24%$10.34 (−15.11%)
May 5, 2026
5w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$12.18 $10.44▼ −14.29%▼ −19.24%$10.34 (−15.11%)
Apr 8, 2026
8w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$11.65 $12.17▲ +4.46%▼ −3.10%$10.34 (−11.24%)
Mar 10, 2026
13w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$12.52 $11.16▲ +10.86%▲ +10.71%$10.34 (+17.41%)
Mar 10, 2026
13w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$12.52 $11.16▲ +10.86%▲ +10.71%$10.34 (+17.41%)
Showing 7 of 7

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