GES GUESS INC
Executive Summary
Six major institutional investors reduced their stakes in Guess Inc (GES) during Q3 2025, with aggregate net selling of approximately $4.7M. The selling was broad-based across both quantitative funds (Citadel, Two Sigma) and passive mega-firms (Morgan Stanley, UBS, BofA, Wells Fargo), suggesting a coordinated risk reduction or thesis deterioration.
Key Financial Metrics
Institutional Positions
Net institutional flow: -$4.7M
▼ Sellers (6)
| Institution | Action | Change | Prev Value | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wells Fargo | TRIM | -30.8% | — | -$54.3K |
| Citadel | NEAR_EXIT | -87.3% | — | -$1.4M |
| Morgan Stanley | TRIM | -32.5% | — | -$701.6K |
| UBS | TRIM | -64.8% | — | -$1.3M |
| Two Sigma | TRIM | -37.8% | — | -$1.0M |
| BofA | TRIM | -29.9% | — | -$312.0K |
Actionable Insight
The absence of any institutional buyers combined with near-exit from Citadel and large trims from two quant funds signals conviction loss. Monitor upcoming earnings for guidance deterioration or margin pressure. The 0% bullish analyst consensus reinforces this view — further selling pressure likely as remaining passive holders continue rebalancing.
Key Facts
- 6 sellers, 0 buyers in the institutional cluster for Q3 2025
- Aggregate net dollar outflow of $4,738,352
- Citadel executed near-exit, cutting 87.3% of its position
- Two Sigma trimmed 37.8% of its stake
- Morgan Stanley, UBS, BofA, and Wells Fargo all trimmed by 30-65%
- Analyst consensus is 0% bullish — 4 Holds, 4 Sells, 1 Strong Sell
Financial Impact
Six institutions sold a combined $4.7M net of GES stock in Q3 2025: $3.2M from quant firms (Citadel near-exit, Two Sigma large trim) and $1.5M from mega-passive firms (Morgan Stanley, UBS, BofA, Wells Fargo)
Risk Factors
- 13F data has 45-day lag — positions may have been rebuilt in Q4
- Passive sellers (Morgan Stanley, UBS, BofA, Wells Fargo) could be index rebalancing rather than fundamental negative view
- No insider buying data available to counterbalance institutional exit signal
Market Snapshot
Documents Analyzed
This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.
| Document | Accession Number |
|---|---|
| INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic) | inst-cluster-GES-2025-Q3 |
US Market Status
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