SKWD Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc.

MIXED Impact: 3/10 Institutional Cluster
Horizon weeks Processed 9d 16h ago
Institutional cluster: 4 buyers, 3 sellers (mixed)
Latest settled — T+5d ⚠ clustered
SKWD ▼ -0.57% at T+5d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -0.57% · α vs SPY -1.00% · entry $50.80 → $50.51
Next anchor: T+20d in 19d
Entry anchored
Jun 11, 11:57 AM ET
via Databento tick
T+1d
-1.48%
call -1.48% · α -2.02%
$50.05
settled 9d ago
T+5d
-0.57%
call -0.57% · α -1.00%
$50.51
settled 3d ago
T+20d
call — · α —
in 19d
T+60d
call — · α —
in 3mo

Executive Summary

Institutional cluster for SKWD in Q4 2025 shows mixed signals: four funds (including Point72 and RenTech) added $15.5M while three large asset managers (Capital World, Ameriprise, Morgan Stanley) trimmed $36.3M, resulting in net selling of ~$20.8M. The divergence between quant buying and asset manager selling creates uncertainty.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
distributing
Buy Value
$24.1M
Sell Value
$101.4M
Net Flow
-$20.8M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: -$20.8M

▲ Buyers (4)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Point72 DOUBLED +1407.8% $10.4M $9.7M
RenTech ADD +30% $8.1M $2.3M
Fidelity DOUBLED +241.6% $3.2M $2.3M
Wells Fargo ADD +70% $2.5M $1.1M

▼ Sellers (3)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
Capital World Investors TRIM -50% $48.4M -$22.4M
Ameriprise Financial TRIM -34.2% $34.8M -$10.2M
Morgan Stanley TRIM -25.7% $18.2M -$3.7M

Actionable Insight

The cluster reflects opposing views between quant funds (buying) and traditional asset managers (selling). Given the poor historical performance of past SKWD reports (avg T+20 -4.11%, 25% win rate), caution is warranted. Monitor upcoming earnings and insider activity for confirmation of direction.

Key Facts

  • Point72 DOUBLED its position, adding 189.4K shares (now 202.8K), increasing value by $9.7M.
  • Capital World Investors trimmed 50% of its stake, reducing by $22.4M (from $48.4M to $26.0M).
  • Ameriprise Financial trimmed 34.2%, reducing by $10.2M (from $34.8M to $24.6M).
  • RenTech added 30% (36.7K shares), increasing value by $2.3M.
  • Fidelity DOUBLED (+241.6%) and Wells Fargo added 70%, together adding $3.4M.

Financial Impact

Institutional cluster: net selling of ~$20.8M (buyers added $15.5M, sellers removed $36.3M).

institutional ownershipfloat

Risk Factors

  • Continued selling by large asset managers could pressure the stock.
  • 13F data is stale (45-day lag); positions may have already been unwound.
  • Low historical win rate on SKWD signals suggests limited predictive power.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance
Analyst Consensus
74% bullish (19 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-SKWD-2025-Q4
8 reports for SKWD
Performance horizon
80% Hit rate 4 of 5 directional calls best @ T+5▲ +4.82%Feb 27, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for SKWD — sortable, filterable
Type Now
Jun 12, 2026
9d ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$50.05 $49.25▼ −1.60%▼ −3.36%
Jun 11, 2026
9d ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 3/10
$50.80 $50.05▼ −1.48%▼ −2.02%
May 6, 2026
6w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$45.51 $46.69▲ +2.59%▲ +1.76%
May 6, 2026
6w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$45.51 $45.51· 0.00%▼ −0.83%
Mar 25, 2026
12w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$43.15 $43.26▲ +0.25%▲ +2.02%
Feb 27, 2026
16w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$46.47 $48.58▲ +4.54%▲ +4.49%
Feb 27, 2026
16w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$46.47 $48.58▲ +4.54%▲ +4.49%
Feb 27, 2026
16w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$46.47 $48.58▲ +4.54%▲ +4.49%
Showing 8 of 8

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (29h 30m)

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