IOT Samsara Inc.

NEUTRAL Impact: 2/10 Insider Cluster (2 insiders)
Horizon days Filed May 28, 2026 Processed 15d 11h ago
Insider cluster: 2 insiders, $267K total
Latest settled — T+5d ⚠ clustered
IOT ▲ +3.86% at T+5d
NEUTRAL call ✓ call won +3.86% · α vs SPY +4.15% · entry $34.99 → $36.34
Next anchor: T+20d in 9d
Currently $32.65 · -6.69% from $34.99 entry
Entry anchored
May 28, 03:59 PM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
+10.17%
call +10.17% · α +9.90%
$38.55
settled 19d ago
T+5d
+3.86%
call +3.86% · α +4.15%
$36.34
settled 13d ago
T+20d
call — · α —
in 9d
T+60d
call — · α —
in 2mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Two top insiders at Samsara (CEO Sanjit Biswas and executive John Bicket) sold a combined $5.5M in open-market shares over three days (May 26-28), with the CEO alone selling $2.7M. The cluster is 100% sells, with no insider buying to offset. At $20.4B market cap, the total represents ~0.027% — well below the 0.1% materiality threshold — making this a routine, non-informative cluster by dollar magnitude. The historical calibration for this ticker shows negative average call P&L at T+20 (-3.07%) and a 40% win rate, suggesting prior directional calls have underperformed; combined with the trivial dollar amount, this cluster warrants a neutral read.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
selling
Total Value
$5.5M
Insiders
2

Actionable Insight

The dollar amount is too small relative to market cap to signal material non-public information. CEO selling alongside another top executive is notable for pattern but not actionable at this scale. Monitor for any 8-K or earnings pre-announcement in the next 2-4 weeks; if no news emerges, this cluster is noise.

Key Facts

  • CEO Sanjit Biswas sold $2.7M worth of shares across three days (May 26-28) at ~$29.72-$30.40
  • Executive John Bicket sold $2.7M across the same three days at similar prices
  • Total cluster value: ~$5.5M, representing ~0.027% of Samsara's $20.4B market cap
  • No insider purchases in the cluster — 100% open-market sells
  • All sells are open-market (code S); no 10b5-1 plan indicated in the filing
  • The cluster is below the 0.1% market cap threshold for materiality
  • Historical calibration for IOT shows negative average T+20 alpha (-6.70% vs SPY) and 40% win rate on prior reports

Financial Impact

Total insider sales of ~$5.5M, or 0.027% of market cap — trivial relative to company size

insider selling volume

Risk Factors

  • CEO and top executive selling simultaneously could signal caution ahead of Q1 FY2027 earnings (expected late June)
  • No 10b5-1 plan disclosed — sales are discretionary, increasing information-signal risk if a material event follows
  • Historical calibration shows negative average T+20 alpha on prior IOT reports, suggesting the stock has underperformed following similar filings

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Services-Computer Integrated Systems Design
Analyst Consensus
78% bullish (27 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 SEC document filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)cluster-IOT-1780346317193
19 reports for IOT
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 3 of 3 directional calls best @ T+5▲ +15.67%Apr 1, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for IOT — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 15, 2026
1d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$33.56 awaiting T+1awaiting T+1$32.65 (−2.70%)
Jun 12, 2026
4d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$33.54 $32.65▼ −2.65%▼ −2.06%$32.65 (−2.65%)
Jun 8, 2026
8d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$33.62 $32.64▼ −2.91%▼ −1.34%$32.65 (−2.89%)
Jun 4, 2026
12d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$34.80 $34.06▼ −2.13%▼ −2.35%$32.65 (−6.18%)
Jun 1, 2026
15d ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$37.36 $36.34▼ −2.73%▼ −2.01%$32.65 (−12.61%)
May 28, 2026
19d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$34.99 $38.55▲ +10.17%▲ +9.90%$32.65 (−6.69%)
May 28, 2026
19d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$34.99 $38.55▲ +10.17%▲ +9.90%$32.65 (−6.69%)
May 21, 2026
26d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$31.15 $31.16▲ +0.03%▼ −0.55%$32.65 (+4.82%)
Apr 30, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$28.74 $30.49▲ +6.09%▲ +5.87%$32.65 (+13.60%)
Apr 28, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$29.33 $29.37▲ +0.14%▲ +0.15%$32.65 (+11.32%)
Showing 10 of 19

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