MRNA Moderna, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact: 1/10
ANALYST-UPGRADE
8 firms acted on MRNA: Jefferies, Citigroup, Barclays, Argus Research, HSBC, Wolfe Research, Deutsche Bank, RBC Capital
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
MRNA ▼ -16.58% at T+60d
LONG call ✗ call lost -16.58% · α vs SPY -20.32% · entry $39.50 → $32.95
Last close $47.60 (close Jun 8) · +20.50% from $39.50 entry
T+1d
-5.67%
call -5.67% · α -6.04%
$37.26
settled 19mo ago
T+5d
+10.48%
call +10.48% · α +8.89%
$43.64
settled 19mo ago
T+20d
+3.11%
call +3.11% · α +0.37%
$40.73
settled 18mo ago
T+60d
-16.58%
call -16.58% · α -20.32%
$32.95
settled 16mo ago
Price Chart
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Executive Summary
8 firms acted on MRNA: Jefferies, Citigroup, Barclays, Argus Research, HSBC, Wolfe Research, Deutsche Bank, RBC Capital
Impact Score
Base Score
1/7
LLM Adjustment
+0
Final Score
1/10
Consensus & Targets
Buy / Strong Buy
9 (30%)
Hold
18
Sell / Strong Sell
3
Total Analysts
20
Mean PT
$43.20
Median PT
$45.00
High PT
$69.00
Low PT
$21.00
Current Price
$47.19
Implied Upside
-8.5%
Recent Analyst Activity
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-04 | UBS | maintain | Neutral | — |
| 2026-05-04 | Goldman Sachs | maintain | Neutral | $49.00 |
| 2026-05-04 | Evercore ISI Group | maintain | In-Line | $50.00 |
| 2026-05-04 | RBC Capital | maintain | Sector Perform | $38.00 |
| 2026-04-02 | Barclays | maintain | Equal-Weight | $48.00 |
| 2026-02-23 | Piper Sandler | maintain | Overweight | $69.00 |
| 2026-02-17 | Goldman Sachs | maintain | Neutral | $41.00 |
| 2026-02-17 | RBC Capital | maintain | Sector Perform | $30.00 |
| 2026-02-17 | Evercore ISI Group | maintain | In-Line | $35.00 |
| 2025-12-12 | Morgan Stanley | maintain | Equal-Weight | $28.00 |
Firm Track Record — HSBC
HSBC accuracy: 55% on 263 calls | avg return: 5.5%
Industry benchmark: mean 51% ± 11%. Top tier: ≥61% (mean + 1σ). Based on 13 firms with ≥5 scored calls.
| Firm | Accuracy | Calls | Avg Return | vs Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jefferies | 100% | 2/2 | 42.6% | top tier |
| Morgan Stanley | 75% | 3/4 | 26.9% | top tier |
| B of A Securities | 67% | 2/3 | 10% | top tier |
| Leerink Partners | 50% | 1/2 | 48.9% | below average |
| Citigroup | 50% | 1/2 | 31.7% | below average |
| JP Morgan | 50% | 3/6 | -7.9% | below average |
| RBC Capital | 38% | 3/8 | -7.9% | below average |
| Needham | 38% | 3/8 | -14.3% | below average |
| Barclays | 33% | 2/6 | -7.5% | below average |
| Piper Sandler | 25% | 1/4 | 4.5% | below average |
Earnings Estimates
Next earnings: Jul 30, 2026
| Period | EPS Est. | EPS Range | Revenue | Revisions (7d) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0q | $-2.09 | $-2.52 — $-1.80 | $101.8M | ↑7 ↓0 |
| +1y | $-4.72 | $-6.68 — $-0.08 | $2.5B | ↑0 ↓0 |
| +1q | $-1.13 | $-1.78 — $-0.33 | $913.1M | ↑1 ↓0 |
| 0y | $-8.65 | $-9.48 — $-7.52 | $2.1B | ↑0 ↓0 |
Cross-Platform Signals
Insider Trades (90d)
0 buys / 3 sells
Institutional
FMR LLC — doubled (127.9%)
Institutional
BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/ — trim (-39.1%)
Institutional
NORGES BANK — new
Short Interest
Short: 1,239,654 | Exempt: 2,077 | TRF Vol: 2,016,332 | Short Ratio: 61.5% | Off-exchange volume (dark pool + OTC)
Documents Analyzed
Report based on filing metadata.
9 reports for MRNA
Track record builds as more directional reports settle.
Filters
Rows
| Type | Now | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
May 31, 2026
9d ago
|
ANALYST-UPGRADE
| $39.50 $43.64 | ▲ +10.48% | ▲ +8.89% | $47.60 (+20.50%) |
|
May 22, 2026
18d ago
|
Insider Cluster
| $46.99 $45.60 | ▼ −2.96% | ▼ −4.17% | $47.60 (+1.30%) |
|
May 21, 2026
19d ago
|
144
| $47.19 $47.05 | ▼ −0.30% | ▼ −2.15% | $47.60 (+0.87%) |
|
May 8, 2026
4w ago
|
144
| $54.31 $50.03 | ▼ −7.88% | ▼ −9.35% | $47.60 (−12.36%) |
|
May 1, 2026
5w ago
|
ANALYST-UPGRADE
| $39.50 $43.64 | ▲ +10.48% | ▲ +8.89% | $47.60 (+20.50%) |
|
Mar 30, 2026
10w ago
|
Court Ruling
| $48.16 $49.94 | ▲ +3.70% | ▼ −0.60% | $47.60 (−1.17%) |
|
Mar 16, 2026
12w ago
|
DEFA14A
| $53.82 $51.28 | ▼ −4.72% | ▼ −2.06% | $47.60 (−11.56%) |
|
Mar 5, 2026
13w ago
|
8-K
| $53.65 $53.20 | ▲ +0.84% | ▼ −1.40% | $47.60 (+11.28%) |
|
Feb 28, 2026
14w ago
|
Institutional Cluster
| $52.82 $55.73 | ▲ +5.51% | ▲ +6.72% | $47.60 (−9.88%) |
Showing 9 of 9
US Market Status
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