LAR Lithium Argentina AG

BULLISH Impact: 7/10 PRESS-RELEASE
Horizon weeks Filed May 12, 2026 Processed 1mo ago Wire GlobeNewswire
Press release: earnings
Latest settled — T+5d ⚠ clustered
LAR ▼ -17.78% at T+5d
LONG call ✗ call lost -17.78% · α vs SPY -17.85% · entry $11.42 → $9.39
Next anchor: T+20d due 5d ago
Last close $9.64 (close Jun 12) · -15.59% from $11.42 entry
Entry anchored
May 11, 03:59 PM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
-5.34%
call -5.34% · α -5.92%
$10.81
settled 5w ago
T+5d
-17.78%
call -17.78% · α -17.85%
$9.39
settled 27d ago
T+20d
call — · α —
due 5d ago
T+60d
call — · α —
in 7w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Lithium Argentina reported Q1 2026 net income of $7.5M (EPS $0.05), swinging from a $7.2M loss in Q1 2025, driven by a $22.1M share of income from Cauchari-Olaroz. The operation produced 9,660 tonnes at cash costs of $5,391/t, with adjusted EBITDA surging to $105.8M (100% Exar basis). The company also secured a $130M debt facility from Ganfeng and is advancing a Stage 2 expansion, positioning it for growth without shareholder dilution.

Actionable Insight

The EPS miss vs consensus is overshadowed by the massive operational turnaround at Cauchari-Olaroz, with production at capacity and costs falling sharply. Watch for RIGI approval in Q2 2026 and the Stage 2 scoping study by mid-2026, which could unlock significant growth. The $130M debt facility and $97M cash position provide ample liquidity. The ASX listing plan may broaden the investor base.

Key Facts

  • Q1 2026 net income of $7.5M vs net loss of $7.2M in Q1 2025
  • EPS of $0.05 vs consensus estimate of $0.13 (miss of -98.4%)
  • Cauchari-Olaroz produced 9,660 tonnes at 97% of design capacity
  • Cash operating costs of $5,391/tonne, down from $6,634/tonne in Q1 2025
  • Adjusted EBITDA (100% Exar basis) of $105.8M, up from $8.9M in Q1 2025
  • Revenue of $168M at average realized price of ~$16,818/tonne
  • Cash and equivalents of $97.4M, up from $61.1M at year-end 2025
  • Completed $130M debt facility from Ganfeng with 6-year term at SOFR+2.5%
  • Stage 2 expansion targeting +45,000 tpa LCE; RIGI approval expected Q2 2026
  • PPG project advancing with 150,000 tpa LCE target across three phases

Financial Impact

Net income swing of +$14.7M YoY; adjusted EBITDA of $105.8M vs $8.9M; $130M debt facility secured

net incomeepsadjusted ebitdacash positionproduction costs

Risk Factors

  • EPS miss of -98.4% vs consensus may pressure the stock in the near term
  • Dependence on lithium carbonate prices, which remain volatile
  • Stage 2 expansion and PPG project subject to permitting, financing, and execution risks
  • Argentina political and economic risks, including currency controls and inflation
  • Derivative fair value fluctuations from Exar's USD-denominated loans in Argentine pesos

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Metal Mining
Analyst Consensus
83% bullish (12 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3292630
5 reports for LAR
Performance horizon
33% Hit rate 1 of 3 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +40.51%Mar 23, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for LAR — sortable, filterable
Type Now
May 14, 2026
4w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$10.19 $9.54▼ −6.38%▼ −5.66%$9.64 (−5.40%)
May 12, 2026
4w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$11.42 $9.39▼ −17.78%▼ −17.85%$9.64 (−15.59%)
May 12, 2026
4w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$11.42 $9.39▼ −17.78%▼ −17.85%$9.64 (−15.59%)
Apr 24, 2026
7w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$9.31 $10.17▼ −9.24%▼ −8.33%$9.64 (−3.54%)
Mar 23, 2026
11w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$6.27 $6.63▲ +5.74%▲ +9.31%$9.64 (+53.75%)
Showing 5 of 5

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