RDN RADIAN GROUP INC

NEUTRAL Impact: 2/10 Insider Cluster (3 insiders)
Horizon days Filed Jun 1, 2026 Processed 15d 10h ago
Insider cluster: 3 insiders, $0.4M total
Latest settled — T+5d
RDN ▲ +1.36% at T+5d
NEUTRAL call ✓ call won +1.36% · α vs SPY +4.33% · entry $33.79 → $34.25
Next anchor: T+20d in 13d
Currently $35.23 · +4.26% from $33.79 entry
Entry anchored
Jun 1, 03:59 PM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
-0.36%
call -0.36% · α +0.34%
$33.67
settled 15d ago
T+5d
+1.36%
call +1.36% · α +4.33%
$34.25
settled 9d ago
T+20d
call — · α —
in 13d
T+60d
call — · α —
in 2mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Three RDN directors sold a total of $377K in open-market sales over a 7-day window, representing ~0.008% of the company's $4.5B market cap. The sales are trivial relative to company size and involve only non-C-suite directors, with no C-suite participation. The cluster is not informative per academic literature — director sales are liquidity-driven and cluster sales lack predictive power.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
selling
Total Value
$377.0K
Insiders
3

Actionable Insight

The insider cluster is too small in dollar terms and involves only directors — no actionable signal for traders. Monitor for any C-suite selling or larger-scale director sales exceeding 0.1% of market cap before drawing bearish conclusions.

Key Facts

  • Three directors sold a total of $377K in open-market sales over 7 days
  • Sales represent ~0.008% of RDN's $4.5B market cap — well below 0.1% materiality threshold
  • No C-suite executives (CEO, CFO, etc.) participated in any trades
  • All sellers are directors, not officers — lower informational content
  • No insider purchases were reported in the cluster window

Financial Impact

Total insider sales of $377K, or ~0.008% of market cap — economically trivial

Risk Factors

  • No material risk identified from this cluster alone
  • If broader insider selling pattern emerges (C-suite participation, >0.5% of market cap), sentiment would shift bearish

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Surety Insurance
Analyst Consensus
67% bullish (9 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 SEC document filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)cluster-RDN-1780347800286
10 reports for RDN
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 3 of 3 directional calls best @ T+5▲ +3.15%Jun 2, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for RDN — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 5, 2026
11d ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$33.56 $34.54▲ +2.92%▲ +0.81%$35.23 (+4.98%)
Jun 2, 2026
14d ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$33.67 $34.73▲ +3.15%▲ +6.97%$35.23 (+4.63%)
Jun 2, 2026
14d ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$33.67 $34.73▲ +3.15%▲ +6.97%$35.23 (+4.63%)
Jun 1, 2026
15d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$33.79 $34.25▲ +1.36%▲ +4.33%$35.23 (+4.26%)
May 29, 2026
19d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$33.89 $33.80▼ −0.27%▲ +2.25%$35.23 (+3.95%)
May 26, 2026
21d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$35.04 $33.67▼ −3.92%▼ −4.39%$35.23 (+0.53%)
May 21, 2026
26d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$36.06 $33.54▼ −6.99%▼ −8.65%$35.23 (−2.29%)
May 7, 2026
5w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$37.62 $36.67▼ −2.53%▼ −4.03%$35.23 (−6.35%)
Apr 21, 2026
8w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$35.58 $37.05▲ +4.13%▲ +4.08%$35.23 (−0.98%)
Apr 10, 2026
9w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$34.42 $35.25▲ +2.41%▼ −0.88%$35.23 (+2.35%)
Showing 10 of 10

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