IOT Samsara Inc.

NEUTRAL Impact: 2/10 Insider Cluster (4 insiders)
Horizon immediate Filed May 21, 2026 Processed 19d 8h ago
Insider cluster: 4 insiders, $5.1M total
Latest settled — T+5d
IOT ▲ +23.76% at T+5d
NEUTRAL call ✓ call won +23.76% · α vs SPY +22.10% · entry $31.15 → $38.55
Next anchor: T+20d in 12d
Last close $34.06 (close Jun 8) · +9.34% from $31.15 entry
Entry anchored
May 21, 2026
via day open
T+1d
+0.03%
call +0.03% · α -0.55%
$31.16
settled 19d ago
T+5d
+23.76%
call +23.76% · α +22.10%
$38.55
settled 12d ago
T+20d
call — · α —
in 12d
T+60d
call — · α —
in 2mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Four Samsara insiders, including CEO Sanjit Biswas and CFO John Bicket, sold a total of $5.09M in open-market transactions over the past week. The CEO and CFO sales alone account for $4.89M, or ~0.027% of the company's $17.8B market cap. While the cluster involves top executives, the dollar value is de minimis relative to market cap and the sellers are executing sales at regular intervals (consistent with 10b5-1 plans), making this a routine liquidity event rather than an informed sell signal.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
selling
Total Value
$5.1M
Insiders
4

Actionable Insight

Insider sales are quantitatively immaterial relative to company size and follow patterns consistent with pre-arranged 10b5-1 plans. Historical performance on IOT shows negative average call P&L T+20 (-5.85%) with a 25% win rate but the calibration block confirms score-2 events in this segment are clustered at low observed positive rates, consistent with neutral. No trading signal from this cluster — ignore for position-taking.

Key Facts

  • Four insiders sold a combined total of ~185K shares worth $5.09M from May 13-20, 2026.
  • CEO Sanjit Biswas sold 89.1K shares for $2.45M; CFO John Bicket sold 88.7K shares for $2.44M.
  • Total sales represent approximately 0.029% of Samsara's $17.8B market cap — well below the 0.1% materiality threshold.
  • Routine, pattern-aligned sales by C-suite are commonly associated with 10b5-1 trading plans and diversification, not negative information.

Financial Impact

Total insider selling of $5.09M is economically trivial relative to a market cap of $17.8B (0.029%).

dilution

Risk Factors

  • Insider sales at a higher cadence than in prior quarters could signal lack of conviction, but current volumes do not support this.
  • The cross-filing actuarial data shows cluster-insider-trades + cluster-offering-context as an amplifier, but no offering context is present here — the amplification is not triggered.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Services-Computer Integrated Systems Design
Analyst Consensus
78% bullish (27 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 SEC document filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)cluster-IOT-1779399827636
17 reports for IOT
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 3 of 3 directional calls best @ T+5▲ +15.67%Apr 1, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for IOT — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 8, 2026
1d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$34.07 awaiting T+1awaiting T+1$34.06 (−0.03%)
Jun 4, 2026
5d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$36.00 awaiting T+1awaiting T+1$34.06 (−5.39%)
Jun 1, 2026
8d ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$37.36 $36.34▼ −2.73%▼ −2.01%$34.06 (−8.83%)
May 28, 2026
12d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$34.99 $38.55▲ +10.17%▲ +9.90%$34.06 (−2.66%)
May 28, 2026
12d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$34.99 $38.55▲ +10.17%▲ +9.90%$34.06 (−2.66%)
May 21, 2026
19d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$31.15 $31.16▲ +0.03%▼ −0.55%$34.06 (+9.34%)
Apr 30, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$28.74 $30.49▲ +6.09%▲ +5.87%$34.06 (+18.51%)
Apr 28, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$29.33 $29.37▲ +0.14%▲ +0.15%$34.06 (+16.13%)
Apr 13, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$26.59 $26.51▲ +0.30%▲ +1.51%$34.06 (−28.09%)
Apr 13, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$26.59 $26.51▼ −0.30%▼ −1.51%$34.06 (+28.09%)
Showing 10 of 17

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