OLMA Olema Oncology

NEUTRAL Impact: 4/10 PRESS-RELEASE
Horizon months Filed May 26, 2026 Processed 14d 22h ago Wire GlobeNewswire
Press release: fda
Latest settled — T+5d ⚠ clustered
OLMA ▼ -21.11% at T+5d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -21.11% · α vs SPY -22.32% · entry $13.55 → $10.69
Next anchor: T+20d in 14d
Last close $9.96 (close Jun 8) · -26.49% from $13.55 entry
Entry anchored
May 26, 2026
via day open
T+1d
-4.72%
call -4.72% · α -4.74%
$12.91
settled 14d ago
T+5d
-21.11%
call -21.11% · α -22.32%
$10.69
settled 8d ago
T+20d
call — · α —
in 14d
T+60d
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Executive Summary

Olema Oncology announced a clinical trial collaboration with Bayer to evaluate its KAT6 inhibitor OP-3136 in combination with darolutamide for metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC). The Phase 1b/2 study will enroll approximately 36 patients and is expected to start in H2 2026. This is the first clinical collaboration for OP-3136, but the deal is non-financial (Bayer supplies drug, Olema runs the study) and the stock has historically declined on neutral news, with a 0% win rate at T+20 across prior reports.

Actionable Insight

This is a modest pipeline-expansion event for a clinical-stage biotech with no revenue. The collaboration validates OP-3136's combinability but carries no near-term financial catalyst. Watch for ASCO data on May 30, 2026, which could provide the first clinical proof-of-concept for OP-3136. Historical pattern of negative drift on OLMA neutral news suggests caution.

Key Facts

  • Olema and Bayer entered a clinical trial collaboration for OP-3136 (KAT6 inhibitor) + darolutamide in mCRPC.
  • Phase 1b/2 study will enroll ~36 patients; initiation expected in H2 2026.
  • Bayer supplies darolutamide; Olema leads the study and retains full global commercial rights to OP-3136.
  • Initial Phase 1 monotherapy data for OP-3136 to be presented at ASCO on May 30, 2026.
  • No upfront or milestone payments disclosed; deal is a drug-supply collaboration only.
  • Historical OLMA reports show 0% win rate at T+20 (n=4 settled), with average T+20 return of -21.87%.

Financial Impact

No financial terms disclosed; Bayer provides darolutamide at no cost; Olema bears study costs.

r_and_d_expenses

Risk Factors

  • Phase 1b/2 study may fail to show efficacy or safety in mCRPC.
  • No financial terms disclosed — deal provides no capital infusion.
  • Historical OLMA filings have consistently underperformed at T+20 (avg -21.87%).
  • OP-3136 is early-stage (Phase 1); clinical and regulatory risks are high.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Pharmaceutical Preparations
Analyst Consensus
89% bullish (19 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3300930
10 reports for OLMA
Performance horizon
0% Hit rate 0 of 3 directional calls best @ T+1▼ −0.95%May 21, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for OLMA — sortable, filterable
Type Now
May 26, 2026
14d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$13.55 $12.71▼ −6.20%▼ −7.28%$9.96 (−26.49%)
May 26, 2026
14d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$13.55 $10.69▼ −21.11%▼ −22.32%$9.96 (−26.49%)
May 21, 2026
19d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$13.68 $12.71▼ −7.09%▼ −8.75%$9.96 (−27.19%)
May 21, 2026
19d ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$13.68 $12.71▼ −7.09%▼ −8.77%$9.96 (−27.19%)
May 12, 2026
28d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$13.97 $12.90▼ −7.66%▼ −7.74%$9.96 (−28.70%)
May 12, 2026
28d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$13.97 $12.90▼ −7.66%▼ −7.74%$9.96 (−28.70%)
Apr 29, 2026
5w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$14.41 $15.13▲ +5.00%▲ +3.27%$9.96 (−30.88%)
Apr 21, 2026
7w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$16.24 $14.24▼ −12.32%▼ −12.37%$9.96 (−38.67%)
Apr 17, 2026
7w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 5/10
$16.58 $15.29▼ −7.78%▼ −8.69%$9.96 (−39.93%)
Mar 16, 2026
12w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$16.60 $13.97▼ −15.84%▼ −13.80%$9.96 (−40.00%)
Showing 10 of 10

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