LUNR Intuitive Machines, LLC

MIXED Impact: 6/10 PRESS-RELEASE
Horizon weeks Filed May 14, 2026 Processed 26d 18h ago Wire GlobeNewswire
Press release: earnings
Latest settled — T+5d ⚠ clustered
LUNR ▼ -6.24% at T+5d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -6.24% · α vs SPY -5.53% · entry $36.52 → $34.24
Next anchor: T+20d in 2d
Last close $29.74 (close Jun 8) · -18.58% from $36.52 entry
Entry anchored
May 14, 07:19 AM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
-7.20%
call -7.20% · α -5.97%
$33.89
settled 26d ago
T+5d
-6.24%
call -6.24% · α -5.53%
$34.24
settled 20d ago
T+20d
call — · α —
in 2d
T+60d
call — · α —
in 2mo

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Executive Summary

Intuitive Machines reported Q1 2026 revenue of $186.7M (miss vs $205.3M consensus) and GAAP EPS of -$0.25 (miss vs -$0.06 consensus). However, record backlog of $1.1B, positive Adjusted EBITDA of $2.7M, and strong FY2026 revenue guidance of $900M-$1B highlight the growth narrative from the Lanteris acquisition and major contract wins.

Key Financial Metrics

Guidance
$900M-$1B
initiated
Free Cash Flow
-$64.6M
Gross Margin
16.1%

Actionable Insight

Focus on the FY2026 revenue guidance of $900M-$1B, which implies a significant ramp from Q1's run rate. Monitor Q2 results for revenue trajectory and margin progression. The large backlog provides revenue visibility but execution on contracts and integration of Lanteris remain key risks.

Key Facts

  • Q1 2026 revenue $186.7M, up 199% YoY but 9% below $205.3M consensus
  • GAAP EPS -$0.25 vs consensus -$0.06 (316% miss)
  • Adjusted EBITDA positive at $2.7M vs -$6.6M a year ago
  • Record backlog $1.1B, up from $213M at year-end 2025
  • FY2026 revenue guidance initiated at $900M-$1B, with positive Adjusted EBITDA
  • Completed $800M Lanteris acquisition in January 2026; awarded $428.9M in new contracts including SDA and NASA CLPS

Financial Impact

Revenue miss of ~$18.5M (9%) vs consensus; EPS miss of $0.19

revenueepsbacklogadjusted EBITDA

Risk Factors

  • Execution risk on $1.1B backlog and integration of Lanteris acquisition
  • Negative operating cash flow (-$54.8M) and free cash flow (-$64.6M) in Q1
  • Dependence on government contracts (NASA, SDA) which are subject to funding and political risks

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Search, Detection, Navigation, Guidance, Aeronautical Sys
Analyst Consensus
81% bullish (16 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3294812
15 reports for LUNR
Performance horizon
57% Hit rate 4 of 7 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +121.65%Mar 3, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for LUNR — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 8, 2026
1d ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$29.92 awaiting T+1awaiting T+1$29.74 (+0.62%)
Jun 3, 2026
6d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$33.83 $33.63▼ −0.59%▼ −0.99%$29.74 (−12.10%)
May 14, 2026
26d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$36.52 $33.89▼ −7.20%▼ −5.97%$29.74 (−18.58%)
May 14, 2026
26d ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$36.52 $33.89▼ −7.20%▼ −5.97%$29.74 (−18.58%)
May 14, 2026
26d ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$36.52 $33.89▼ −7.20%▼ −5.97%$29.74 (−18.58%)
May 1, 2026
5w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$25.62 $25.35▼ −1.05%▼ −0.71%$29.74 (+16.06%)
Apr 24, 2026
6w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$25.53 $26.20▲ +2.62%▲ +2.46%$29.74 (+16.47%)
Apr 15, 2026
7w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$23.88 $27.28▲ +14.24%▲ +13.99%$29.74 (+24.52%)
Apr 15, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$23.88 $27.28▼ −14.24%▼ −13.99%$29.74 (−24.52%)
Apr 1, 2026
9w ago
S-3ASR
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$23.99 $22.92▼ −4.46%▼ −4.94%$29.74 (+23.95%)
Showing 10 of 15

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