SBUX STARBUCKS CORP

NEUTRAL Impact: 5/10 Institutional Cluster
Horizon weeks Processed 3d 18h ago
Institutional cluster: 4 buyers, 3 sellers (mixed)

Executive Summary

Q2 2025 13F cluster for SBUX shows heavy net accumulation led by Capital Group doubling its stake (+$3.55B to $7.03B) and UBS adding +25%, alongside a new activist position from Tremblant. However, three quant/passive sellers including Renaissance Technologies exiting entirely and Two Sigma near-exiting offset a portion of the buying, creating a mixed conviction cluster overall.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
mixed
Buy Value
$8.2B
Sell Value
$158.8M
Net Flow
$3.6B

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $3.6B

▲ Buyers (4)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Capital Group DOUBLED +116.5% $7.0B $3.5B
UBS ADD +25.2% $1.1B $155.1M
Tremblant NEW +100% $32.8M $32.8M
Matrix ADD +25.7% $18.8M $2.8M

▼ Sellers (3)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
Renaissance Technologies EXIT -100% $148.3M -$148.3M
Two Sigma NEAR_EXIT -97.4% $9.8M -$9.6M
T. Rowe Price TRIM -64.5% $1.4M -$911.5K

Actionable Insight

The cluster is dominated by mega-passive accumulation (Capital Group, UBS) overwhelming quant exits. The activist debut from Tremblant at $32.8M is small relative to market cap but adds a catalyst overhang. Traders should watch for Tremblant's next SC 13D filing for activist demands; the strong passive buying provides a bid, but quant selling signals waning momentum. Monitor next earnings for fundamental catalyst alignment.

Key Facts

  • Aggregate 4 buyers accumulated $3.74B; 3 sellers disposed of $158.8M
  • Capital Group (mega-passive) doubled its stake from $3.47B to $7.03B (+116.5% shares)
  • UBS (mega-passive) added +25.2% to $1.07B
  • Tremblant (activist) opened a new $32.8M position
  • Renaissance Technologies (quant) fully exited a $148.3M position
  • Two Sigma (quant) near-exited (-97.4% of shares)
  • T. Rowe Price trimmed -64.5% of its position, reducing value from $1.4M to $452K

Financial Impact

Net institutional inflow of approximately $3.58B, with $8.15B in total disclosed current holdings from buyers and $158.8M in selling outflows

institutional ownershipfloat held by active managersshare price sentiment

Risk Factors

  • 13F data is 45+ days stale — positions may have been unwound already
  • Two Sigma near-exit and RenTech full exit suggest quant models souring on SBUX
  • Heavy passive buying may reflect index rebalancing rather than fundamental conviction
  • Historical prior bullish/neutral calls on SBUX have underperformed SPY by -3.83% alpha at T+20

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Retail-Eating & Drinking Places
Analyst Consensus
49% bullish (47 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-SBUX-2025-Q2
18 reports for SBUX
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 5 of 5 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +4.86%Feb 28, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for SBUX — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 14, 2026
today
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 5/10
awaiting T+5
Jun 13, 2026
1d ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 3/10
$105.80 awaiting T+5awaiting T+5
Jun 12, 2026
2d ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$96.59 awaiting T+5awaiting T+5
Jun 12, 2026
2d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$103.04 awaiting T+5awaiting T+5
Jun 11, 2026
3d ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$101.01 awaiting T+5awaiting T+5
May 31, 2026
14d ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 1/10
$97.60 $91.69▼ −6.06%▼ −6.44%
May 26, 2026
20d ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$101.35 $96.51▼ −4.77%▼ −5.86%
May 20, 2026
25d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$104.11 $99.12▼ −4.79%▼ −6.64%
May 15, 2026
4w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$106.76 $103.10▲ +3.43%▲ +4.39%
May 14, 2026
4w ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 3/10
$106.38 $104.11▼ −2.13%▼ −1.42%
Showing 10 of 18

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