LUNR Intuitive Machines, LLC

MIXED Impact: 6/10 PRESS-RELEASE
Horizon months Filed Mar 19, 2026 Processed 2mo ago Wire GlobeNewswire
Press release: earnings
Latest settled — T+20d
LUNR ▲ +45.85% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call ✓ call won +45.85% · α vs SPY +38.23% · entry $18.91 → $27.58
Next anchor: T+60d in 5d
Last close $29.74 (close Jun 8) · +57.24% from $18.91 entry
Entry anchored
Mar 18, 03:59 PM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
-5.71%
call -5.71% · α -3.97%
$17.83
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
+1.69%
call +1.69% · α +3.90%
$19.23
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
+45.85%
call +45.85% · α +38.23%
$27.58
settled 8w ago
T+60d
call — · α —
in 5d

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Executive Summary

Intuitive Machines reported Q4 2025 revenue of $44.8 million, a decline from prior-year levels, with full-year 2025 revenue down 7.8% to $210.1 million. Despite a net loss of $106.8 million, the company highlighted a $56 million improvement in free cash flow usage year-over-year and announced a strong 2026 revenue outlook of $900M–$1B with positive Adjusted EBITDA expectations. Recent acquisitions and a $175M strategic investment signal aggressive growth ambitions.

Key Financial Metrics

Revenue
$210.1M
-7.8% YoY
EPS
$-1.07
Guidance
$900M-$1B
raised
Deal Value
$800.0M

Actionable Insight

Traders should monitor whether the company can deliver on its aggressive 2026 revenue and EBITDA guidance, especially given declining core revenue and shrinking backlog. The recent capital raises and acquisitions may enable growth, but execution risk remains high.

Key Facts

  • Q4 2025 revenue: $44.8 million (down from $54.7 million in Q4 2024)
  • Full-year 2025 revenue: $210.1 million (down from $228.0 million in 2024)
  • Full-year 2025 net loss: $106.8 million (improved from $346.9 million in 2024)
  • Free cash flow improved by $11.7 million YoY to -$56.0 million (from -$67.7 million)
  • Company raised 2026 full-year revenue guidance to $900M–$1B and expects Adjusted EBITDA profitability
  • Completed $800M acquisition of Lanteris Space Systems in Q1 2026 and secured $175M strategic investment
  • Backlog declined to $213.1M as of Dec 31, 2025 from $328.3M in 2024

Financial Impact

Revenue declined 7.8% YoY in 2025, but free cash flow improved by $11.7M. 2026 revenue guidance implies 135-167% growth over 2025. $800M acquisition and $175M investment expand capital base and strategic scope.

revenueepsfreeCashFlowbacklogdebtdilution

Risk Factors

  • Revenue and backlog are declining despite optimistic guidance
  • Net loss remains substantial, and Adjusted EBITDA was negative $64.2M in 2025
  • Heavy reliance on future government contracts and integration of large acquisitions

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3258893
15 reports for LUNR
Performance horizon
57% Hit rate 4 of 7 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +121.65%Mar 3, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for LUNR — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 8, 2026
1d ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$29.92 awaiting T+1awaiting T+1$29.74 (+0.62%)
Jun 3, 2026
6d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$33.83 $33.63▼ −0.59%▼ −0.99%$29.74 (−12.10%)
May 14, 2026
26d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$36.52 $33.89▼ −7.20%▼ −5.97%$29.74 (−18.58%)
May 14, 2026
26d ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$36.52 $33.89▼ −7.20%▼ −5.97%$29.74 (−18.58%)
May 14, 2026
26d ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$36.52 $33.89▼ −7.20%▼ −5.97%$29.74 (−18.58%)
May 1, 2026
5w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$25.62 $25.35▼ −1.05%▼ −0.71%$29.74 (+16.06%)
Apr 24, 2026
6w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$25.53 $26.20▲ +2.62%▲ +2.46%$29.74 (+16.47%)
Apr 15, 2026
7w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$23.88 $27.28▲ +14.24%▲ +13.99%$29.74 (+24.52%)
Apr 15, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$23.88 $27.28▼ −14.24%▼ −13.99%$29.74 (−24.52%)
Apr 1, 2026
9w ago
S-3ASR
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$23.99 $22.92▼ −4.46%▼ −4.94%$29.74 (+23.95%)
Showing 10 of 15

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