ICE Intercontinental Exchange, Inc.

MIXED Impact: 5/10 Institutional Cluster
Horizon months Processed 4d 18h ago
Institutional cluster: 39 buyers, 21 sellers (mixed)
Latest settled — T+1d
ICE ▼ -0.31% at T+1d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -0.31% · α vs SPY -2.07% · entry $140.53 → $140.10
Next anchor: T+5d in 5d
Latest observation: T+2 +0.87% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Jun 12, 10:05 AM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
-0.31%
call -0.31% · α -2.07%
$140.10
settled yesterday
T+5d
call — · α —
in 5d
T+20d
call — · α —
in 26d
T+60d
call — · α —
in 3mo

Executive Summary

A mixed institutional cluster in ICE's Q3 2024 13Fs shows $372.5M in buying (net +$194.9M from $177.6M prior) against $378.4M in selling, creating net selling pressure. Aggressive active buying by Citadel ($113.8M add), Point72 ($16.2M doubler), and Nisa ($21.7M add) is countered by major trims from Mawer ($117.8M cut), Balyasny ($111.6M cut), and Prudential ($29.6M cut). The divergence between quant-driven accumulators and value-oriented divestors suggests a thesis split on ICE's growth trajectory and valuation.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
mixed
Buy Value
$372.5M
Sell Value
$378.4M
Net Flow
-$183.5M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: -$183.5M

▲ Buyers (39)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Citadel ADD +69.5% $229.0M $113.8M
Nisa Investment Advisors ADD +57.5% $47.3M $21.7M
Nissay Asset Management Corp ADD +51.9% $37.5M $16.4M
Point72 DOUBLED +298% $20.6M $16.2M
King Luther Capital Management DOUBLED +135.2% $19.7M $12.6M
M&G NEW +0% $10.7M $10.7M
&Partners DOUBLED +119.3% $3.2M $1.9M
Neos Investment Management ADD +26.6% $4.6M $1.5M

▼ Sellers (21)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
Mawer TRIM -30.7% $632.0M -$117.8M
Balyasny Asset Management TRIM -61.1% $205.2M -$111.6M
Verition Fund Management NEAR_EXIT -96.2% $45.5M -$43.5M
First Trust Advisors NEAR_EXIT -95.5% $46.8M -$44.3M
Prudential Financial TRIM -37.4% $111.4M -$29.6M
Swedbank Ab EXIT -100% $11.6M -$11.6M
Glenmede Trust Co Na TRIM -40.8% $46.2M -$14.1M

Actionable Insight

The mixed cluster with divergent active manager conviction — quants buy aggressively while value managers sell — suggests no consensus signal on ICE. With the cross-filing amplifier inst-earnings-context + inst-offering-context indicating these moves may have been around earnings/offering events, monitor whether the selling accelerates into Q4 13F data as a potential overhang. For traders, the lack of clear institutional direction warrants a neutral stance until conviction coalesces.

Key Facts

  • 39 buyers accumulated $372.5M in positions (net change +$194.9M)
  • 21 sellers reduced $378.4M in positions (net change of -$378.4M)
  • Citadel added 584.4K shares, increasing its stake by $113.8M
  • Mawer trimmed 1.42M shares, reducing its position by $117.8M
  • 2 new positions (M&G) and 3 near-exits/single exit among sellers
  • Net aggregate value change across all tracked funds: -$183.5M (selling $378.4M vs buying $194.9M)
  • Active quant funds (Citadel, Point72) are net buyers; value-oriented funds (Mawer, Balyasny) are net sellers

Financial Impact

Active quant funds added $175M+ while top value funds cut $351M+, resulting in aggregate institutional net selling of ~$183.5M based on the tracked 60-fund sample.

institutional ownershipshare price sentiment

Risk Factors

  • 13F data carries a 45-day reporting lag; positions may have already been adjusted after quarter end
  • Mawer's large trim alongside Balyasny's sell suggests fundamental concerns among value-driven allocators
  • Active quant buying could be hedging-related rather than directional conviction
  • Historical P&L on prior ICE calls shows consistent negative drift (average T+20 -3.5%) suggesting persistent headwinds

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Security & Commodity Brokers, Dealers, Exchanges & Services
Analyst Consensus
86% bullish (21 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-ICE-2024-Q3
8 reports for ICE
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate 2 of 3 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +2.02%May 1, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for ICE — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 12, 2026
4d ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 5/10
$140.53 $140.10▼ −0.31%▼ −2.07%
May 31, 2026
16d ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 3/10
$158.65 $158.14▼ −0.32%▼ −0.20%
May 28, 2026
19d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$147.63 $144.87▼ −1.87%▼ −2.13%
May 20, 2026
27d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$151.10 $153.09▲ +1.32%▲ +0.87%
May 1, 2026
6w ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 3/10
$158.65 $158.14▼ −0.32%▼ −0.20%
Apr 30, 2026
6w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$157.58 $154.66▼ −1.85%▼ −2.07%
Feb 28, 2026
15w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$164.58 $164.65▲ +0.04%▲ +0.96%
Feb 20, 2026
16w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$153.92 $154.02▲ +0.07%▲ +1.07%
Showing 8 of 8

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