NB NIOCORP DEVELOPMENTS LTD

NEUTRAL Impact: 3/10 Institutional Cluster
Horizon weeks Processed 9d 20h ago
Institutional cluster: 5 buyers, 0 sellers (bullish)
Latest settled — T+5d ⚠ clustered
NB ▼ -4.24% at T+5d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -4.24% · α vs SPY -4.68% · entry $5.42 → $5.19
Next anchor: T+20d in 19d
Entry anchored
Jun 10, 03:59 PM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
-0.37%
call -0.37% · α -0.91%
$5.40
settled 9d ago
T+5d
-4.24%
call -4.24% · α -4.68%
$5.19
settled 3d ago
T+20d
call — · α —
in 19d
T+60d
call — · α —
in 3mo

Executive Summary

Five mega-passive institutional investors (Vanguard, BlackRock, State Street, Fidelity, T. Rowe Price) collectively added $12.3M in NB shares during Q4 2025, with BlackRock alone increasing its stake by $9.4M (+74.7% shares). The cluster is entirely passive/index-driven, reflecting broad market or sector allocation rather than a fundamental thesis on Niocorp Developments. Historical performance on prior NB reports shows a 0% win rate at T+20 with average losses of -21.66%, and the score calibration indicates negative net alpha at this segment, suggesting limited trading edge from this signal.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
accumulating
Buy Value
$49.1M
Sell Value
$0.00
Net Flow
$12.3M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $12.3M

▲ Buyers (5)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Vanguard ADD +36.9% $5.8M $461.0K
BlackRock ADD +74.7% $33.8M $9.4M
State Street ADD +67.9% $9.4M $2.3M
Fidelity DOUBLED +315.9% $102.0K $71.0K
T. Rowe Price ADD +53.7% $304.00 $55.00

Actionable Insight

The cluster is entirely passive rebalancing by index funds, not a conviction-driven signal. Given NB's poor historical T+20 performance (-21.66% avg) and negative net alpha in this segment, traders should not interpret this as a bullish catalyst. Monitor for any active manager or insider buying before considering a position.

Key Facts

  • 5 institutional buyers added $12.3M net in Q4 2025, with zero sellers
  • BlackRock led with a $9.4M increase (+74.7% shares), now holding $33.8M
  • All five buyers are mega-passive index funds (Vanguard, BlackRock, State Street, Fidelity, T. Rowe Price)
  • No active managers, hedge funds, or activist investors participated in the cluster
  • Prior NB reports had a 0% win rate at T+20 with average -21.66% return

Financial Impact

5 passive institutions accumulated $12.3M in new NB positions during Q4 2025, with total current holdings of $49.1M

institutional ownershipfloat

Risk Factors

  • 13F data has a 45-day reporting lag; positions may already be unwound
  • Passive buying provides no fundamental thesis or catalyst for stock appreciation
  • Historical NB reports show consistent negative returns following filing signals
  • Score calibration shows negative net alpha (-2.04%) across this segment

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Metal Mining
Analyst Consensus
92% bullish (12 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-NB-2025-Q4
3 reports for NB
Performance horizon
Filters
Rows
Reports for NB — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 11, 2026
9d ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$5.42 $5.19▼ −4.24%▼ −4.68%
Jun 11, 2026
9d ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$5.42 $5.19▼ −4.24%▼ −4.68%
Feb 25, 2026
16w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$5.54 $5.21▼ −5.96%▼ −4.86%
Showing 3 of 3

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (29h 37m)

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