RAIL PRESS-RELEASE SEC Filing Analysis

Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered

RAIL ▼ -1.94% at T+20d

SHORT call ✓ call won +1.94% · α vs SPY +6.90% · entry $7.72 → $7.57

Next anchor: T+60d in 7w

Last close $7.97 (close Jun 8) · -3.24% from $7.72 entry (call sign-flipped)

Entry anchored
May 4, 03:59 PM ET
via Databento tick

T+1d

0.00%

call 0.00% · α +1.38%

$7.72

settled 5w ago

T+5d

+8.42%

call -8.42% · α -6.44%

$8.37

settled 4w ago

T+20d

-1.94%

call +1.94% · α +6.90%

$7.57

settled 8d ago

T+60d

—

call — · α —

—

in 7w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

FreightCar America reported Q1 2026 revenue of $64.3M, missing consensus of $74.6M by 13.8%, and posted an operating loss compared to operating income a year ago. Adjusted EPS of -$0.04 was in line, while GAAP EPS of $1.15 was inflated by a $49.1M warrant gain. Guidance for FY2026 was reaffirmed.

Key Financial Metrics

Guidance

$500-$550 million

maintained

Free Cash Flow

-$4.5M

Gross Margin

16.8%

Actionable Insight

The revenue miss and operating loss indicate softening demand. Monitor Q2 delivery numbers and backlog conversion; the reaffirmed guidance may provide a floor but execution risk is high. Given historical stock underperformance, avoid chasing any post-release bounce.

Key Facts

Revenue $64.3M vs consensus $74.6M (miss of 13.8%)
Revenue declined 33.2% YoY from $96.3M
Operating loss of $0.6M vs operating income of $3.9M YoY
Adjusted EPS -$0.04 in line with consensus of -$0.04
GAAP diluted EPS $1.15 driven by $49.1M warrant gain
Gross margin improved to 16.8% from 14.9% YoY
Backlog of 2,058 units valued at $156M, up 14% sequentially
FY2026 guidance reaffirmed: deliveries 4,000-4,500, revenue $500-$550M, Adjusted EBITDA $41-$50M

Financial Impact

Revenue miss of $10.3M (13.8%) and operating loss of $0.6M vs income of $3.9M YoY

revenueoperating incomeadjusted eps

Risk Factors

Continued revenue decline due to cyclical downturn in railcar demand
Dependence on warrant gains for GAAP profitability
Potential for further guidance cuts if backlog conversion slows

Market Snapshot

Exchange

Nasdaq

Sector

Railroad Equipment

Analyst Consensus

88% bullish (8 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

Document	Accession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)	press-3287162

5 reports for RAIL

T+1T+5T+20T+60

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters

Reports for RAIL — sortable, filterable
	Type				Now
May 4, 2026 5w ago	8-K BEARISH ★ 7/10	$7.72 $7.57	▲ +1.94%	▲ +6.90%	$7.97 (−3.24%)
May 4, 2026 5w ago	Press Release BEARISH ★ 6/10	$7.72 $7.57	▲ +1.94%	▲ +6.90%	$7.97 (−3.24%)
Apr 20, 2026 7w ago	Press Release NEUTRAL ★ 3/10	$8.74 $7.73	▼ −11.56%	▼ −16.47%	$7.97 (−8.81%)
Mar 9, 2026 13w ago	Press Release MIXED ★ 6/10	$10.01 $8.56	▼ −14.49%	▼ −14.33%	$7.97 (−20.38%)
Mar 4, 2026 13w ago	8-K NEUTRAL ★ 2/10	$13.15 $8.23	▼ −37.41%	▼ −33.63%	$7.97 (−39.39%)

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens in 6h 59m

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