NNI NELNET INC

BEARISH Impact: 7/10 8-K
Horizon days Filed May 7, 2026 Processed 1mo ago SEC 0001258602-26-000032
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
NNI ▲ +5.43% at T+20d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -5.43% · α vs SPY -5.41% · entry $122.38 → $129.03
Next anchor: T+60d in 8w
Last close $127.34 (close Jun 8) · -4.05% from $122.38 entry (call sign-flipped)
Entry anchored
May 7, 2026
via day open
T+1d
+0.11%
call -0.11% · α +0.12%
$122.52
settled 5w ago
T+5d
+2.73%
call -2.73% · α -1.27%
$125.72
settled 27d ago
T+20d
+5.43%
call -5.43% · α -5.41%
$129.03
settled 5d ago
T+60d
call — · α —
in 8w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Nelnet reported Q1 2026 GAAP EPS of $1.97 ($1.94 non-GAAP), missing consensus of $2.66 by 27%, and revenue of $419M missed $444M. Net income fell 14% YoY to $71.1M, pressured by a $53.2M provision for loan losses (up from $15.3M) and investment losses. No guidance was provided.

Actionable Insight

The significant EPS and revenue miss, driven by a sharp rise in loan loss provisions, will likely pressure the stock. Monitor future quarters for credit quality trends and whether the provision spike normalizes as the acquired portfolio seasons.

Key Facts

  • Non-GAAP EPS $1.94 vs consensus $2.66 (miss of 27%)
  • Revenue $419M vs consensus $444M (miss of 5.6%)
  • GAAP EPS $1.97 vs $2.26 a year ago
  • Provision for loan losses surged to $53.2M from $15.3M
  • AGM acquired $3.34B of loans in Q1, driving provision growth
  • Net interest income rose to $101.6M from $82.7M YoY
  • Dividend maintained at $0.33 per share

Financial Impact

EPS miss of 27% and revenue miss of 5.6%; provision increase of $37.9M YoY

epsrevenuenet incomeprovision for loan losses

Risk Factors

  • Further deterioration in consumer credit could increase provisions
  • FFELP portfolio runoff continues, pressuring net interest income
  • Investment losses from marketable securities and solar partnerships may recur

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Personal Credit Institutions
Analyst Consensus
0% bullish (8 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001258602-26-000032
Document: nni-20260507.htm0001258602-26-000032
Document: 0001258602-26-000032-index-headers.html0001258602-26-000032
Document: 0001258602-26-000032-index.html0001258602-26-000032
Document: 0001258602-26-000032.txt0001258602-26-000032
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001258602-26-000032
2 reports for NNI
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Type Now
May 7, 2026
4w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$122.38 $129.03▼ −5.43%▼ −5.41%$127.34 (−4.05%)
Apr 1, 2026
10w ago
GOVT-CONTRACT
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$128.15 $142.48▲ +11.18%▲ +1.46%$127.34 (−0.63%)
Showing 2 of 2

US Market Status

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