RGR STURM RUGER & CO INC

NEUTRAL Impact: 4/10 Insider Cluster (2 insiders)
Horizon weeks Filed May 15, 2026 Processed 25d 14h ago
Insider cluster: 2 insiders, $230K total
Latest settled — T+5d ⚠ clustered
RGR ▲ +1.44% at T+5d
NEUTRAL call ✓ call won +1.44% · α vs SPY +0.48% · entry $39.47 → $40.04
Next anchor: T+20d in 5d
Last close $38.46 (close Jun 8) · -2.56% from $39.47 entry
Entry anchored
May 15, 01:43 PM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
+1.75%
call +1.75% · α +1.81%
$40.16
settled 23d ago
T+5d
+1.44%
call +1.44% · α +0.48%
$40.04
settled 19d ago
T+20d
call — · α —
in 5d
T+60d
call — · α —
in 2mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Two directors at Sturm Ruger made open-market purchases totaling $230K over a 7-day window, following the Q1 2026 earnings release and the Beretta Holding strategic cooperation agreement. The buys come after a quarter where revenue grew 4.1% YoY but GAAP EPS collapsed to $0.01 ($0.27 adjusted) due to $5.7M in one-time costs for the Beretta deal and restructuring. The cluster represents 0.04% of market cap — trivial in size — but the timing (post-earnings, post-activist settlement) and the fact that both are directors (not C-suite) buying at a depressed price near $38-40 suggests confidence in the normalized earnings power once temporary expenses roll off.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
buying
Total Value
$230.0K
Insiders
2

Actionable Insight

The insider buys are small in dollar terms but directionally positive from two directors post-earnings. The key catalyst to watch is whether Q2 2026 shows the expected normalization of margins as Beretta/restructuring costs roll off. With $105M cash, no debt, and a 3.5x current ratio, the balance sheet is fortress-grade. The stock's 36x adjusted EPS is elevated but may compress if earnings recover. Monitor next 10-Q for margin improvement.

Key Facts

  • Two directors purchased $230K in open-market transactions (0.04% of $636M market cap)
  • Phillip Widman bought 5,000 shares at $38.00 on May 12; Bruce Pettet bought 1,000 shares at $39.89 on May 14
  • Q1 2026 revenue grew 4.1% YoY to $141.4M, but GAAP EPS fell to $0.01 from $0.46 due to $3.2M Beretta deal costs and $2.5M severance
  • Adjusted EPS was $0.27, down from $0.46 YoY; cash from operations was $18.8M; no debt; $105.2M cash
  • Company declared $0.11 quarterly dividend (40% payout of adjusted net income)
  • New products accounted for 41% of firearm sales; sell-through outpaced NICS growth (3.2% vs 1.6%)

Financial Impact

Insider purchases of $230K are trivial relative to $636M market cap; Q1 adjusted EPS of $0.27 implies ~$1.08 annualized run-rate, or a ~36x P/E at $39 — not cheap but cash-rich and debt-free

insider ownershipmarket confidence signal

Risk Factors

  • Adjusted EPS of $0.27 still represents a 41% YoY decline — core profitability is eroding even excluding one-time items
  • No share repurchases in Q1 despite cash hoard; capital allocation priorities unclear
  • Beretta cooperation agreement may impose strategic constraints or lead to further costs
  • Firearm demand is cyclical and sensitive to election cycles and regulatory changes

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Ordnance & Accessories, (No Vehicles/Guided Missiles)
Analyst Consensus
67% bullish (6 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 SEC document filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)cluster-RGR-1778867114850
11 reports for RGR
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate 2 of 3 directional calls best @ T+1▲ +3.74%May 8, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for RGR — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 4, 2026
5d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$39.39 $38.77▼ −1.57%▲ +1.02%$38.46 (−2.36%)
May 21, 2026
19d ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$40.04 $40.21▲ +0.42%▼ −0.16%$38.46 (−3.95%)
May 15, 2026
25d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$39.47 $40.16▲ +1.75%▲ +1.81%$38.46 (−2.56%)
May 8, 2026
4w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$39.04 $37.58▲ +3.74%▲ +3.97%$38.46 (+1.49%)
May 4, 2026
5w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$41.77 $40.51▼ −3.02%▼ −4.40%$38.46 (−7.92%)
May 4, 2026
5w ago
DEFA14A
MIXED ★ 7/10
$40.99 $41.77▲ +1.90%▲ +1.11%$38.46 (−6.17%)
May 4, 2026
5w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 7/10
$40.99 $41.77▲ +1.90%▲ +1.11%$38.46 (−6.17%)
Mar 24, 2026
11w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$40.74 $43.53▲ +6.85%▲ +6.28%$38.46 (−5.60%)
Mar 10, 2026
13w ago
8-K/A
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$38.44 $38.88▼ −1.14%▼ −1.25%$38.46 (−0.05%)
Mar 4, 2026
13w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$38.24 $37.03▼ −3.16%▼ −2.58%$38.46 (+0.58%)
Showing 10 of 11

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