LOCO El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.

MIXED Impact: 3/10 Institutional Cluster
Horizon months Processed 9d 18h ago
Institutional cluster: 4 buyers, 2 sellers (mixed)
Latest settled — T+5d
LOCO ▲ +0.45% at T+5d
NEUTRAL call ✓ call won +0.45% · α vs SPY +0.01% · entry $15.72 → $15.79
Next anchor: T+20d in 19d
Entry anchored
Jun 11, 09:57 AM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
-0.51%
call -0.51% · α -1.05%
$15.64
settled 9d ago
T+5d
+0.45%
call +0.45% · α +0.01%
$15.79
settled 3d ago
T+20d
call — · α —
in 19d
T+60d
call — · α —
in 3mo

Executive Summary

Four institutional buyers (Two Sigma doubling its position, Morgan Stanley adding 56%, and two smaller adders) accumulated $3.2M in LOCO during Q3, while two passive sellers trimmed $1.1M. Net institutional conviction is mixed due to the small absolute dollar amounts ($8.2M in aggregate buyer holdings versus $459M market cap) and dominant passive/quant profile of the buyers — not a strong active-fund signal.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
mixed
Buy Value
$8.2M
Sell Value
$2.6M
Net Flow
$2.1M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $2.1M

▲ Buyers (4)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Two Sigma DOUBLED +788.2% $2.1M $1.8M
Morgan Stanley ADD +56.2% $3.7M $1.0M
Fund 1 ADD +34.1% $2.5M $378.0K

▼ Sellers (2)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
UBS TRIM -40.9% $1.7M -$828.8K
Invesco TRIM -26.6% $862.0K -$304.6K

Actionable Insight

Two Sigma's 788% position increase and Fund 1's 34% add suggest recent operating momentum or a catalyst is attracting selective buyers, but the absence of any activist or high-conviction active manager makes this a weak signal. Monitor next 10-Q for same-store sales trends and margin trajectory — that is what would drive further institutional rotation, not these quarter-end snapshots.

Key Facts

  • 4 buyers added a net $3.2M; 2 sellers trimmed $1.1M
  • Two Sigma DOUBLED its position (+788%), from $265K to $2.1M
  • Morgan Stanley ADDED 56.2%, from $2.7M to $3.7M
  • Invesco trimmed 26.6% and UBS trimmed 40.9% from passive mandates
  • Cluster is dominated by mega-passive (Fidelity, Morgan Stanley, Invesco, UBS) and quant (Two Sigma); only Fund 1 is an active-value fund
  • Aggregate buyer holdings of $8.2M represent ~1.8% of LOCO's $459M market cap

Financial Impact

Net institutional buying of $3.2M vs selling of $1.1M; total buyer holdings $8.2M — small relative to $459M market cap

institutional ownershipfloat

Risk Factors

  • 13F data has a 45-day lag; the positions may have been unwound or changed since quarter-end
  • No activist or high-alpha active fund participated — the buying is concentrated in passive and quantitative managers, which have lower stock-selection conviction
  • Historical model calibration shows a net negative T+20 alpha for LOCO reports (-2.66%) — past reads on this name have underperformed

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Retail-Eating Places
Analyst Consensus
73% bullish (11 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-LOCO-2025-Q3
2 reports for LOCO
Performance horizon
Filters
Rows
Reports for LOCO — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 11, 2026
9d ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 3/10
$15.72 $15.79▲ +0.45%▲ +0.01%
Apr 1, 2026
11w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$13.89 $13.88▼ −0.07%▼ −3.69%
Showing 2 of 2

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (29h 30m)

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