PSX Phillips 66

BEARISH Impact: 7/10 8-K
Horizon weeks Filed Apr 6, 2026 Processed 1mo ago SEC 0001534701-26-000015
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Latest settled — T+20d
PSX ▲ +2.16% at T+20d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -2.16% · α vs SPY +7.62% · entry $174.70 → $178.47
Next anchor: T+60d in 5w
Last close $177.69 (close May 22) · -1.71% from $174.70 entry (call sign-flipped)
Entry anchored
Apr 6, 03:59 PM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
-3.84%
call +3.84% · α +6.37%
$168.00
settled 7w ago
T+5d
-9.12%
call +9.12% · α +14.45%
$158.76
settled 6w ago
T+20d
+2.16%
call -2.16% · α +7.62%
$178.47
settled 20d ago
T+60d
call — · α —
in 5w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Phillips 66 issued preliminary Q1 2026 guidance citing $900M in pre-tax mark-to-market losses due to rising commodity prices, with estimated segment losses in Refining, Marketing & Specialties, and Renewable Fuels. The company drew down liquidity measures including a $2.25B term loan to manage cash collateral outflows.

Actionable Insight

Monitor final Q1 2026 results for confirmation of mark-to-market impacts and liquidity usage; the sharp increase in commodity prices has created a headwind despite stable operations, and the new term loan increases near-term leverage.

Key Facts

  • Preliminary Q1 2026 results impacted by ~$900M in pre-tax mark-to-market losses due to rising commodity prices
  • Refining segment to report $350-450M in mark-to-market losses, Marketing & Specialties $300-400M, Renewable Fuels $100-200M
  • Company faced ~$3B cash collateral outflow on derivatives, leading to drawdowns on credit lines and a new $2.25B 364-day term loan
  • Guidance shows Midstream earnings $550-600M, Refining loss $400-200M, Marketing & Specialties loss $170-20M, and Chemicals $80-130M

Financial Impact

Approximately $900M in pre-tax mark-to-market losses impacting Q1 2026 results, with significant cash collateral outflows of ~$3B

epsrevenueliquiditydebtcashFlow

Risk Factors

  • Commodity price volatility continues to create mark-to-market headwinds despite economic hedging
  • Increased leverage from new $2.25B term loan and potential for further collateral calls if prices rise

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Petroleum Refining

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001534701-26-000015
Document: psx-20260406.htm0001534701-26-000015
Document: 0001534701-26-000015-index-headers.html0001534701-26-000015
Document: 0001534701-26-000015-index.html0001534701-26-000015
Document: 0001534701-26-000015.txt0001534701-26-000015
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001534701-26-000015
6 reports for PSX
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
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Reports for PSX — sortable, filterable
Type Now
May 11, 2026
12d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$175.43 $179.80▲ +2.49%▲ +2.41%$177.69 (+1.29%)
Apr 29, 2026
24d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
awaiting T+5
Apr 6, 2026
6w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$174.70 $158.76▲ +9.12%▲ +14.45%$177.69 (−1.71%)
Apr 2, 2026
7w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$176.21 $159.25▼ −9.62%▼ −13.24%$177.69 (+0.84%)
Mar 12, 2026
10w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$174.09 $181.29▼ −4.14%▼ −5.11%$177.69 (−2.07%)
Mar 12, 2026
10w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$174.09 $178.34▼ −2.44%▼ −3.42%$177.69 (−2.07%)
Showing 6 of 6

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Tue (34h 51m)

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