ORLA Orla Mining Ltd.

BULLISH Impact: 8/10 6-K
Horizon months Filed May 13, 2026 Processed 1mo ago SEC 0001279569-26-000432
Notable filing: 6-K
Latest settled — T+5d
ORLA ▼ -16.53% at T+5d
LONG call ✗ call lost -16.53% · α vs SPY -15.37% · entry $14.58 → $12.17
Next anchor: T+20d due 2d ago
Currently $10.65 · -26.95% from $14.58 entry
Entry anchored
May 12, 05:52 PM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
+1.44%
call +1.44% · α +0.66%
$14.79
settled 4w ago
T+5d
-16.53%
call -16.53% · α -15.37%
$12.17
settled 24d ago
T+20d
call — · α —
due 2d ago
T+60d
call — · α —
in 8w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Orla Mining and Equinox Gold have entered into a definitive arrangement agreement for an at-market merger to create a new North American senior gold producer with an $18.5B implied market cap and ~1.1M oz expected annual gold production. Orla shareholders will receive 1.00 Equinox share per Orla share, with existing Equinox holders owning ~67% and former Orla holders ~33% of the combined entity. The transaction is expected to close in Q3 2026, subject to shareholder and regulatory approvals.

Actionable Insight

The merger creates a top-tier North American gold producer with significant scale and a clear growth pipeline. Monitor the shareholder votes in July 2026 and any regulatory hurdles (Canadian and Mexican competition approvals). The stock-for-stock structure means relative performance of EQX and ORLA will drive value; watch for any competing bids or activist interest given the 20% insider support locked up.

Key Facts

  • Equinox Gold to acquire Orla Mining in an at-market stock-for-stock merger; Orla shareholders receive 1.00 Equinox share + $0.0001 cash per Orla share
  • Combined company implied market capitalization of $18.5 billion
  • Expected 2026 combined gold production of approximately 1.1 million ounces, with a path to >1.9 million ounces annually from North American growth assets
  • Existing Equinox shareholders to own ~67% and former Orla shareholders ~33% of the combined company on a fully diluted basis
  • Combined free cash flow estimated at ~$1.4 billion in 2026 based on analyst consensus; combined EBITDA estimated at ~$3.4 billion
  • Transaction expected to close in Q3 2026, subject to 66 2/3% Orla shareholder vote, simple majority Equinox shareholder vote, court and regulatory approvals
  • Break fees: $475 million payable by Equinox and $250 million payable by Orla in certain circumstances
  • Officers, directors, Pierre Lassonde, and Fairfax affiliates (~20% of Orla shares) have entered into voting support agreements in favor of the transaction

Financial Impact

Combined entity with $18.5B market cap, ~1.1M oz gold production, ~$3.4B EBITDA, and ~$1.4B free cash flow in 2026 (based on analyst consensus estimates)

revenueebitdafree cash flowproduction volume

Risk Factors

  • Shareholder approval required from both companies (66 2/3% for Orla, simple majority for Equinox) — failure would trigger break fees
  • Regulatory approvals needed from Canadian and Mexican competition authorities
  • Integration risk: combining two mid-tier producers into a senior producer with six mines across four countries
  • Execution risk on growth pipeline to reach 1.9M oz production target
  • Gold price sensitivity: all financial projections are based on current analyst consensus estimates

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Gold and Silver Ores
Analyst Consensus
87% bullish (15 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
6-K Filing (Primary)0001279569-26-000432
Document: orlamining6k.htm0001279569-26-000432
Document: 0001279569-26-000432-index-headers.html0001279569-26-000432
Document: 0001279569-26-000432-index.html0001279569-26-000432
Document: 0001279569-26-000432.txt0001279569-26-000432
12 reports for ORLA
Performance horizon
60% Hit rate 3 of 5 directional calls best @ T+5▲ +12.26%Jun 1, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for ORLA — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 11, 2026
1d ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$10.32 awaiting T+1awaiting T+1$10.65 (+3.20%)
Jun 10, 2026
2d ago
6-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$10.09 awaiting T+1awaiting T+1$10.65 (+5.60%)
Jun 5, 2026
7d ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$11.30 awaiting T+1awaiting T+1$10.65 (−5.75%)
Jun 4, 2026
8d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$11.33 $10.81▼ −4.59%▼ −1.99%$10.65 (−6.00%)
Jun 4, 2026
8d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$11.33 $10.81▼ −4.59%▼ −1.99%$10.65 (−6.00%)
Jun 1, 2026
11d ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$12.32 $11.93▲ +3.17%▲ +3.31%$10.65 (+13.56%)
May 21, 2026
22d ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$12.26 $11.99▼ −2.28%▼ −2.73%$10.65 (−13.16%)
May 13, 2026
4w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$14.58 $14.79▲ +1.44%▲ +0.66%$10.65 (−26.95%)
May 11, 2026
4w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$14.81 $14.47▼ −2.30%▼ −2.16%$10.65 (−28.09%)
May 11, 2026
4w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$14.81 $14.47▼ −2.30%▼ −2.16%$10.65 (−28.09%)
Showing 10 of 12

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (48h 57m)

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