PNC PNC FINANCIAL SERVICES GROUP, INC.

MIXED Impact: 2/10 ANALYST-UPGRADE
Processed 1mo ago SEC analyst-PNC-pipersan-20251009
10 firms acted on PNC: Jefferies, Piper Sandler, Oppenheimer, Keefe, Bruyette & Woods, Raymond James, Wolfe Research, HSBC, Truist Securities, B of A Securities, UBS
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
PNC ▲ +14.38% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call ✓ call won +14.38% · α vs SPY +11.29% · entry $190.60 → $218.00
Last close $237.66 (close Jun 12) · +24.69% from $190.60 entry
Entry anchored
Oct 8, 03:59 PM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
-3.52%
call -3.52% · α -0.82%
$183.90
settled 8mo ago
T+5d
-6.51%
call -6.51% · α -4.94%
$178.20
settled 8mo ago
T+20d
-4.09%
call -4.09% · α -3.91%
$182.81
settled 7mo ago
T+60d
+14.38%
call +14.38% · α +11.29%
$218.00
settled 5mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

On October 9, 2025, Piper Sandler upgraded PNC Financial Services (PNC) from Neutral to Overweight, raising its price target from $211 to $220. The call came as part of a 10-firm analyst cluster acting on the name on the same day, signaling a coordinated shift in sector sentiment. Piper's accuracy on 3,763 rated calls is 54% with an average return of 3.6%, placing it in the middle tier among covering firms. Consensus is heavily bullish: 22 of 30 analysts rate PNC Buy or Strong Buy (73%), with zero Sells. The mean price target stands at $253.78, implying 13.8% upside from the current $223, but Piper's $220 target sits below the lowest consensus print ($234) and below the stock's current level. EPS revisions are positive for annual estimates — 14 upward revisions in the past 30 days for the current fiscal year — but mixed for the current quarter (6 up vs 11 down). Insider and congressional buying, along with a massive new institutional position from Norges Bank, contrast with high short interest (63.6% of float). The bottom line: Piper's upgrade is a modest bullish signal, but its below-market price target and the stock already trading above it keep conviction low.

Impact Score

Base Score
3/7
LLM Adjustment
-1
Final Score
2/10

Consensus & Targets

Buy / Strong Buy
22 (73%)
Hold
8
Sell / Strong Sell
0
Total Analysts
20
Mean PT
$253.78
Median PT
$251.50
High PT
$277.00
Low PT
$234.00
Current Price
$223.00
Implied Upside
+13.8%

Of 30 analysts covering PNC: 7 Strong Buy, 15 Buy, 8 Hold, 0 Sell, 0 Strong Sell. That equates to 73.3% Buy-rated, 26.7% Hold, and zero Sells. The consensus is clearly bullish, with no bearish voices.

Mean price target $253.78, median $251.50, high $277, low $234. Current price $223 implies 13.8% upside to the mean. Piper Sandler's $220 target is 12.5% below the mean and 6% below the prior lowest target ($234), making it the most bearish target among the 20 analysts providing a PT.

Recent Analyst Activity

DateFirmActionRatingPrice Target
2026-04-30 JP Morgan maintain Overweight $238.00
2026-04-16 Oppenheimer maintain Outperform $268.00
2026-04-16 Morgan Stanley maintain Equal-Weight $267.00
2026-04-16 Truist Securities maintain Hold $245.00
2026-04-16 Barclays maintain Overweight $277.00
2026-04-16 Keefe, Bruyette & Woods maintain Market Perform $253.00
2026-04-16 B of A Securities maintain Buy $264.00
2026-04-15 RBC Capital maintain Outperform $235.00
2026-04-07 JP Morgan maintain Overweight $237.50
2026-03-31 Morgan Stanley maintain Equal-Weight $263.00

There have been zero upgrades and zero downgrades in the past 30 days. EPS revision data shows a positive trend for annual estimates: 14 upward revisions vs 5 downward for the current fiscal year, and 16 up vs 4 down for next year. However, current quarter estimates are more mixed: only 6 up vs 11 down over 30 days, with the average EPS being trimmed from $4.41 to $4.33. Overall, annual estimates are being revised higher, but near-term expectations are softening.

Firm Track Record — Piper Sandler

Piper Sandler accuracy: 54% on 3763 calls | avg return: 3.6%

Industry benchmark: mean 51% ± 11%. Top tier: ≥61% (mean + 1σ). Based on 15 firms with ≥5 scored calls.

FirmAccuracyCallsAvg Returnvs Average
RBC Capital 100% 2/2 17.5% top tier
UBS 100% 3/3 11.2% top tier
JP Morgan 100% 2/2 19.3% top tier
Evercore ISI Group 86% 6/7 9.3% top tier
Barclays 75% 3/4 4.6% top tier
Oppenheimer 75% 3/4 13.1% top tier
B of A Securities 75% 3/4 10.9% top tier
Goldman Sachs 71% 5/7 5.7% top tier
Wells Fargo 67% 4/6 3.1% top tier
Jefferies 67% 2/3 12.3% top tier

Piper Sandler has a 54% accuracy rate on 3,763 scored calls, with an average return of 3.6%. This accuracy is below the top-tier firms covering PNC: RBC Capital, UBS, and JPMorgan each have 100% accuracy (though on very small samples of 2-3 calls each). Evercore (86% on 7 calls) and Barclays (75% on 4 calls) lead in larger samples. Raymond James and HSBC are the weakest, each at 50% on 2 calls. Piper's track record sits in the middle of the pack.

Earnings Estimates

Next earnings: Jul 16, 2026

PeriodEPS Est.EPS RangeRevenueRevisions (7d)
0y $18.39 $17.97 — $18.86 $25.7B ↑3 ↓0
+1y $21.01 $19.49 — $22.21 $27.0B ↑2 ↓0
+1q $4.90 $4.65 — $5.12 $6.5B ↑2 ↓0
0q $4.33 $4.16 — $4.58 $6.4B ↑2 ↓0

Cross-Platform Signals

Insider Trades (90d)
1 buys / 0 sells
Congressional
Shelley Moore Capito (republican) — buy $1,001 - $15,000
Institutional
NORGES BANK — new
Institutional
Cullen Capital Management, LLC — add (29%)
Institutional
TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP — trim (-56.7%)
Short Interest
Short: 460,921 | Exempt: 40 | TRF Vol: 725,188 | Short Ratio: 63.6% | Off-exchange volume (dark pool + OTC)

Insider activity: one buy of $4,007 by director Medler Linda R. on March 9, 2026. Congressional: Senator Shelley Moore Capito (R-WV) bought $1K–$15K on March 12, 2026. Institutional: Norges Bank initiated a massive $1.97B position (then exited a separate position), UBS Group added 31.7% to its holding, and Cullen Capital added 29%. Two Sigma trimmed 56.7%. Short interest stands at 63.6% of float (based on off-exchange volume), indicating heavy bearish positioning. This creates a divergence: strong insider and institutional buying aligns with bullish consensus, while high short interest and Piper's low target suggest downside risk.

Actionable Insight

The cluster upgrade is a positive catalyst, but Piper's below-market price target and the elevated short interest warrant caution. Traders should consider taking profits near Piper's $220 target unless broader sector momentum draws the stock higher toward consensus.

Documents Analyzed

Report based on filing metadata.

13 reports for PNC
Performance horizon
83% Hit rate 5 of 6 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +14.38%May 31, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for PNC — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 10, 2026
4d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$232.41 awaiting T+5awaiting T+5$237.66 (+2.26%)
Jun 8, 2026
6d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$227.10 awaiting T+5awaiting T+5$237.66 (+4.65%)
Jun 8, 2026
7d ago
Court Ruling
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$228.45 awaiting T+5awaiting T+5$237.66 (+4.03%)
May 31, 2026
14d ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 2/10
$190.60 $178.20▼ −6.51%▼ −4.94%$237.66 (+24.69%)
May 20, 2026
25d ago
424B5
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$216.82 $219.70▲ +1.33%▼ −0.47%$237.66 (+9.61%)
May 1, 2026
6w ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
MIXED ★ 2/10
$190.60 $178.20▼ −6.51%▼ −4.94%$237.66 (+24.69%)
Apr 24, 2026
7w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$221.30 $217.54▼ −1.70%▼ −2.10%$237.66 (+7.39%)
Apr 23, 2026
7w ago
Court Ruling
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$225.10 $218.71▼ −2.84%▼ −4.32%$237.66 (+5.58%)
Apr 15, 2026
8w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$222.06 $224.91▲ +1.28%▼ −0.36%$237.66 (+7.03%)
Apr 15, 2026
8w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$222.06 $224.91▼ −1.28%▲ +0.36%$237.66 (−7.03%)
Showing 10 of 13

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