MBRX Moleculin Biotech, Inc.

BULLISH Impact: 6/10 8-K
Horizon weeks Filed May 29, 2026 Processed 7d 9h ago SEC 0001437749-26-018819
8-K context-dependent: Items 7.01
Latest settled — T+5d
MBRX ▼ -11.83% at T+5d
LONG call ✗ call lost -11.83% · α vs SPY -11.54% · entry $2.79 → $2.46
Next anchor: T+20d in 24d
Currently $2.40 · -13.98% from $2.79 entry
Entry anchored
May 28, 03:57 PM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
-5.38%
call -5.38% · α -5.65%
$2.64
settled 4d ago
T+5d
-11.83%
call -11.83% · α -11.54%
$2.46
settled 11h ago
T+20d
call — · α —
in 24d
T+60d
call — · α —
in 3mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Moleculin Biotech presented a pooled analysis at ASCO 2026 showing no detectable cardiotoxicity for its lead drug Annamycin across 90 patients, with independent review by Cleveland Clinic. The data reinforces the drug's differentiated safety profile as the pivotal Phase 2b/3 MIRACLE trial advances, with unblinding of the first 45 patients on track for June 2026.

Actionable Insight

The ASCO safety data is incrementally positive but not transformative — the stock's primary catalyst remains the MIRACLE trial unblinding in June 2026. Monitor for the unblinding results, which will determine the drug's approvability path. The company's $15M market cap and need for additional financing create binary risk around the trial outcome.

Key Facts

  • Pooled analysis of 90 patients across five completed trials showed no statistically significant change in LVEF (mean difference -0.12%; p=0.84)
  • Median cumulative Annamycin dose was 660 mg/m², with exposures up to 2,970 mg/m² — far exceeding conventional anthracycline lifetime limits
  • Independent cardiac review conducted by Cleveland Clinic Division of Cardiovascular Medicine
  • Phase 1b/2 AML study demonstrated 50% CR rate, 60% CRc rate, and median OS of 12.39 months
  • Unblinding from first 45 patients of the pivotal Phase 2b/3 MIRACLE trial is on track for June 2026
  • Company is a Phase 3 clinical-stage biotech with a $15M market cap and will require significant additional financing

Financial Impact

No financial data in filing; clinical-stage company with no reported revenue. Key catalyst is the upcoming MIRACLE trial unblinding in June 2026.

Risk Factors

  • Company requires significant additional financing with no commitments in place
  • MIRACLE trial unblinding in June 2026 is the key binary catalyst — safety data alone does not de-risk efficacy
  • Small dataset (90 patients) with no randomized controlled data yet
  • Historical T+20 performance on prior MBRX reports shows negative average alpha (-0.94%) with only 40% win rate

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Pharmaceutical Preparations
Analyst Consensus
89% bullish (9 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001437749-26-018819
Exhibit: ex_969652.htm0001437749-26-018819
Document: 0001437749-26-018819-index-headers.html0001437749-26-018819
Document: 0001437749-26-018819-index.html0001437749-26-018819
Document: 0001437749-26-018819.txt0001437749-26-018819
13 reports for MBRX
Performance horizon
60% Hit rate 3 of 5 directional calls best @ T+5▲ +9.81%May 13, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for MBRX — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 5, 2026
today
8-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$2.55 awaiting T+5awaiting T+5$2.40 (−5.88%)
May 29, 2026
7d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$2.79 $2.46▼ −11.83%▼ −11.54%$2.40 (−13.98%)
May 26, 2026
10d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$2.45 $2.64▲ +7.76%▲ +6.67%$2.40 (−2.04%)
May 22, 2026
14d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$2.45 $2.64▲ +7.76%▲ +6.67%$2.40 (−2.04%)
May 15, 2026
21d ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$2.11 $2.39▲ +13.27%▲ +12.31%$2.40 (+13.74%)
May 15, 2026
21d ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$2.11 $2.39▼ −13.27%▼ −12.31%$2.40 (−13.74%)
May 13, 2026
23d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$2.14 $2.35▲ +9.81%▲ +10.97%$2.40 (+12.15%)
May 12, 2026
24d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$2.34 $2.09▼ −10.68%▼ −10.76%$2.40 (+2.56%)
May 8, 2026
28d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$2.47 $2.20▼ −10.93%▼ −12.39%$2.40 (−2.83%)
Apr 23, 2026
6w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$2.54 $2.51▼ −1.18%▼ −2.66%$2.40 (−5.51%)
Showing 10 of 13

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (38h 7m)

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