SERV Serve Robotics Inc. /DE/

NEUTRAL Impact: 4/10 8-K
Horizon weeks Filed May 7, 2026 Processed 1mo ago SEC 0001832483-26-000017
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
SERV ▼ -11.63% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -11.63% · α vs SPY -11.65% · entry $8.77 → $7.75
Next anchor: T+60d in 8w
Last close $7.61 (close Jun 8) · -13.23% from $8.77 entry
Entry anchored
May 7, 2026
via day open
T+1d
+0.91%
call +0.91% · α +0.68%
$8.85
settled 5w ago
T+5d
-0.34%
call -0.34% · α -1.81%
$8.74
settled 27d ago
T+20d
-11.63%
call -11.63% · α -11.65%
$7.75
settled 5d ago
T+60d
call — · α —
in 8w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Serve Robotics reported Q1 2026 revenue of $3.0M (in line with consensus, up 578% YoY) and GAAP EPS of $(0.65) (in line with consensus). The company reaffirmed its FY2026 revenue guidance of ~$26M. Losses widened to $(49.0M) from $(13.2M) a year ago, reflecting continued investment in fleet expansion and acquisitions. The results confirm execution against the plan but offer no upside surprise.

Key Financial Metrics

Guidance
approximately $26 million
maintained

Actionable Insight

The reaffirmed $26M revenue guide provides a clear benchmark for FY2026. Monitor upcoming quarters for sequential revenue acceleration and gross margin improvement. Given the pre-revenue stage and high cash burn, any deviation from the guide or additional capital raises could be significant.

Key Facts

  • Q1 2026 revenue $3.0M, +238% sequential, +578% YoY (in line with $3.0M consensus)
  • GAAP EPS $(0.65) vs consensus $(0.65) (in line)
  • GAAP net loss $(49.0M) vs $(13.2M) in Q1 2025
  • Cash & marketable securities $197.4M as of March 31, 2026 (down from $260M at year-end 2025)
  • Reaffirmed FY2026 revenue guidance ~$26M and Non-GAAP operating expense $160-170M
  • Fleet scaled to ~2,000 robots; operating in 44 cities across 14 states

Financial Impact

No material financial impact from this filing; in-line results and reaffirmed guidance.

revenueepscashBurn

Risk Factors

  • Cash burn rate accelerated to $(41.4M) operating cash flow in Q1 2026 vs $(9.5M) a year ago
  • Share count increased from 74.7M to 76.1M, indicating further dilution
  • Reaching profitability remains distant; dependence on capital markets

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
General Industrial Machinery & Equipment, NEC
Analyst Consensus
93% bullish (15 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 7 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001832483-26-000017
Document: serv-20260507.htm0001832483-26-000017
Document: serve_investorxdeckx07ma.htm0001832483-26-000017
Document: 0001832483-26-000017-index-headers.html0001832483-26-000017
Document: 0001832483-26-000017-index.html0001832483-26-000017
Document: 0001832483-26-000017.txt0001832483-26-000017
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001832483-26-000017
16 reports for SERV
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate 4 of 6 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +11.63%May 7, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for SERV — sortable, filterable
Type Now
May 15, 2026
26d ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$8.24 $8.70▼ −5.58%▼ −4.62%$7.61 (+7.65%)
May 14, 2026
26d ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$8.24 $8.70▼ −5.58%▼ −4.62%$7.61 (+7.65%)
May 11, 2026
29d ago
S-3
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$8.85 $8.23▲ +7.01%▲ +6.92%$7.61 (+14.01%)
May 11, 2026
29d ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$8.85 $8.23▼ −7.01%▼ −6.92%$7.61 (−14.01%)
May 7, 2026
4w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$8.77 $8.74▼ −0.34%▼ −1.81%$7.61 (−13.23%)
May 7, 2026
4w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$8.77 $8.74▲ +0.34%▲ +1.81%$7.61 (+13.23%)
May 1, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$9.40 $8.77▼ −6.70%▼ −9.05%$7.61 (−19.04%)
Apr 24, 2026
6w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$9.89 $9.35▼ −5.46%▼ −5.86%$7.61 (−23.05%)
Apr 21, 2026
7w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$9.74 $9.43▼ −3.18%▼ −4.27%$7.61 (−21.87%)
Apr 8, 2026
8w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$8.37 $9.56▲ +14.22%▲ +10.70%$7.61 (−9.08%)
Showing 10 of 16

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